Villages "Buildout" Population?

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  #1  
Old 01-24-2020, 10:12 AM
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Default Villages "Buildout" Population?

I know "buildout" is a moving target, but, given all known land acquisition and government approvals for development, does anyone have a source or number for what the projected population will be when all existing land is developed?


Facts are helpful, guesses are welcome.
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  #2  
Old 01-24-2020, 10:37 AM
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Unless you are the family those numbers will never be made known until they announce. As long as they continue to purchase property, it will be a rolling guess. I do not believe many will see build out. Maybe the next generation might
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Old 01-24-2020, 10:46 AM
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I don’t believe even the family has a really reliable answer. I doubt they would even claim to.
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Old 01-24-2020, 11:08 AM
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A profitable going concern has no reason to close up shop.

Build out is a resident inspired query.
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Old 01-24-2020, 11:10 AM
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When TV surpasses St Pete in population, bet it could happen in 8 years--274,00
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Old 01-24-2020, 11:18 AM
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Based on current land acquisitions 250,000 is the guess right now.
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Old 01-24-2020, 11:24 AM
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Default Approaching 200,000

Based upon the number of units that have been announced for Southern Oaks A, Southern Oaks B and Leesburg (43,100) and the announced units for District 13, that would put the total number of units in The Villages at over 111,022, which based upon current occupancy (1.75 persons per unit) is a total population around 195,000.
  #8  
Old 01-24-2020, 02:20 PM
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Who is talking build-out???


No one in the know.


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  #9  
Old 01-24-2020, 08:56 PM
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At the current rate of selling around 2,300 homes per year, in ten years the population will grow by around 45,000 people. It will be interesting to see if they are able to or want to increase the number of new homes sold to the hay days of around 3,500 to 4,000 plus homes sold per year.

Year Homes Sold (Home and Lot) Average Sale Price
1986 511 *
1987 543 *
1988 517 *
1989 542 $ 74,000
1990 502 79,000
1991 430 81,000
1992 562 87,000
1993 567 93,000
1994 686 98,000
1995 700 106,000
1996 753 115,000
1997 1,054 119,000
1998 1,321 129,000
1999 1,544 139,000
2000 1,776 151,000
2001 2,074 156,000
2002 2,260 163,000
2003 3,329 168,000
2004 3,955 204,000
2005 4,263 232,000
2006 3,935 257,000
2007 2,403 251,000
2008 2,236 231,000
2009 2,115 229,000
2010 2,208 231,000
2011 2,307 241,000
2012 2,850 244,000
2013 3,419 271,000
2014 2,601 304,000
2015 2,294 304,000
2016 1,966
2017 2,231
2018 2,134 281,000

Last edited by twoplanekid; 01-25-2020 at 06:59 AM.
  #10  
Old 01-25-2020, 06:51 AM
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Default Villages population guestimate

Quote:
Originally Posted by villages07 View Post
I know "buildout" is a moving target, but, given all known land acquisition and government approvals for development, does anyone have a source or number for what the projected population will be when all existing land is developed?


Facts are helpful, guesses are welcome.
With all the land purchases the villages estimates room for 60,000 homes. With 1.8 per home that’s about 105,000 more people. Population now about 128,000 so estimate over 230,000 but that would be over 20 years from now given they sell 2500 new homes a year. We have had a booming economy for almost 10 years so a slowdown which will eventually come could make buildout longer
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Old 01-25-2020, 07:13 AM
Dave2000 Dave2000 is offline
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"You build it and they will come"
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Old 01-25-2020, 07:15 AM
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Build out in June 2083.
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Old 01-25-2020, 07:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chatbrat View Post
When TV surpasses St Pete in population, bet it could happen in 8 years--274,00
They sell 2200 new homes a year. If each home has 2 people in 8 years the population increase is only 35,200. With a current population of around 135000 it would take 16 years to get to 200,000.

They will keep building as long as people keep buying.
  #14  
Old 01-25-2020, 08:02 AM
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Default Demographics

The baby boomers are a swell in the population and assume it will dip. The millennials are a long way from retiring and who knows what people will want decades from now.
  #15  
Old 01-25-2020, 09:24 AM
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As long as there is land available in Fl. I believe they will keep building,
How about The Villages , Ga? The Villages, Tx?
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buildout, land, population, projected, villages

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