Very local
 

Very local, you can’t even group the Villages as a whole. South of the turnpike premium lots are a whole different market than Dabney. We got that market update from the builder, and understand they undercut most pre existing homes to sell new ones. But from what I hear, they have less upgrades too. They are just trying to get buyers.

We may be seeing the beginning of a deep recession.

or not

Jobs Market
 

The jobs report may be enough of a jab to get the Fed to at least do a.25 cut on the 18th, but inflation still isn’t under control. Even if we had a cut, I’m not sure our market would see any benefit from it.

There appears to be a normalization of housing prices. The average cost of housing over the past 30 years has increase around 4.5% but this is an average and includes some wild upwards and downwards swings. We are just exiting a wild upward swing that occurred during the COVID years where sellers were seeking and getting annual increases of 20-40%. Housing in the villages have a high turnover rate. Those who bought in the last 5 years likely paid inflated prices relative to the average and the seller in a buyer's market is always the last to accept the trend. I have seen homeowners on this site talk as though the 20% annual increase is a reasonable expectation. I have also recently seen sellers lower their asking price by over $200K as reality sets in. If you bought recently, you will probably have to wait a while until you can expect to sell it for more than you paid.

"Hurting values"?

Or just the market readjusting to some ridiculously high prices that were an anomaly in the first place?

Case in point: our home, if one went by the selling prices of similar homes in this and adjacent Villages, appreciated in value something like $130,000 in our first two months here. Good sales tactics and people in a virtual panic to get in here while the getting was good. But I didn't congratulate myself on making some kind of incredibly good deal because we got in under the wire before prices went berserk.

We've been in markets like that before, and if there is one thing we learned it is timing rather than value that is important. Knowing how to ride the roller coaster is what matters.

The Villages Isn’t Grouped As a Whole
 

I don’t know of any who group the real estate of the Villages of Florida as “ Villages as a whole”. The weekly video done by David segregates it best. There are four sections: The Northern Section or all homes north of 466 and south of 42. There are Between the 6’s, or the homes between 466 and 466 A. There is the section between 466A and 44. Finally, there is the South with all homes south of 44. Even Goldwingnut has adapted the terms in some of his videos and delivers distinctions between the areas.

We live south of 44 and I can tell you houses do sell, but mostly they sell as view lots or are underpriced compared to the rest of the market. The homes that are priced a 100 to 150 k over the price paid 3 years ago are sitting like crickets chirping in the night air.