Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
#1
|
||
|
||
Yesterday's rally and the virus
Regarding the visit yesterday with an estimated 10,000 attendees: it will be an interesting test of how prevalent and contagious the virus really is. Presumably, the majority of attendees are from the Villages, so if there’s a sudden spike in positivity rates 2-14 days from now, it’ll be logical to trace it to yesterday’s event.
The potential good news, for me anyway, is if there is NO such spike, it could confirm that our fear of this virus just may be overblown, at least when it comes to being in crowds outdoors. An interesting experiment that I hope we're all watching.
__________________
... |
|
#2
|
||
|
||
Quote:
__________________
It is better to laugh than to cry. |
#3
|
||
|
||
Quote:
|
#4
|
||
|
||
Quote:
You are 100% correct though. |
#5
|
||
|
||
Quote:
|
#6
|
||
|
||
Quote:
Again, my hypothesis is predicated on the majority of attendees of yesterday's event being from the Villages. That's what WOULD make this assembly different from other rallies and demonstrations. From what I understand, attendees of political rallies and demonstrations are typically not all from one clearly defined local area like the Villages. I admit I may be wrong in thinking most of yesterday's attendees were from the Villages, in which case it would not be possible to draw a conclusion about the prevalence or transmissibility of the virus. Full disclosure.
__________________
... Last edited by LiverpoolWalrus; 10-24-2020 at 09:03 PM. Reason: More information |
#7
|
||
|
||
Quote:
__________________
... |
#8
|
||
|
||
Quote:
and even if the ACTUAL rate is 2% and the 4% is overblown (which some people like to claim, so let's roll with it)... Then that'd be 2 out of every 100 people testing positive. So that'd be 20 out of every 1000, and 200 out of every 10,000. So you'd be looking at around 200 people testing positive for the coronavirus at that rally of 10,000 people. And those 200 people are now all clumped together with 9,800 of their closest friends, happily spreading the virus to 2% of 9,800 people. And THOSE 196 people (2% of 9,800) are now spreading it to ... and you can do the math. Suffice it to say, at the end of the month, you're looking at another 1000 or more people who WOULD test positive for the coronavirus, IF they got tested. But since many don't show any symptoms, they might not bother getting tested. Instead, they'll spread it to the next batch of 10,000 people, who will spread it to the next batch of 9,800 people, and so on, and so on. This is how, and why, there are spikes in the virus positivity rates again. |
#9
|
||
|
||
Quote:
__________________
|
#10
|
||
|
||
I have heard our president say (from his own mouth) that he has had crowds of 30,000 to 40,000 people attending his rallies (that have been staged on tarmacs at airports). Those crowds don't look anywhere near that size. I wonder if he is adding a zero where it shouldn't be.
__________________
|
#11
|
||
|
||
A few days old but relevant to this topic: LINK: Trump’s campaign made stops nationwide. Then coronavirus cases surged.
__________________
. . "If one has no sense of humor, one is in trouble." Betty White (1922-2021) R.I.P. |
#12
|
||
|
||
Quote:
Fact check: Photo claiming to show large Trump rally in [Ocala] Florida is of Swiss music festival. LINK: Fact check: Viral image is Swiss festival, not Trump rally in Florida A reverse Google image search reveals that the photo is actually from a music festival called "Street Parade" in Switzerland. The original photo was taken in 2018 at a Zurich lake, according to Street Parade's website, where similar bird's-eye photos of the event are available.
__________________
. . "If one has no sense of humor, one is in trouble." Betty White (1922-2021) R.I.P. |
#13
|
||
|
||
Quote:
Oh, to live a pre-Covid life again. Ahhhhhhh. But alas. I do get the numbers game. Damn!!!!
__________________
|
#14
|
||
|
||
But, but they took our temps for the plandemic, as we went though the security gates....So there is no reason, to clutch your pearls..
|
#15
|
||
|
||
You can bet that even if there’s negligible new cases that the media will blow it up to make it sound much worth.
|
Closed Thread |
|
|