Talk of The Villages Florida

Talk of The Villages Florida (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/)
-   The Villages, Florida, Non Villages Discussion (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-non-villages-discussion-93/)
-   -   Social Security Retirees Could Face $18,000 Cut (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-non-villages-discussion-93/social-security-retirees-could-face-18-000-cut-360321/)

Ptmcbriz 07-30-2025 07:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill14564 (Post 2449532)
Illegals do not receive SS.

Illegals *pay* SS as employees so fewer illegals -> fewer employees -> less SS tax collected -> sooner the trust fund is depleted

You are correct. Only citizens are legally eligible for SS. If any illegals somehow got a hold of SS funds, it’s because they did it through fraudulent acts to get it. The government has never allowed anyone but citizens eligible for SS.

When the time comes, no matter the administration, I don’t think Congress will allow the cut in SS because they know it would be shootings themselves in the foot. The public won’t put up with it. The easiest way to fund it is to remove the high income cap and allow all to fund it. Since many high earners don’t receive “income” but make their money on capital gains, there may need to be a new rule for that. Maybe if you don’t contribute to SS but take capital gains, then you have to pay into SS based on capital gains. This would assure high earners to take a SS taxable salary of high earnings, so their capital gains don’t get taxed.

biker1 07-30-2025 07:11 AM

A couple who both start collecting at age 70 and both hit the maximum FICA tax for 35 years would probably have a combined benefit of about $130K. A 20% cut would be about $26K. For a single earner, the spouse would get a 50% benefit (of the FRA benefit, I believe). This could translate to about an $18K reduction in 2033.

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoisR (Post 2449536)
How does a possible 21% shortfall equate to $18k loss? Who is being paid $90k, or so, by SS?
Need to raise SS tax rates to those who earn more than $175k.


JanetH 07-30-2025 07:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tophcfa (Post 2449431)
Folks born in 1960 have already had their retirement age raised 2 years. Hopefully any future benefit reductions won’t apply to anyone already 65 or older, but I certainly wouldn’t bank on that?

When was it raised ? Never heard of that

GATORBILL66 07-30-2025 07:37 AM

The retirement age needs to be raised by 5 years in steps over the next ten years to save social security.

BrianL99 07-30-2025 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JanetH (Post 2449550)
When was it raised ? Never heard of that

43 years ago.

biker1 07-30-2025 07:49 AM

The SS Act of 1983 gradually raised the Full Retirement Age to 67. For those born in 1960 and later have a FRA of 67.

Quote:

Originally Posted by JanetH (Post 2449550)
When was it raised ? Never heard of that


biker1 07-30-2025 07:51 AM

Something along those lines might be part of the solution. There will need to be other steps taken also.

Quote:

Originally Posted by GATORBILL66 (Post 2449551)
The retirement age needs to be raised by 5 years in steps over the next ten years to save social security.


Aces4 07-30-2025 07:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MandoMan (Post 2449514)
Young people and everyone else working should be putting 15% of their income into Index Funds with minimum fees that go up as the market goes up. Yes, FIFTEEN %. This is IN ADDITION to what they pay into Social Security. Then they well probably be able to retire to The Villages someday. Meanwhile, workers and employers should each pay an additional 1% in Social Security taxes. This is such an easy fix, and it should have been done long ago. 1%! (It hasn’t been done because so many legislators don’t count on Social Security to get by when they retire, and they listen to businesses who say that 1% comes out of their profit.

I realize that investing 15% with every paycheck means young people and families may not be able to afford that new SUV or that big house or those restaurant dinners or those fancy vacations or a lot of things. But we’ve all read complaints here from people who live only on the Social Security payments they get. I feel bad for them. But if they had done what I recommend, they wouldn’t be in this situation today. My ex-wife and I scrimped and saved, and now we don’t have to worry. I see young people driving $50,000 to $90,000 trucks and SUVs and buying 3,000 sq ft houses and spending $100,000 on remodeling their kitchens and bathrooms, and I wonder how much they are saving for retirement. And putting it into CDs or savings accounts like my parents did won’t do it. My parents saved for decades but put the money into CDs and savings accounts, so the money they have in the accounts has grown, but always less than the inflation rate. Meanwhile, the money I put into mutual funds has quintupled. (But we still need mandatory social Security contributions.)

So you want people to subscribe to another Ponzi scheme, the stock market, IMHO. The market is way overvalued at this point with prices accelerating so "the market" can keep the ever hungry investors fed. Can you not see how wildly overvalued the market would be with your plan for everyone in the US to invest? This is not an answer. We scrimped and saved too and I agree about the overspenders and not savers. But the ridiculous rates of the stock market are just as bad as the overspenders.

