Talk of The Villages Florida

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-   The Villages, Florida, General Discussion (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-general-discussion-73/)
-   -   Villages q1 2024 market update (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-general-discussion-73/villages-q1-2024-market-update-349449/)

Tonydivo 04-21-2024 06:57 AM

Only traffic in my house is on open houses. We live in what they call the most sought after village. My realtor never walked anyone through. Go figure.🤦🏻*♂️

Normal 04-21-2024 07:04 AM

Realtors
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tonydivo (Post 2323595)
Only traffic in my house is on open houses. We live in what they call the most sought after village. My realtor never walked anyone through. Go figure.🤦🏻*♂️

Thankfully realtors are a dying breed. Whatever your markup was for paying them, just think how much quicker your house would have sold without it. The markup is a sales killer!

coleprice 04-21-2024 07:07 AM

Golfers Should Purchase Pre-Owned Homes in North & Central Villages
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by twoplanekid (Post 2323514)
These are the actual numbers that have been reported for new home sales over the years.

Year Homes Sold (Home and Lot) Average Sale Price
1986 511 *
1987 543 *
1988 517 *
1989 542 $ 74,000
1990 502 79,000
1991 430 81,000
1992 562 87,000
1993 567 93,000
1994 686 98,000
1995 700 106,000
1996 753 115,000
1997 1,054 119,000
1998 1,321 129,000
1999 1,544 139,000
2000 1,776 151,000
2001 2,074 156,000
2002 2,260 163,000
2003 3,329 168,000
2004 3,955 204,000
2005 4,263 232,000
2006 3,935 257,000
2007 2,403 251,000
2008 2,236 231,000
2009 2,115 229,000
2010 2,208 231,000
2011 2,307 241,000
2012 2,850 244,000
2013 3,419 271,000
2014 2,601 304,000
2015 2,294 304,000
2016 1,966
2017 2,231
2018 2,134 281,000
2019 2,429 307,000
2020 2,452
2021 4,004
2022 3,923
2023 3,029 410,000

Note: the numbers from the beginning thru 2015 came from page 43 of the SLCDD 9/10/2015 Agenda PDF
The information appearing herein regarding The Villages and the Developer has been furnished by the Developer.
All other data was gathered from published reports in the Daily Sun

Golfers shopping for homes in The Villages should NOT purchase a New Home in the Southern Areas, which lack enough Executive Golf Courses. Rather, they should buy a pre-owned home in the Middle or Northern areas which have plenty of Executive golf courses nearby.

Randall55 04-21-2024 07:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by frayedends (Post 2323584)
I disagree on investors, but it totally depends on how long they are willing to wait. Even 2008 investors eventually made lots of money, if they waited long enough.

It is no longer profitable for investors to sit on a home for years.Home prices, taxes, and bonds are too high. It is much better to invest money where you can get an easy 5% or higher. Carrying high monthly expenses with the hope of getting a great return at a much further date goes against common sense.

huge-pigeons 04-21-2024 07:14 AM

The sky is falling is absurd. Not buying because the bond is $50k, illogical. Not buying because you have a feeling you are paying more than your neighbors, illogical too.
I have friends that have been competing with 200 other people to buy in Eastport, lost out 5 times now but still trying. Every new house in Eastport will sell. If I was the developer and wanted to make money, have each new home sell to the highest bidder. You have up to 200 people wanting to buy each house/property, it would be a gold mine. Thank god the developers don’t do that.
If your house is in good shape, reasonably priced, in a good area, it will sell in weeks. I have a friend out of state that I assisted in checking out houses and he bought 1 that was on the market only a few days. I also know houses that over exaggerate their home/location and have come down hundreds of thousands or more and been on the market for many months.

As for buying a home with a $50k bond, I have friends that have moved from existing villages to Newell and they are very happy. They bought on a pond and said they saved over $150k for a pond house in the other areas. They were already paying $35k bond, so saving $150k on a lot but increasing their bond by $10k, that’s a h3ll of a deal.

Some of the areas that have a fire sale, I wouldn’t buy them at a $100k discount. But at $50k discount and you want the house, you can brag to the old neighbors you got the better deal. If you wait, somebody else might come in and buy them.

If I was looking, this would be a good time to buy mainly because I pay cash for our home, no financing. For the seller, this is great. Cash offers don’t need an appraisal, inspections, no contingencies, etc, and it can be a very short closing date. For the buyer, I can get a better deal.

dewilson58 04-21-2024 07:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by coleprice (Post 2323601)
Golfers shopping for homes in The Villages should NOT purchase a New Home in the Southern Areas, which lack enough Executive Golf Courses.

