Talk of The Villages Florida

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-   The Villages, Florida, General Discussion (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-general-discussion-73/)
-   -   Evacuating FLA?? (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-general-discussion-73/evacuating-fla-321234/)

CFrance 07-04-2021 08:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stu from NYC (Post 1967938)
What about the guy driving in his car with his mask on? Will he give himself the virus?

I've done that, from sheer laziness. Going from Lowe's to Aldi's to Walgreens, all on 466A. You just don't know why that guy has his mask on. Maybe somebody farted in his car.

Happinow 07-04-2021 08:27 PM

No hype weather info…….
 
You all……please tune in every morning to watch meteorologist Eric Burris at 8:00 on his Facebook page. He tells it like it is, NO HYPE. You will get the most accurate info. He also gives updates as needed. Make your plans from there.

JMintzer 07-05-2021 06:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CFrance (Post 1968610)
I've done that, from sheer laziness. Going from Lowe's to Aldi's to Walgreens, all on 466A. You just don't know why that guy has his mask on. Maybe somebody farted in his car.

A mask won't keep that out!

Don't ask me how I know...

CFrance 07-05-2021 07:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMintzer (Post 1968676)
A mask won't keep that out!

Don't ask me how I know...

:1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl:

Tom359 07-06-2021 02:05 PM

Lived through Hurricane Andrew when we were in Miami. My rule of thumb is that anything CAT 3 or above gets my attention. CAT 1 and 2 are just "be prepared to be without power for a few days", anything higher can be significantly different. Tropical Storm or CAT 1 don't even get my attention.

patfla06 07-06-2021 06:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom359 (Post 1969241)
Lived through Hurricane Andrew when we were in Miami. My rule of thumb is that anything CAT 3 or above gets my attention. CAT 1 and 2 are just "be prepared to be without power for a few days", anything higher can be significantly different. Tropical Storm or CAT 1 don't even get my attention.

Exactly!
I’ve lived in Florida 24 years (17 in Tampa) and I’m storm weary. :ohdear:

Tim C. 07-07-2021 06:35 AM

just rain....for those who evacuated...panic much? :)

billethkid 07-07-2021 08:01 AM

We know the media loves a captive audience and they use fear as an attraction or retainer.

They are very adept at making a banquet out of a ham sandwich!!

skip0358 07-07-2021 09:06 AM

Why in the devil would you even think of evacuating Florida especially from a tropical storm. MAYBE relocate inland IF you were on the coast and the Mother storm was coming. Geez take a step back and relax.

davem4616 07-07-2021 10:21 AM

most of the homes in TV are safe to hunker down in during a hurricane, exception being the modular homes in the historic section

in 2017 we hunkered down here when TV took a direct hit with a hurricane...we had absolutely no damage...our home is block construction, not stick...but even the stick homes held up. The design of the roofs is critical, the developer got it right

back in 2008 we hunkered down during a Cat 5 direct hit from Wilma when we were in Ft Lauderdale, no damage (again in a block house construction)

if you're uncomfortable staying after listening to the Weather Channel on the television then seek higher ground that is away from the projected path....I do sense that the Weather Channel has become far too dramatic over the years and has a tendency to scare the heck out of people.

best job in the world is being a weather forecaster....if you're wrong and the storm misses, you get a pass,...if you nailed it and you get hit, everybody thinks you're great and says thanks. it's a win/win

tuccillo 07-07-2021 11:42 AM

Irma was either a cat1 or a tropical storm when it was closest to The Villages and was not a "direct hit" on The Villages. The track of the center of the circulation was west of us - closer to Crystal River than The Villages. As I have previously stated, this is of little actual consequence since the circulation was pretty wide when it was nearest to us. The true track of the center of the circulation matters for forecast verification purposes.

Wilma was not a cat5 hurricane over Florida. It was a cat2 or cat3 over FL and exited FL around Boca, IIRC. It was moving to the east/northeast after coming out of the Gulf.

There is no "right" or "wrong" with weather forecasting. We deal with probabilities of events happening. All forecasts have error bars, either implicitly or explicitly stated, and the errors decrease as we get close to the actual event. I know people want "yes" and "no" answers but few things in science work that way.

Weather forecasting is based, in part, on numerical integration of the Navier-Stokes equations of fluid motion plus computations of radiative transfer, parameterized turbulence including boundary layer effects, and phase change of water. This is an initial value problem where the initial state is known with various epsilons and is inherently a chaotic system, which places limits on predictability.

Quote:

Originally Posted by davem4616 (Post 1969588)
most of the homes in TV are safe to hunker down in during a hurricane, exception being the modular homes in the historic section

in 2017 we hunkered down here when TV took a direct hit with a hurricane...we had absolutely no damage...our home is block construction, not stick...but even the stick homes held up. The design of the roofs is critical, the developer got it right

back in 2008 we hunkered down during a Cat 5 direct hit from Wilma when we were in Ft Lauderdale, no damage (again in a block house construction)

if you're uncomfortable staying after listening to the Weather Channel on the television then seek higher ground that is away from the projected path....I do sense that the Weather Channel has become far too dramatic over the years and has a tendency to scare the heck out of people.

best job in the world is being a weather forecaster....if you're wrong and the storm misses, you get a pass,...if you nailed it and you get hit, everybody thinks you're great and says thanks. it's a win/win


Seamus6 07-07-2021 12:17 PM

I'm in Maryland and probably won't get down to TV for years but this is my hurricane preparedness plan for where I live:

Whole House generator. Check
90-120 days of food. Check (I'm a foodie with a lot of room in the house)
30 days of wine. Check
30 days of beer. Check
120 days of vodka. Check
120 days of rum. Check
.....100 other alcoholic items down the list...
360 days of backup alcohol. Check
6 rolls Toilet paper. Check. (not a lot of room left in the house after buying everything else) but also have a few reams of printer paper and last years tax return.

Topspinmo 07-07-2021 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CFrance (Post 1968610)
I've done that, from sheer laziness. Going from Lowe's to Aldi's to Walgreens, all on 466A. You just don't know why that guy has his mask on. Maybe somebody farted in his car.


Masks don’t stop gas:icon_wink: only gas mask does :)

JMintzer 07-07-2021 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seamus6 (Post 1969630)
I'm in Maryland and probably won't get down to TV for years but this is my hurricane preparedness plan for where I live:

Whole House generator. Check
90-120 days of food. Check (I'm a foodie with a lot of room in the house)
30 days of wine. Check
30 days of beer. Check
120 days of vodka. Check
120 days of rum. Check
.....100 other alcoholic items down the list...
360 days of backup alcohol. Check
6 rolls Toilet paper. Check. (not a lot of room left in the house after buying everything else) but also have a few reams of printer paper and last years tax return.

Where in MD?

I think I just found my soul mate...

P.S. I have plenty of toilet paper to contribute to the effort...

Seamus6 07-08-2021 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMintzer (Post 1969668)
Where in MD?

I think I just found my soul mate...

P.S. I have plenty of toilet paper to contribute to the effort...


We live in the People's Republic of Baltimore County thinking about TV for the future.


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