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Source? Here's mine. BLS Quote:
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Of course, it all depends on what "media"...you choose to watch. :1rotfl: |
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Are we going into a recession or we just going into a so called slowdown was the original question and point of this Thread. Frankly I don’t have a clue if it’s one or the other. The so called “experts” are just about equally divided on this question. So.....take your pick. What I’m more concerned about is what economists in the past called a real depression. Even with some of the so called “safety nets” we have today, a depression would be something most of us only heard about from our parents or grandparents. Recently I read that 40% of Americans, if they were ask, could not come up with $400 in cash. Millions of Americans live from pay check to pay check and have no savings to fall back on should there be a sudden recession (loss of jobs) or worse a recession that lasts and becomes a real depression. Let’s hope if there is a slowdown that it doesn’t become a recession and the recession lasts long enough to turn into a depression. We Americans have a debt of not millions, not billions but trillions of dollars. Awful thought as we discuss the possibility of slowdown, recession or worse a depression. The deficit is a topic for another Thread but can be problematic if we enter into a serious downturn or recession.
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SLOWDOWN, Nothing more! Move Along!
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If they apply, they apply regardless of who is in office. As far as I have read, no one is prediction a recession tomorrow, they are saying the economic indicators that have traditionally preceded a recession are lining up. Also, if you look at history, there is typically a recession about every ten years - so it is about time. |
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Mexican Repatriation - Wikipedia |
It's almost impossible to discuss economic conditions without bringing politics and parties into it. A few of the preceding posts have crossed the line ...if this trend continues, the thread will be closed.
Please focus on economic theories, conditions, and principles and leave politics and elections out of the discussion. Moderator |
The question is not will there be an economic slowdown, it is when and how bad will it be? The elephant in the room that no one wants to address is our unsustainable national debt, which has never grown either so large or faster. It is not political since both parties are responsible and no one from either side wants to address it. Pretty soon 100% or countries revenue wii be needed to service the interest on its debt! Just look at Greece or Puerto Rico as examples of what unstanable debt eventually leads to. The bigger the debt gets, the worse things will be when the bubble eventually bursts.
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Could have just as easily said 66 percent of economists not worried about a recession.. Recession coming? 34% of economists expect one in 2021: NABE survey Then after all the doom and gloom they sneak this in as the last paragraph.. Still, for now, most economic signs appear solid. Employers are adding jobs at a steady pace, the unemployment rate remains near a 50-year low and consumers are optimistic. U.S. retail sales figures out last Thursday showed that they jumped in July by the most in four months. |
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What a mess. What a disappointment. |
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That's analogous to reading where 40% of people have a favorable view of blankety-blank, then making the huge assumption...that 60% have an 'unfavorable' view of blankety-blank. When in fact, it might simply be that...30% of that assumed 60% are actually "undecided." :ohdear: Without reading the choices of answers, at best that type of silly interpretation is deceiving, at worst it is.... And actually, there is a higher number (in one survey earlier), that believe...it may happen even sooner. Recession Fears Quote:
As for me personally, I have the fervent hope that if things do slow down (and history says it will happen)...it is slow and the least amount of Americans are harmed. It's also my personal experience, that no sane person 'roots' for an economic downturn/disaster...especially after seeing the havoc & damage of the last one. |
Truth what we say cannot be so
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As to detectable-I regularly quip I shoulda, coulda mighta or hindsight is always 2020. "Politics had noting to do with it." We hear the FED wants 2% inflation. Another big lie. They have never in history been able to achieve and hold a given rate of inflation. That 2% is a rate of theft. The 10 year treasury last time I looked was paying 1.7%. If, your purchasing power is falling at 2% and the government is paying you 1.7% and charging you income tax on that 1.7% (free of sate and local not fed tax) our country is simply hoodwinking you while they steal from you. We being normal demand more and more. Our government uses our own money in the form of adding to the debt to buy our votes. |
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