Golfers don't focus on Executive Courses.

:ohdear:

VApeople 04-21-2024 07:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Two Bills (Post 2323577)
As far as bonds go, if you are earning more from interest on capital you could pay it off with, keep the bond payments. If not, pay it off.

Yeah, that is what we did.

We closed on our house in 2016. The interest on our bond was 6% and our savings account earned 1%.

So we paid off the bond.

Desiderata 04-21-2024 07:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tonydivo (Post 2323595)
Only traffic in my house is on open houses. We live in what they call the most sought after village. My realtor never walked anyone through. Go figure.🤦🏻*♂️

May I ask which village you live in?

Craig Vernon 04-21-2024 07:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 2323608)
Golfers don't focus on Executive Courses.

:ohdear:

You are Correct Sir.

Markus 04-21-2024 07:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by margaretmattson (Post 2323505)
What the Developer earns has NOTHING to do with homebuyers and residents. His money is his to keep. Reducing homes prices in Denham and Dabney to sell them quickly hurts those who want to sell their preowned homes. For some, the sky is falling! In order to sell, many homeowners must reduce their asking price significantly.I am so glad you are happy the Developer is making money. But, have you tried to sell your home? Maybe your outlook will change when your wallet is involved. I am pretty sure those who bought in Lake Denham and Dabney aren't thrilled their neighbors paid $50,000 less for the same model home.

Average time on market is not a good indicator. Some homeowners are lucky to sell their home in a few days or weeks. Others have their homes sitting on the market much longer. You can't lump sales together and state "everything is great." Not to mention, there is NEVER a quarterly report that shows how many preowned homes did not sell within the contract time and were removed from the listings. Did those homes vanish? This report is an old marketing technique to sku your numbers so you look good. It in NO WAY tells the complete story.

Agree. How many of the homes sitting on the market a long time are buyers asking way more for the home than the market will bear? Also, what many are missing is the MLS listings. Did some of these homes that not sell via VLS simply relist with the MLS? The VLS sales are only half of the total sales in the areas picture.

VApeople 04-21-2024 07:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 2323608)
Golfers don't focus on Executive Courses.

I have been a golfer since 1958 and even went to Univ. of Florida on a full golf scholarship. I will be 79 in a few weeks. I hate riding in golf carts.

My wife and I love the new pitch and putt courses, especially MickyLee. We played there yesterday but quit after 9 holes because it was so hot. Then we drove across Bexley Bridge to look at the new areas and took Marsh Bend Trail up to Magnolia Plaza, where we got two milkshakes at Foxtail coffee shop.

It was a wonderful day.

CarlR33 04-21-2024 07:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Craig Vernon (Post 2323581)
If you purchased 2022 or after with improvements etc you are most likely going to struggle to recoup.

Unless you’re an investment flipper then who cares your going to sell maybe 5-10 years down the road anyhow. Go to the pool and relax. Does this mean you’re not buying soon as you have said?

merrymini 04-21-2024 07:41 AM

Anyone who purchases anything without looking at every single economic aspect is a fool. The driver here is what you are selling and what people are willing to pay. Simple.

jrref 04-21-2024 07:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Papa_lecki (Post 2323552)
Wait, I was told by TOTV experts that paying off the bond doesn’t impact your resale.

A home with the bond paid off is just another selling point along with a pool, extra bedrooms, baths or any other improvement that makes the property stand out among the competition.

I have to admit, a $48K bond is a lot of extra money you will need to pay every year.

Craig Vernon 04-21-2024 07:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CarlR33 (Post 2323625)
Unless you’re an investment flipper then who cares your going to sell maybe 5-10 years down the road anyhow. Go to the pool and relax. Does this mean you’re not buying soon as you have said?

My wife and I will be in TV for the month of May and will be actively looking.

margaretmattson 04-21-2024 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by huge-pigeons (Post 2323607)
The sky is falling is absurd. Not buying because the bond is $50k, illogical. Not buying because you have a feeling you are paying more than your neighbors, illogical too.
I have friends that have been competing with 200 other people to buy in Eastport, lost out 5 times now but still trying. Every new house in Eastport will sell. If I was the developer and wanted to make money, have each new home sell to the highest bidder. You have up to 200 people wanting to buy each house/property, it would be a gold mine. Thank god the developers don’t do that.
If your house is in good shape, reasonably priced, in a good area, it will sell in weeks. I have a friend out of state that I assisted in checking out houses and he bought 1 that was on the market only a few days. I also know houses that over exaggerate their home/location and have come down hundreds of thousands or more and been on the market for many months.

