Originally Posted by Laker14 (Post 2376326)

I'm no meteorologist but I can't remember a system like this developing in the western Caribbean and moving northeast. It seems to me they usually start off the coast of Africa as "tropical disturbances" and track westward with the trade winds.

Once again I'm glad I was too poor to retire to the Gulf Coast.

Originally Posted by Bill14564 (Post 2376593)

I imagine the answer depends on context.

If you are questioning your insurance company about your deductible then you were in a hurricane.

If you are talking to someone whose roof blew off when <storm name here> came ashore then you were not "in" a hurricane.

I expect my phrase will be, "When hurricane Milton came over the Villages....."

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 2376619)

Thanks. I could be wrong, but, as I understand it, there a separate deductible for hurricanes vs regular wind damage. But, the wind speed is not a factor. If there is a "named" hurricane in the area, and your house has wind damage, the hurricane deductible applies, even if the wind speed at your house was lower than 74 mph.

Originally Posted by Retiredsteve (Post 2376606)

I'm starting to wonder if there isn't something to that climate change stuff

Originally Posted by biker1 (Post 2376529)

The center of the circulation of Irma passed to the west of The Villages as a tropical storm or just barely a cat 1 in 2017. The wind field has very broad.

Originally Posted by Windguy (Post 2376543)

According to Weather Underground, the highest sustained winds are expected to be 32 MPH in Wildwood on Wednesday evening. So, the forecasters are predicting significant weakening as it crosses the state.

Originally Posted by kkingston57 (Post 2376625)

In TV winds will vary as it is much bigger than the eye of almost all hurricanes. Milton looks bad. If this strength of a storm was this close to the coastal areas 90% of the people would now be putting up storm shutters and plywood would be un available. My 1st storm without having shutters or impact glass and hoping for the best.

Originally Posted by mbene (Post 2376294)

Looks like the next hurricane is on its way.

https://youtu.be/hq5c8_X1Iio?si=4jUHi0l_2DoYxndZ

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 2376582)

Question: If a hurricane develops and causes damage in other areas but, when it arrives in The Villages, the sustained winds are only about 40 or 50 mph, does that mean that The Villages did NOT experience a hurricane? If so, has The Viillages ever experienced a hurricane? As I understand it, wind gusts do not count, only "sustained" winds. And, tornadoes do not count. I have heard a lot of people talk about hurricanes they experienced in The Villages, but when I have looked at the historical data, I have never found a time when The Villages ever experienced "sustained" hurricane wind speeds of 74 mph or greater.

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 2376619)

Thanks. I could be wrong, but, as I understand it, there a separate deductible for hurricanes vs regular wind damage. But, the wind speed is not a factor. If there is a "named" hurricane in the area, and your house has wind damage, the hurricane deductible applies, even if the wind speed at your house was lower than 74 mph.

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 2376619)

Thanks. I could be wrong, but, as I understand it, there a separate deductible for hurricanes vs regular wind damage. But, the wind speed is not a factor. If there is a "named" hurricane in the area, and your house has wind damage, the hurricane deductible applies, even if the wind speed at your house was lower than 74 mph.

Originally Posted by biker1 (Post 2376535)

Some of the 06Z model runs have the center of the circulation south of The Villages on Wednesday evening. The NHC’s cone of possibilities is very broad at that point, as it should be since that is 3.5 days out. At this point, there is little doubt that we will be impacted. At this time, the NHC has a low probability of us experiencing hurricane force winds. That can change as we get closer in time. See the latest storm track guidance from the NHC below.

TROPICAL STORM MILTON

Originally Posted by ElDiabloJoe (Post 2376659)

I have a question. Seriously wondering, not questioning moderation standards or guidelines. Is this permissible?

I was under the impression that such highly politicized content was verboten. This constant fear mongering on this same topic over and over again. Are you telling me this isn't a TOS violation? It's almost harassment, or even spam at this point. It's misinformation and if this were a social media platform it would have a huge "FACT CHECK" over it and you wouldn't even be able to see it unless you clicked through all the warnings. These claims that keep getting screamed in all caps are dubious and based on dubious scientific data of which there are plenty of reputable counter-studies.

Would it be okay if I kept posting (in almost every post I make) that our usage of electric vehicles is driving a massive pending sky-is-falling environmental disaster in the form of lithium mining and disposal?

I'm simply looking for clarification and posting guidelines so that I do not err and violate TOS.

Originally Posted by kkingston57 (Post 2376634)

Good ? and no one will ever know because of the size of TV. Biggest concern on hurricane vs non hurricane is for insurance purposes. If TV does not have hurricane force winds you will still have a hurricane, deductible (2-5% of your building limit) will apply as opposed to a regular deductible.

Originally Posted by JGibson (Post 2376575)

I lived in Phoenix for 5 years and never seen a flash flood.

Arizona has much better weather than Florida.

Originally Posted by Retiredsteve (Post 2376606)

I'm starting to wonder if there isn't something to that climate change stuff

Originally Posted by biker1 (Post 2376548)

This far out, you are better off looking at the probabilities from the NHC instead of a deterministic value. See link below.

TROPICAL STORM MILTON

Originally Posted by midiwiz (Post 2376784)

actually Mike's is far more accurate that NHC. This thing is going south we won't get much but a nasty T-Storm

Originally Posted by Rocksnap (Post 2376779)

The flip side. People living in Asheville, NC their whole lives never saw a flash flood either!

Originally Posted by Cliff10 (Post 2376788)

Are there any sandbag filling locations near the villages?

Originally Posted by Rocksnap (Post 2376779)

The flip side. People living in Asheville, NC their whole lives never saw a flash flood either!

Originally Posted by midiwiz (Post 2376784)

actually Mike's is far more accurate that NHC. This thing is going south we won't get much but a nasty T-Storm

Originally Posted by CoachKandSportsguy (Post 2376849)

The last time Ashville, NC was flooded out, drowning deaths, buildings washed away, and had to rebuild was 1919. The technological world hasn't started yet, so historical information is very spotty and limited. Kind of an example of a 100 year event. . . which few if any remember, and the third generation has lost the handed down stories from the era, so local history restarts again. .

YMMV

Originally Posted by mbene (Post 2376294)

Looks like the next hurricane is on its way.

https://youtu.be/hq5c8_X1Iio?si=4jUHi0l_2DoYxndZ

Originally Posted by Byte1 (Post 2376872)

All this rain and threats of bad weather is killing my chance of a quick sale of my house in The Villages. Oh well, a whole lot of folks are having a worse time.

Originally Posted by justjim (Post 2376866)

Although debating Climate Change maybe useful, that may be more appropriate for another Thread.

Milton is very serious and Milton is not Helene. If I was going to hunker down in a manufactured home like many did during Helene, I would be thinking to evacuate this time to a shelter or a friends house. Helene was more than a hundred miles out in the Gulf. Milton is very different. Just saying…