Talk of The Villages Florida

Talk of The Villages Florida (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/)
-   The Villages, Florida, Non Villages Discussion (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-non-villages-discussion-93/)
-   -   Hazard a guess on what the future holds for house prices? (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-non-villages-discussion-93/hazard-guess-what-future-holds-house-prices-324608/)

Dan2020 09-29-2021 06:38 AM

It also was Carter not Reagan who battled for two years to pass legislation that gradually expanded competition in natural gas, oil, and electricity. U.S. inflation was fueled by rising energy prices between 1972 and 1979 linked to OPEC and instability in the Middle East.

Bay Kid 09-29-2021 06:47 AM

Funny money is what has been created in 7 short months. Everything will continue to go up except retirement income. Good time to buy TIPS.

MrFlorida 09-29-2021 07:02 AM

What goes up, must come down.... We've been through this before....

Gray lady of the sea 09-29-2021 07:07 AM

I couldn’t agree with you more !

jbrown132 09-29-2021 07:09 AM

Can’t wait for 10% CD’s

Dlbonivich 09-29-2021 07:39 AM

Interest rate is slated to rise 6 times over the next 2 years according to the Federal Reserve last Wednesday. That will slow things a little. As prices go up families will not be able to finance enough to buy the homes of older people who want to sell family homes and by retirement homes.

dadoiron 09-29-2021 08:02 AM

Bubble
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by manaboutown (Post 2010155)
It has been an amazing run! When will it stop? Then what?

Anyone care to opine?

US home price growth reaches new high for fourth consecutive month

Can you say bubble?

Kelevision 09-29-2021 08:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dadoiron (Post 2010446)
Can you say bubble?

I’d say more of a boom than bubble. Supply supply supply, or should I say, lack thereof. Our country is like 5 million houses short, of the demand.

Boomer 09-29-2021 08:30 AM

This housing market (Whoops, I just caught a typo back there --I had typed 'hosing' market. . .Is there such a thing as a Freudian typo?) -- anyway, this housing market has an emotional component like none we have ever seen before.

Last go-round was fraught with screwy lending practices -- banks and mortgage companies having been given license to run amok with drive-by appraisals and stated-assets loans, mortgage rates at a low never seen before -- and then came the derivatives.

This time, those lending practices allegedly have been tightened, supposedly making mortgage qualification harder. This national housing market has been fast and crazy. It is creating what I believe to be an artificial sense of wealth in home equity. Can banks, and homeowners, resist HELOCs based on what I call phantom equity?

I just did a search of my own past posts. Since 2018-ish, I have thrown in an occasional mini-rant about about how I think the fact that corporations were/are spending a big bunch of that corporate tax-break money on stock buybacks is going to bite us in the azz. Stock buybacks have been creating an artificiality in the stock market -- resulting again in the psychology of phantom wealth. The old bull is tired, had been running for more than a decade -- on its own -- until the corporate tax breaks gave it more momentum than it deserved -- looks to me like it has been an old bull on steroids for a while.

Economic history tells us that the stock market and the housing market ride in tandem. We can only hope that what is coming will just be a deep breath. I personally think we need that -- just that -- but we have been living in Crazytown for years -- so who knows where we are headed.

Boomer

PS: The teetering can be felt right now. We are going to see -- already are seeing -- a scapegoating of the present. I wish more people would look at the big picture. But (sigh) a lot of people will think what they allow themselves to be told to think.

nn0wheremann 09-29-2021 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by manaboutown (Post 2010155)
It has been an amazing run! When will it stop? Then what?

Anyone care to opine?

US home price growth reaches new high for fourth consecutive month

Think 2008. The market corrects, and seeks fiscal homeostasis with a vengeance.

merrymini 09-29-2021 08:59 AM

5 million need homes
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kelevision (Post 2010464)
I’d say more of a boom than bubble. Supply supply supply, or should I say, lack thereof. Our country is like 5 million houses short, of the demand.

I would like to know where these 5 million people are now?

manaboutown 09-29-2021 09:08 AM

And Robert J. Shiller weighs in.

Home prices 'will see big declines in coming years,' expert predicts

pablo cruze 09-29-2021 09:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BlueStarAirlines (Post 2010348)
I've been doing a lot of research and noticed housing prices are starting to drop in a handful of locations and most houses are on the market for longer than they have been the last year or so. I ran across this guy who has a pretty good series of videos. I found this one to be particularly interesting as I had read about Zillow entering the buying market, but had no idea to the extent. Its worth a watch- PROFIT from 2021 Housing Crash! (Here's How) - YouTube

It's not a matter of if but when.....

Thank you for sharing the link. I learned a lot from viewing the informative video. I like data driven discussions. Not only did he provide good insight regarding the market, but let us know how he came to the conclusion, so I can do likewise in the future.

Also, I learned how to filter Zillow for 'Zillow Owned' properties, that INVH is the largest real estate owner in the US, and how PUT options work.

Thinking of dismissing my current financial advisor, and start managing my equities on my own, starting with some PUT contracts for ZG and INVH. When they strike, I can use the profits to buy properties at reduced prices.

pablo cruze 09-29-2021 09:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbrown132 (Post 2010396)
Can’t wait for 10% CD’s

Can't wait for any appealing CD rate. I'd go 10 years for 6%.

Stu from NYC 09-29-2021 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by merrymini (Post 2010496)
I would like to know where these 5 million people are now?

Here and there.

Most likely renting


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:24 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Search Engine Optimisation provided by DragonByte SEO v2.0.32 (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2025 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.