Originally Posted by blueash (Post 1742949)

This is a fundamental misunderstanding of flatten the curve. While the basic model of flattening has as its goal lowering the peak and does not anticipate fewer final cases, models of social distancing accomplish two goals. The goals of social distancing are to both have fewer people ill at the same time AND have fewer people ultimately become infected. The simplest explanation is if you take a single individual. If she never comes into contact with an adequate exposure, she never gets sick. The way to have her not be exposed involves keeping her away from known and unknown spreaders.

Hand washing obviously reduces the total ill people. It is no different for catching Covid from what your hands touched or catching Salmonella from raw chicken. Hand washing results in decreased transfer of germs from hand to nose, eyes, and mouth.

Originally Posted by Carlsondm (Post 1743017)

We are only at the beginning of the curve. It will rise sharply soon as the virus colonies and deaths surge. The surge is what we hopefully are controlling. Right now the prediction is that we may return to normal life sometime in June, but only if we follow our plan together and don't allow the virus to take control again. With five nurses in the family, I am reminded frequently to stay home, avoid crowds, and just before the surge to wear gloves and a mask (@20-50%) when going out. We know little about the virus transmission at this point. It could be airborne at it's peak. Who wants to be a guinea pig.

Originally Posted by Carlsondm (Post 1743017)

We are only at the beginning of the curve. It will rise sharply soon as the virus colonies and deaths surge. The surge is what we hopefully are controlling. Right now the prediction is that we may return to normal life sometime in June, but only if we follow our plan together and don't allow the virus to take control again. With five nurses in the family, I am reminded frequently to stay home, avoid crowds, and just before the surge to wear gloves and a mask (@20-50%) when going out. We know little about the virus transmission at this point. It could be airborne at it's peak. Who wants to be a guinea pig.

Originally Posted by Travelhunter (Post 1744470)

The scary and frustrating part is we keep getting different direction
Don’t wear masks
Do wear masks

Originally Posted by manaboutown (Post 1742156)

The incubation period is quite long and 80% don't get very sick so it may be too early to tell.

I was just speaking with a friend who while visiting her grandchildren in WA over Thanksgiving last year became very ill and even lost her sense of taste and smell. Several of the children got pneumonia. She now believes they had the Wuhan virus. Many Chinese were visiting or living in the area and she believes it got there through some of them.

Originally Posted by striveforhealth (Post 1745290)

The "Wuhan Virus"??
:ohdear:

Originally Posted by CoachKandSportsguy (Post 1742475)

The more the virus is overhyped, the more lives will be saved, the more the virus is ignored, the more deaths will happen.

Managing large diverse populations with information alone is very difficult.

There are videos from china of welding doors to apartments shut, which culture would you prefer? forcibly restrained or by individual choice?

sportsguy

Originally Posted by striveforhealth (Post 1745290)

The "Wuhan Virus"??
:ohdear:

Originally Posted by Kerry Azz (Post 1746534)

Overhyped? Hopefully your a former coach, people that believe this isn’t serious are an extreme danger to our safety as well as to their own. Your door should be welded shut,:MOJE_whot:

Originally Posted by CoachKandSportsguy (Post 1746699)

The point is the non linear assymetrical effect of information presentation and information effects. . . ie, Heisenberg effect, meaning the more information presented, the more the outcome is changed. Your decoding of the word "overhyped" is not the same as my intention of concept. I did not intend for you to interpret that the current environment was overhyped, but I did intend for the interpretation to be on a relative basis versus ignoring the virus as the other extreme, not the more absolute judgemental interpretation which some may interpret.

Its tough to know which interpretation people will take, relative or absolute, which is a personality trait, from a post without knowing who will read and anyone can read. . .

sportsguy

Originally Posted by devorejh (Post 1742429)

We’re not overwhelmed with it because the whole thing has been overhyped. The models they used to predict the number of deaths were seriously flawed. In the end more people will die of the flu this year then will die of COVID-19. I’m not saying you shouldn’t take it serious but it’s not turning out to be what we were initially told. Everyone’s free to believe what they need to believe

Originally Posted by 600th Photo Sq (Post 1746757)