As for buying a home with a $50k bond, I have friends that have moved from existing villages to Newell and they are very happy. They bought on a pond and said they saved over $150k for a pond house in the other areas. They were already paying $35k bond, so saving $150k on a lot but increasing their bond by $10k, that’s a h3ll of a deal.

Some of the areas that have a fire sale, I wouldn’t buy them at a $100k discount. But at $50k discount and you want the house, you can brag to the old neighbors you got the better deal. If you wait, somebody else might come in and buy them.

If I was looking, this would be a good time to buy mainly because I pay cash for our home, no financing. For the seller, this is great. Cash offers don’t need an appraisal, inspections, no contingencies, etc, and it can be a very short closing date. For the buyer, I can get a better deal.

People look at things differently.

1. The sky is falling for those who cannot sell their home. You believe it is their fault, I see it differently.

2. You do not mind carrying a $50,000 bond. I prefer to buy a preowned with no bond. I would rather use the $50,000 to make upgrades to the property. Without having to pay a monthly $250 or more bond payment, my savings will help to offset the price of my upgrades. Plus, I get to live in a home that is to my liking not some standard cookie cutter home. If I bought a new home, there would be upgrades needed: landscaping, gutters, painting, bird cage, etc. $50,000 for a bond plus more for upgrades? I would rather not!

3. I do not have a FEELING I am paying more than neighbors. Go on VLS and check the prices for Dabney and Lake Denham. There are hundreds of REAL price reductions.I am not making this up.

4. Why do I not want to spend more for the same home as my neighbor? If I am ever in a need to sell scenario, I would rather be the lowest asking price in my neighborhood than the highest. Having to compete with a neighbor who paid $50,000 less than me could mean I have to reduce my asking price by that amount. This means I may have to sell for a loss. Not a good thing especially if you are in a need to sell position.

5. I do not buy a home at a lesser price to BRAG. Informed decisions keeps money in my bank account. Exactly where I like it!

dewilson58 04-21-2024 08:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by margaretmattson (Post 2323645)
1. The sky is falling for those who cannot sell their home. You believe it is their fault, I see it differently.

2.

3. I do not have a FEELING I am paying more than ?neighbors. Go on VLS and check the price reductions for Dabney and Lake Denham.

1) Sad if "your" house is not selling and "you" feel the sky is falling. "You" have other issues.

3) "price reductions"..........sounds like someone felling for selling tactics. Over price, sit for a month and then give a "discount". Look, a price reduction.

MSGirl 04-21-2024 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by margaretmattson (Post 2323515)
Agree with most of what you said. However, some homes in Lake Denham and Dabney were indeed reduced by $50,000. My daughter looked at one because the price intrigued her. The sales rep told her the developer was eager to unload the inventory.She did not purchase because she felt the prices may go lower. She did not want to live in an area where she paid more for a home than neighbors.

The reduction of home prices in new Villages as they close out that Village is very common and has been going on for YEARS! The beauty of The Villages is you won’t lose money on your home. You still build equity. Have to stop thinking as if you’re in anywhere else USA. If you want to buy, can buy, but holdout for lower prices, the buyer will be the loser in the end

vintageogauge 04-21-2024 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by margaretmattson (Post 2323528)
This is the only place that new homes are cheaper than re-sales. From personal experience, 70% over cost after 3 years is to be expected.

Preowned homes are more expensive because they have $25,000 or more to pay in closing costs. This gets added to the asking price. Not to mention the cost of upgrades they made to the home. Since many Villagers sell their homes within 1 to 3 years, I understand why their asking price is higher than new construction.

Those who sold their homes 70% or more over cost were fortunate. Those who bought the homes are now sitting on homes they cannot sell. Their asking price is way above the market. On MLS we see many who bought homes during the covid craze who now must take a loss. Some 40K and more. My daughter is moving slow in buying. She wants to do everything she can to avoid a possible expensive mistake. It seems for every"I made a wad of cash on my home' story, there is a sad reality for those who paid the wad. This is happening because the Developer continues to build at marginal price increases and has no problem discounting hundreds of homes to suit his needs. A buyer has to be careful![/QUOTE]

I know a lot of people that sold homes south of 44 after as little as 1 year up to 5 and 6 years and all of them were sold at a price giving the owners a hefty positive return on their investments, some nearly double what they paid. Also I have never heard of anyone, at least south of 44, that sold their home at a loss. Your daughter moving slowly can be making a mistake.

justjim 04-21-2024 08:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 2323608)
Golfers don't focus on Executive Courses.

