Normal |
06-16-2024 06:54 AM |
Unique
Quote:
Originally Posted by TommyBoy9
(Post 2341399)
I think GDP is a largely irrelevant metric. Really its our government's tax revenue that matters. That amount that we the people have agreed upon to pay them annually, under the assumption that they will spend wisely. I know many economists and politicians use GDP often, but I think they do so to downplay the seriousness of our financial situation. Its sort of like if a family member going to the bank for a loan has tons of debt, but tells the bank not to worry because their siblings and cousins and aunts and uncles, etc. have lots of money. The bank cares only about the borrowers (governments) assets, and cares not for the rest of his family's financial situation (the taxpayers). Unless of course the other family members agree to co-sign the loan (all of the US citizens agree to pay WAY more in taxes).
...I am open to another train of thought though regarding 'GDP's value' in US debt discussions, if you care to discuss.
Yes, I agree. The gov wants, ...needs, inflation. But our debt is now so big, and still growing due to the unending handouts from this administration, that I don't see how even mass inflation makes the numbers work out.
|
I would concur on tax revenue. We are on a unique path from the rest of the world. We have a Fed that sets interest rates to reduce inflationary pressure separate from what our spend happy leaders want. Or at least so it SEEMS.
Our FED has dictated a 2% goal for a healthy economy and so far the soft landing seems to be obtainable. The exception is the housing market which they could care less about. I foresee a slight increase in the lending rate or current status quo at least till year’s end. We need to get inflation down from 3.3%. This should keep current servicing rates predictable.
The twist is continued borrowing. How high can this go? I’m not thinking the average citizen can afford much more due in large part to inflation at the grocery stores and the rising cost in home purchases and borrowing. This leaves the following questions: Can Americans pay more in taxes? How much debt is solvent?
Companies could be taxed, but they won’t operate at a loss, they will raise prices on their goods. We’ve seen the failure of VAT taxes in Europe and the pickle they are in. Perhaps a straight forward taxing system is needed? Flat taxing for everything on everybody?
The Fed separation from government will continue, it has to. It’s the only system that keeps our financial system stable. Debt will be paid down only after consequences are felt by all of us and we demand something be done. Only then will politicians stand on that platform. Till then, we will have a special interests taxing system with thousands of loopholes and the spend, spend, spend giveaway attitude by politicians.
|