How is your portfolio holding up?

Closed Thread
Thread Tools
  #1  
Old 05-09-2022, 05:54 AM
Babubhat Babubhat is offline
Platinum member
Join Date: May 2021
Posts: 1,873
Thanks: 306
Thanked 1,707 Times in 761 Posts
Default How is your portfolio holding up?

Stocks and bonds in bear market. Crypto and commodities getting crushed today. Housing prices have topped. Cash and being short look like the only positive returns. Big liquidity trap.
  #2  
Old 05-09-2022, 06:58 AM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
Sage
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 12,539
Thanks: 1,164
Thanked 14,016 Times in 5,320 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Babubhat View Post
Stocks and bonds in bear market. Crypto and commodities getting crushed today. Housing prices have topped. Cash and being short look like the only positive returns. Big liquidity trap.
When you consider inflation and paying taxes on the pitiful small interest rates available nothing is giving a positive return.

Markets go up and down and nobody can consistently figure out the highs and lows.
  #3  
Old 05-09-2022, 07:11 AM
retiredguy123 retiredguy123 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 14,127
Thanks: 2,320
Thanked 13,588 Times in 5,185 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Babubhat View Post
Stocks and bonds in bear market. Crypto and commodities getting crushed today. Housing prices have topped. Cash and being short look like the only positive returns. Big liquidity trap.
40 percent stocks, 40 percent bonds, 20 percent cash. My portfolio is down about 9 percent since the beginning of the year. Last year, it was up 10 percent for the year. Selling would mean huge capital gains. Fortunately, I live off of my pension.
  #4  
Old 05-09-2022, 07:18 AM
JoelJohnson JoelJohnson is offline
Veteran member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Lady Lake, FL
Posts: 881
Thanks: 675
Thanked 442 Times in 205 Posts
Default

I'll let you know in 5 years.
  #5  
Old 05-09-2022, 07:46 AM
Robbb Robbb is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2021
Posts: 300
Thanks: 103
Thanked 382 Times in 137 Posts
Default

Turns out bond funds were the "big lie" of the decade, all the risk none of the returns.
  #6  
Old 05-09-2022, 08:19 AM
manaboutown manaboutown is offline
Sage
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: NJ, NM, SC, PA, DC, MD, VA, NY, CA, ID and finally FL.
Posts: 7,397
Thanks: 12,904
Thanked 4,592 Times in 1,758 Posts
Default

I am waiting for the market to bottom as I just sold a commercial property at an unbelievably low cap rate and now have cash to invest (after paying a huge tax bill).

Patience is a virtue, at least in this market.

Rents still coming in well. The houses I own are still appreciating according to Zillow for whatever that's worth. I sleep well at night.
__________________
"No one is more hated than he who speaks the truth." Plato

“To argue with a person who has renounced the use of reason is like administering medicine to the dead.” Thomas Paine
  #7  
Old 05-09-2022, 08:22 AM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
Sage
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 12,539
Thanks: 1,164
Thanked 14,016 Times in 5,320 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by manaboutown View Post
I am waiting for the market to bottom as I just sold a commercial property at an unbelievably low cap rate and now have cash to invest (after paying a huge tax bill).

Patience is a virtue, at least in this market.

Rents still coming in well. The houses I own are still appreciating according to Zillow for whatever that's worth. I sleep well at night.
How in the world will you know when the market bottoms out? Dollar cost averaging works the best for times like this.
  #8  
Old 05-09-2022, 08:30 AM
RICH1 RICH1 is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: South
Posts: 1,283
Thanks: 3,259
Thanked 1,301 Times in 559 Posts
Default

65 year old Day traders are jumping off Step stools ! A good Broker is only as good as the Market…
  #9  
Old 05-09-2022, 08:48 AM
manaboutown manaboutown is offline
Sage
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: NJ, NM, SC, PA, DC, MD, VA, NY, CA, ID and finally FL.
Posts: 7,397
Thanks: 12,904
Thanked 4,592 Times in 1,758 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stu from NYC View Post
How in the world will you know when the market bottoms out? Dollar cost averaging works the best for times like this.
I can't possibly know "the bottom" but am planning some purchases when P/E ratios drop to about their historical averages. At present it seems to me the market will drop further due to inflation, rising interest rates, issues due to the war in Ukraine and other factors.
__________________
"No one is more hated than he who speaks the truth." Plato

“To argue with a person who has renounced the use of reason is like administering medicine to the dead.” Thomas Paine
  #10  
Old 05-09-2022, 10:27 AM
Babubhat Babubhat is offline
Platinum member
Join Date: May 2021
Posts: 1,873
Thanks: 306
Thanked 1,707 Times in 761 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by melpetezrinski View Post
"nothing is making money"? How about commodities?
Not today. Apple chart just broke support. Massive put buying 15 points below. Timber!

Prince would say going to party like it’s 1929.

History channel says:
The Market—And People—Were Overconfident

Some experts argue that at the time of the crash, stocks were wildly overpriced and that a collapse was imminent.

That same sense of reckless overconfidence extended to average consumers and small investors, too, leading to an “asset bubble.” The crash happened after a long period of rising market growth that led to consumer overconfidence.

In fact, after 1922, the stock market had increased by nearly 20 percent each year until 1929.

Last edited by Babubhat; 05-09-2022 at 10:32 AM.
  #11  
Old 05-09-2022, 10:41 AM
Rainger99 Rainger99 is offline
Platinum member
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 1,585
Thanks: 1
Thanked 1,303 Times in 588 Posts
Default

Everything is down! I lost more last month than i made my first three years of working (before taxes)!
  #12  
Old 05-09-2022, 10:44 AM
melpetezrinski melpetezrinski is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 165
Thanks: 0
Thanked 125 Times in 76 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Babubhat View Post
Not today. Apple chart just broke support. Massive put buying 15 points below. Timber!
No, not today but one day declines in an asset class doesn't really warrant the claim that "nothing is making money". And yes, buying put options ARE making money, as well as, shorting the market.
  #13  
Old 05-09-2022, 10:51 AM
Babubhat Babubhat is offline
Platinum member
Join Date: May 2021
Posts: 1,873
Thanks: 306
Thanked 1,707 Times in 761 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by melpetezrinski View Post
No, not today but one day declines in an asset class doesn't really warrant the claim that "nothing is making money". And yes, buying put options ARE making money, as well as, shorting the market.
Sqqq has been the G.O.A.T
  #14  
Old 05-09-2022, 12:24 PM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
Sage
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 12,539
Thanks: 1,164
Thanked 14,016 Times in 5,320 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by melpetezrinski View Post
No, not today but one day declines in an asset class doesn't really warrant the claim that "nothing is making money". And yes, buying put options ARE making money, as well as, shorting the market.
Anything can make money until they dont.
  #15  
Old 05-09-2022, 12:37 PM
rustyp rustyp is offline
Sage
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 2,985
Thanks: 5,221
Thanked 2,298 Times in 819 Posts
Default

Let's assume you have less than 5 years to live would you get out of the market now and wait for volatility to stabilize and then get back in ? Riding out the market and waiting for a comeback makes no money. Getting out now and getting back in at a lower point makes money when the comeback comes. Staying in for the long term is a good strategy if you have a long term. So if you are willing to play the odds on the stock market per history why would one not be willing to play the odds on life expectancy per history ?
Closed Thread

Tags
prices, liquidity, big, returns, positive

Thread Tools

You are viewing a new design of the TOTV site. Click here to revert to the old version.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:13 PM.