:ohdear:

Many older golfers do. Perhaps a championship nine once a week or every 10 days.

dewilson58 04-21-2024 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justjim (Post 2323671)
Many older golfers do. Perhaps a championship nine once a week or every 10 days.

and they purchased years ago and live north of 44.

:ho:

margaretmattson 04-21-2024 08:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 2323650)
1) Sad if "your" house is not selling and "you" feel the sky is falling. "You" have other issues.

3) "price reductions"..........sounds like someone felling for selling tactics. Over price, sit for a month and then give a "discount". Look, a price reduction.

I am not trying to sell a home. I am in the market to buy. Just posting what I have seen on MLS and VLS. I WISH the market was great like some believe. What I have seen and experienced is quite the opposite.

Haggar 04-21-2024 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Papa_lecki (Post 2323552)
Wait, I was told by TOTV experts that paying off the bond doesn’t impact your resale.

Just a piece of tax advice - the loan payment (principal and interest) should be added to the tax basis of the home. Though the bond payment is on your tax bill it is not considered real estate taxes which could be used if one itemizes. Increasing the tax basis would be relevant in the sale of rental properties or homestead properties with taxable gains

Pbsabo 04-21-2024 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tonydivo (Post 2323595)
Only traffic in my house is on open houses. We live in what they call the most sought after village. My realtor never walked anyone through. Go figure.🤦🏻*♂️

We are doing a lifestyle visit this August from Memphis. I’m curious about desirability of different villages. What are the top 5 most desired in your opinion. We are leaning towards building, but are going to look at secondary.

Normal 04-21-2024 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VApeople (Post 2323610)
Yeah, that is what we did.

We closed on our house in 2016. The interest on our bond was 6% and our savings account earned 1%.

So we paid off the bond.

Every case is so different. If you closed on a new house in 2020 or 21 you hit the perfect wave. Your bond was in the 20-35k range at 3% interest, while your income on investments etc is hitting 8-10% annually. It would be a very poor financial decision to pay off the bond.

Indydealmaker 04-21-2024 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by margaretmattson (Post 2323511)
You have no idea of the true history of sales because it is NEVER reported. You are going on what you heard from the grapevine. It would be great to see ACTUAL numbers but that will never happen.

I have been here since it was only Spanish Springs. You see progress as great but I can take or leave it. Same cookie cutters homes again and again and again. The model I bought 20 years ago is still built today. I would enjoy seeing something different. Many would argue that the Villages was much better when it was smaller. Outsiders are not happy their hometown has seen a population explosion. I can go on...

My point is this. There is no sense in posting a quarterly report that only shows what the Developer wants you to know. We live in a beautiful community but like anywhere else, it has its problems. IMO, pretending everything is ALWAYS GREAT is not beneficial. Only the Developer profits from that type of behavior. I would rather see the bad as well as the good. This way, I can make informed decisions. I find it is always better to make my kool aid than drink what is served.

Chronic contrarianism is unhealthy particularly if one also suffers from "Developer Syndrome ".

Rainger99 04-21-2024 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 2323608)
Golfers don't focus on Executive Courses.

:ohdear:

You are probably correct about good golfers. But 80-90 % of all golfers are not very good. And that number may be higher here because most people are over 55 and many people never started playing until they moved here.

If you are not very good, you don’t want to pay $60-$75 a round to be frustrated. You go to the free executive courses.

margaretmattson 04-21-2024 11:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indydealmaker (Post 2323730)
Chronic contrarianism is unhealthy particularly if one also suffers from "Developer Syndrome ".

I do not have developer syndrome. It seems I am one of few who understands what he earns on the sale of his home has NOTHING in common with a homeowner wishing to sell his. TWO DIFFERENT sales transactions neither associated with the other. One can make a profit while the other has a loss. Not a difficult concept to understand.

Currently, many preowned homes are sitting on the market for months even with major price reductions. If you looked at MLS and home histories you would CLEARLY see this. If RECORDED TAX AND PRICE HISTORY is contrary to what posters are stating or the Developers averaged quarterly, sorry, I will believe the recorded history.

Average price on the sale of homes and days on market does not tell the true story. Some can sell their home for one million in 6 months while others can sell their homes for $250,000 in a few days. Averaging together is pointless. Simple third grade math.

