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When the time comes, no matter the administration, I don’t think Congress will allow the cut in SS because they know it would be shootings themselves in the foot. The public won’t put up with it. The easiest way to fund it is to remove the high income cap and allow all to fund it. Since many high earners don’t receive “income” but make their money on capital gains, there may need to be a new rule for that. Maybe if you don’t contribute to SS but take capital gains, then you have to pay into SS based on capital gains. This would assure high earners to take a SS taxable salary of high earnings, so their capital gains don’t get taxed. |
A couple who both start collecting at age 70 and both hit the maximum FICA tax for 35 years would probably have a combined benefit of about $130K. A 20% cut would be about $26K. For a single earner, the spouse would get a 50% benefit (of the FRA benefit, I believe). This could translate to about an $18K reduction in 2033.
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The retirement age needs to be raised by 5 years in steps over the next ten years to save social security.
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The SS Act of 1983 gradually raised the Full Retirement Age to 67. For those born in 1960 and later have a FRA of 67.
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Something along those lines might be part of the solution. There will need to be other steps taken also.
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The Social Security "Trust Fund" was raided by Congress to fund the Great Society.
It was added to the national debt, which is growing totally out of control. Fixing the problem would require Congress to control spending and make unpopular decisions. There is no hint that Congress would ever do that. |
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This has been well known for quite some time. Congress could have addressed the issue so no benefits are cut. Yet that hasn’t been done so here we are. They still could make changes but it’s far easier to keep kicking the can while claiming there is no problem. |
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Read here: Access Denied for a pretty detailed history of America's pension/retirement options for the poor and working class people, leading up to the creation of the Social Security Act. Around halfway down you'll see the actual formation details of the Act itself, if you don't want to read all the stuff leading up to it. |
How to address the problem has been studied extensively. What we don't need, and almost certainly won't do, is to do something that "helps by a whole lot". We need SS changes that will ensure the viability of the program (obviously based on projections) for a substantial amount of time, say 75 years. Passing any legislation that impacts SS will be painful at best. It needs to be done correctly and not half assed since we don't get many chances. I doubt we will see any changes before 2032.
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My point is - there are lots of ways to keep the program going. There is no singular "fix" that will fix everything. Increasing the early retirement age is one possible step. So is eliminating the cap for payroll deductions. Increasing the percentage taken from payroll an additional 1%, with half of the percentage paid by the employer and the other half paid by the employee, is another possible step. Reducing the max age for increases from 70 to 69 is another possible step. Raising the FRA to 66 is another possible step. A singular change will need to be much more drastic, to have the intended result. But small changes to all these different aspects will be less "painful" and have a greater overall impact to the result. |
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