Latest Guidance from Miami
 

Here is the latest guidance from Miami. They continue to keep it downgraded to a tropical storm once it gets up to our latitude and they keep the path mostly off shore. The run to run GFS guidance looks pretty consistent. At this point, we will probably see some gusty winds and showers. It is still far out - south of the Dominican Republic.

HURRICANE ELSA

Personally I would not live on either Coast as statistically they get hurricanes pretty much regularly every year or so and it can be pretty bad. For those of us living in Central Florida lake and Sumter. There is less cause for concern as well the hurricanes do come by the time they reach us they are tropical storms have lower intensity. I'm not saying they're not good but they're not as bad as because and we still can get 90 mph winds. In other words checking your lawn furniture and your gnomes. If you're a newer resident, you should always have a few extra gallons of water in your pantry and some extra cans of tuna fish, just because you never know what is going to be a power outage or a problem with the water for a few days. As a famous movie said " Don't panic" . We had a transformer go down in our community and half the homes were out for 20 plus hours. However that was only once in the 20 plus years I have been here

So, where they going to go? Unless it’s at least 500 miles west and 500 mile north how know won’t travel in the path and possibly run into spin off tornado? So far the tropical storms in middle of state has been like stormy windy day in Oklahoma. When storm approaches you in Oklahoma you prepare to get underground. Now, if I was right on coast I would be concerned. But, they knew that when moved to coast. IMO would be more concerned with spin off tornado than the hurricane around here.

No need to evacuate Florida, just hurry and harvest Cuban tobacco.

this. Tornado of 2007 did more damage to TV than any named storm. Worst of it should we take a direct path will be extended power outages which has never happened since 1998.

Encourage them to leave, less traffic when the real evacuation comes and more gas for us that stay. People that evacuate at the last minute well endure the hurricane in their car stuck in traffic on I75.

Sounds like they, like many others, have been conditioned to fear, as been the case these last 2 years.

The "Ridiculous Post of the Year" award is coming up later in the year. And the nominees are ...

If your friends are panicking about this storm, they should reconsider living in Florida. These storms are common in the summer.

From a ‘moron’
 

I suffer from pollen and dust allergies and have ALWAYS worn an N-95 mask when cycling and even playing golf. If there is a ‘moron’ around a mirror may help you find one….

[QUOTE=golfing eagles;1967710]I assume you were being disingenuous. But seriously, no one should panic. After all, when they do evacuate for a hurricane, THIS is the place they evacuate those people TO[/QUOTE

Having lived in Key West for 31 years I can reassure you that the Orlando area is where we evacuated to.
We are not having the storm surges that coastal towns have.
Have lanterns, batteries, water, non perishable food, manual can opener. Make sure your propane tank for grill is full
and maybe a little butane stove. I would think this would be sufficient to reassure you that you safely ride out stormy weather. Feel Safe.

Before I would evacuate I would personally wait for the SHARPE supplement

Irma was a cat 1 when she passed over central Fl.

I have lived in hurricane alley for over 40 years. 20 years in SE Florida (palm beach county) 21 years in SE Texas (Houston area)never evacuated but watched thousands trapped in grid lock trying to several times.

Stayed home watched the hurricane on TV and never a shingle lifted so I say hurricane schmuricane I’m sticking to my standard hurricane preparedness plan. Nothing that’s my plan. No shutters, no bottled water, no batteries, no generator. No nuthin. Hurricane on. Peace out!

Everyone can calm down. So Fl is out of the cone for now. Possible heavy rains for Broward n Palm Beach. And anyone who panics for a hurticane is new to Fl