Bogie Shooter 04-21-2024 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indydealmaker (Post 2323730)
Chronic contrarianism is unhealthy particularly if one also suffers from "Developer Syndrome ".

Quote:

Originally Posted by margaretmattson (Post 2323741)
I do not have developer syndrome. It seems I am one of few who understands what he earns on the sale of his home has NOTHING in common with a homeowner wishing to sell his. TWO DIFFERENT sales transactions neither associated with the other. One can make a profit while the other has a loss. Not a difficult concept to understand.

Currently, many preowned homes are sitting on the market for months even with major price reductions. If you looked at MLS and home histories you would CLEARLY see this. If RECORDED TAX AND PRICE HISTORY is contrary to what posters are stating, sorry, I will believe the recorded history. You are free to believe as you wish.

This would be call a minority.:):ho:

LianneMigiano 04-21-2024 11:35 AM

Do these figures that everyone is posting here include all real estate sales - or just Properties of The Villages?????

margaretmattson 04-21-2024 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LianneMigiano (Post 2323747)
Do these figures that everyone is posting here include all real estate sales - or just Properties of The Villages?????

If you are interested in buying a particular home, you can type in the address and look at the history from the county records. If the home is listed with MLS, it will also provide you with all price reductions the seller has made. VLS keeps this a secret. And why does VLS keep this secret? Because facts could be contrary to what he wants buyers to believe.

Jayhawk 04-21-2024 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Haggar (Post 2323689)
Just a piece of tax advice - the loan payment (principal and interest) should be added to the tax basis of the home.

This is not correct.

Determining Your Home's Tax Basis | Nolo

CarlR33 04-21-2024 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Craig Vernon (Post 2323641)
My wife and I will be in TV for the month of May and will be actively looking.

You will need to hit the street of dreams then.

JMintzer 04-21-2024 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 2323549)
THE PLACE IS BOOMING.
Where else is selling 2,000-3,000-4,000 houses.
Some swings, but no market bust.

Yet, for some reason, some insist on portraying that the sky is falling...

Normal 04-21-2024 12:57 PM

And
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by JMintzer (Post 2323776)
Yet, for some reason, some insist on portraying that the sky is falling...

Yet some are in the classic Denial mode…all’s great in the housing market? They love to muffle the facts with spin.
I guess if you have blinders on, yes
Again, they come from rainbow, candy sprinkles unicorn land.

JMintzer 04-21-2024 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Randall55 (Post 2323579)
Who said anything about profit? Most would want to recoup it when selling.

Recoup the bond?

It's a debt on the property, not on the seller. Once sold, there's nothing to recoup...

JMintzer 04-21-2024 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Randall55 (Post 2323591)
The Villages is booming for the Developer. Currently, many preowned homes are sitting on the market for months. If yours was one of the many sitting, would you still be laughing? A boom for the Developer does not always equate to a boom for every homeowner.

I do not think I am a real estate expert. But, I have been searching for a home. This market is rough. A few sell their homes for sizeable profit but most can't even get a buyer in their door. I see price reduction after price reduction on MLS. This week there were 64. Last week, 48. The Developer was forced to reduce the price of 250+ homes in Dabney and Lake Denham. Things are MUCH DIFFERENT than in years prior.

Since you're searching for a home, you should be happy the "market is rough" and all of the "price reductions". Why all of the complaints?

And yes, things are different than during the Covid Boom of the past few years...

JMintzer 04-21-2024 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tonydivo (Post 2323595)
Only traffic in my house is on open houses. We live in what they call the most sought after village. My realtor never walked anyone through. Go figure.🤦🏻*♂️

"The most sought after Village"? Do tell!

JMintzer 04-21-2024 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pbsabo (Post 2323691)
We are doing a lifestyle visit this August from Memphis. I’m curious about desirability of different villages. What are the top 5 most desired in your opinion. We are leaning towards building, but are going to look at secondary.

However many Villages there are, that is how many different answers you'll get...

JMintzer 04-21-2024 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Normal (Post 2323696)
Every case is so different. If you closed on a new house in 2020 or 21 you hit the perfect wave. Your bond was in the 20-35k range at 3% interest, while your income on investments etc is hitting 8-10% annually. It would be a very poor financial decision to pay off the bond.

True. We purchased a resale in February 2021. We're the 3rd owners. We paid about $30K more than the 2nd owners, who bought the house in 2018. Our bond was around $20K...


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