Talk of The Villages Florida
Page 9 of 12 « First 7 8 9 10 11 Last »
Show 40 post(s) from this thread on one page

Talk of The Villages Florida (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/)
-   The Villages, Florida, General Discussion (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-general-discussion-73/)
-   -   Watching and Waiting for a Coronavirus Surge in The Villages in Today's WSJ (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-general-discussion-73/watching-waiting-coronavirus-surge-villages-todays-wsj-305356/)

Kenswing 04-18-2020 09:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kim Fowler (Post 1748992)
It’s much more meaningful to look at cases per 100,000 people rather than just raw numbers of cases. Wish the media did this. Thank you!
This chart lists per 1 million people. You can extrapolate down from there..
United States Coronavirus: 738,830 Cases and 39,014 Deaths - Worldometer

dougawhite 04-18-2020 10:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sally2189 (Post 1748648)
They do list them every day, the number of cases and the number of deaths. If you subtract the deaths from the number of cases, you have how many have survived!
Since it takes a few weeks to die, the correct mortality rate is the # of deaths today divided by the number of cases 2-3 weeks ago.

Altavia 04-18-2020 10:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blueash (Post 1748979)
The new data from the Florida dashboard has 24 new cases in Sumter today. That is the biggest single day report and hopefully is not part of a trend. Here is the curve of Sumter cases with the last 24 hours added. One way to understand this is to see that 1/6 of all cases since the beginning were reported in the last 24 hours. Do not relax your precautions.
Any chance this is due to a change in reporting from COVID confirmed (by test) to COVID suspected?

blueash 04-18-2020 11:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robbie0723 (Post 1749008)
Any chance this is due to a change in reporting from COVID confirmed (by test) to COVID suspected?
I asked a Sumter county epidemiologist about what is being counted. Only people with positive tests. That is both for test patients and deaths. So these 24 are new positive tests on living people as the death number did not change. Yet.

Yung Dum 04-19-2020 12:30 AM
None of this quarantining matters to our health. It's only in place to reduce the burden on the hospitals. Just because restrictions are eased up, you are not a bit safer than before. There also seems to be misconceptions about testing. Testing negative does not mean you are immune. It means you don't have the virus today. You may get it tomorrow or next week. You're not safe. No one is safe until a vaccine or cure is developed and that doesn't seem to be on the horizon. If you want to protect yourself, stay home or continue social distancing.

Fishers2tall 04-19-2020 04:08 AM
Thank you!!!
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweet Caroline (Post 1748882)
Stupid article. They didnt even mention STDs, loofas, or key parties. I was so disappointed.
Thank you for your comment! That was oh so funny!!
:BigApplause::BigApplause::BigApplause: :BigApplause::BigApplause::BigApplause:

NotFromAroundHere 04-19-2020 06:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Terri8352 (Post 1748922)
68divided by128,000 equals .0037
.0037 rounded is .004...move the decimal for a percent .4% of the population....still a very low amount
Something is wrong with my calculator!!!!! When I divide 68 by 128,000 it says .00053125!!!!

Cheapbas 04-19-2020 06:30 AM
Infection rate is low, but mortality rate
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by npwalters (Post 1748233)
If I did the math right the 68 folks are .004% of TV population.
highest % in the country. Thankfully the numbers are low and we need to keep it that way.

JonWilliams 04-19-2020 06:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GoodLife (Post 1748482)
UF test was for active virus, Stanford test was for antibodies.
True. Stanford test showed how many people had been exposed to the virus and developed antibodies -- whether or not they got "sick" and have now recovered. The point of the OP was "is there going to be a breakout of illness in The Villages due to the reported 68 cases coupled with asymptomatic people who could spread the disease?" The UF study showed that the number of asymptomatic people who are actually carrying the virus is very small: one tenth of one percent. This suggests Villagers are doing a good job sheltering in place so we are likely to avoid a widespread breakout of COVID-19.

Travelhunter 04-19-2020 06:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JoMar (Post 1748724)
No....Sumter won't provide any guidance until the end of the month. Since Social distancing is required for Phase 1 and 2 how do you think that would work?
Thank you

Travelhunter 04-19-2020 07:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jenistaf (Post 1748879)
Quarantines are 14 days. Governor's order was April 1. It is April 18. People who were careless in March already got sick if they were going to. Anyone who has been careful since April 1 is gonna be fine - provided they stay careful. No surge.
Provided they didn’t come into contact with any of the people who weren’t careful and didn’t come into contact with any of the people infected by the people who weren’t careful

Travelhunter 04-19-2020 07:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Koapaka (Post 1748987)
I PRAY you are right, but think you are incorrect. My medical experience has taught me just when you THINK you are out of the woods, complacency proves otherwise. I said it before and will say it again, we need to readdress this 2-3 weeks down the road, and IF I am wrong (and I pray I am truly) I will eat crow willingly and happily. Issue is people do NOT take into account the number asymptomatic that continue to infect those that will suffer...unwittingly, but none the less, creating a domino effect. With aging into the geriatrics group, you are much more likely to be suffering from compromised immunities and underlying medical issues both known and unknown, making the risk for our age groups MUCH more vulnerable to catastrophic outcomes should you contract this virus.
I agree. I’d rather be safe for a few weeks and enjoy the rest of my life

Bill1701 04-19-2020 07:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 1748189)
Surge???.................Yes, thanks to all the golfers.


:shocked:
Really? Where is your proof?

tomhinz 04-19-2020 08:14 AM
You bet. NYers should not come here. They are bringing chaos.

lindaelane 04-19-2020 08:15 AM
Which Test?
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonWilliams (Post 1748451)
UFHealth's study of asymptomatic people who thought they had been exposed to the virus: 2100 people tested at the Polo Grounds so far, with three positive for COVID-19. That's .1%. Reported in The Villages Daily Sun, April 15.
Yes, but which test did UF Health use? The commonly available one gives a false negative to 30% of those who take it but are actually positive. Only about 3 days ago did a fairly accurate test become available, and I do not think - though I could be wrong - that UFHealth has that test. The earlier versions usefulness was that if it said you were positive, you almost always were. However, if it said you were negative, that was not too reassuring, since if you actually had CV, there was a 30% chance the test would miss it.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:42 AM.
Page 9 of 12 « First 7 8 9 10 11 Last »
Show 40 post(s) from this thread on one page

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Search Engine Optimisation provided by DragonByte SEO v2.0.32 (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2025 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.