OrangeBlossomBaby 07-30-2025 08:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by biker1 (Post 2449419)
Not exactly. SS taxes that had been collected, in excess of what was needed to pay benefits, were put in the general fund and spent to support Government operations. Treasury issued special T-Bills to the SSA for these excess funds. Essentially IOUs that the SSA can collect on in the future. This is the so-called Trust Fund and has a value of about $2T. These special T-Bills are now being cashed in to pay benefits as the current SS taxes are less than benefits paid. Essentially, the Government goes out and borrows money from world markets to pay off these special T-Bills as Government expenditures exceed Government revenue. This obviously continues to be a less than desirable situation. This will continue until about 2033 when the Trust Fund has been exhausted and SS taxes can only fund about 80% of benefits. This situation can and will most likely be fixed before 2033.

If they eliminate the cap, and raise the "early" retirement age to 64 instead of 62, it would hopefully solve the problem without creating hardships for most of the lower/middle/working class, who are the people MOST affected by any changes to Social Security. Even if it doesn't completely solve the problem, it'd help by a whole lot.

opinionist 07-30-2025 08:07 AM

The Social Security "Trust Fund" was raided by Congress to fund the Great Society.
It was added to the national debt, which is growing totally out of control.
Fixing the problem would require Congress to control spending and make unpopular decisions.
There is no hint that Congress would ever do that.

Bill14564 07-30-2025 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by biker1 (Post 2449547)
No. Benefits could be cut by about 20% in 2033 when the Trust Fund is depleted. However, the chances of this happening are small as Congress will, in all likelihood, address the issue so that benefits aren't cut. The article simply addresses what could happen if no action is taken. This has been well known for quite some time. Must have been a slow news day.

I would like to be optimistic but you point out the reality in your post:

This has been well known for quite some time. Congress could have addressed the issue so no benefits are cut. Yet that hasn’t been done so here we are. They still could make changes but it’s far easier to keep kicking the can while claiming there is no problem.

OrangeBlossomBaby 07-30-2025 08:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arlington2 (Post 2449423)
This has been the doom and gloom scare tactic since at least the 60's. I even bought into it and prepared to be financially independent. They will continue to kick the can down the road. Logical solutions are raising the income limit and raising the retirement age. It has lost the original intent of being a safety net and has become an expected retirement plan.

It was designed to be an expected retirement plan. That's why it existed in the first place; because companies didn't provide retirement plans/pensions to sustain employees in their retirement, so the government stepped in and set a small percentage of employee paychecks aside and invested it on their behalf. That was the whole point.

Read here: Access Denied

for a pretty detailed history of America's pension/retirement options for the poor and working class people, leading up to the creation of the Social Security Act. Around halfway down you'll see the actual formation details of the Act itself, if you don't want to read all the stuff leading up to it.

biker1 07-30-2025 08:13 AM

How to address the problem has been studied extensively. What we don't need, and almost certainly won't do, is to do something that "helps by a whole lot". We need SS changes that will ensure the viability of the program (obviously based on projections) for a substantial amount of time, say 75 years. Passing any legislation that impacts SS will be painful at best. It needs to be done correctly and not half assed since we don't get many chances. I doubt we will see any changes before 2032.


Quote:

Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby (Post 2449565)
If they eliminate the cap, and raise the "early" retirement age to 64 instead of 62, it would hopefully solve the problem without creating hardships for most of the lower/middle/working class, who are the people MOST affected by any changes to Social Security. Even if it doesn't completely solve the problem, it'd help by a whole lot.


OrangeBlossomBaby 07-30-2025 08:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JanetH (Post 2449550)
When was it raised ? Never heard of that

In 1983, Congress passed legislation to raise the "Full Retirement Age" (FRA) to 67, for anyone born in 1960 or later. People born in 1955 could still retire with full SS benefits at 66 years and 2 months. The change was intentionally gradual.

OrangeBlossomBaby 07-30-2025 08:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by biker1 (Post 2449573)
How to address the problem has been studied extensively. What we don't need, and almost certainly won't do, is to do something that "helps by a whole lot". We need SS changes that will ensure the viability of the program (obviously based on projections) for a substantial amount of time, say 75 years. Passing any legislation that impacts SS will be painful at best. It needs to be done correctly and not half assed since we don't get many chances. I doubt we will see any changes before 2032.

In order to implement changes in 2032, the legislation has to be passed now(ish). And it has to give working people time to prepare for those changes, so as to minimize that "pain" of the change.

My point is - there are lots of ways to keep the program going. There is no singular "fix" that will fix everything. Increasing the early retirement age is one possible step. So is eliminating the cap for payroll deductions. Increasing the percentage taken from payroll an additional 1%, with half of the percentage paid by the employer and the other half paid by the employee, is another possible step. Reducing the max age for increases from 70 to 69 is another possible step. Raising the FRA to 66 is another possible step.

A singular change will need to be much more drastic, to have the intended result. But small changes to all these different aspects will be less "painful" and have a greater overall impact to the result.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:37 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Search Engine Optimisation provided by DragonByte SEO v2.0.32 (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2025 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.