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Transplant 08-16-2023 06:45 AM

So when the increased amount of hurricanes don't materialize, they will be pushing a new narrative of a severe winter (think polar vortex) with lots of snow.

golfing eagles 08-16-2023 06:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Transplant (Post 2246015)
So when the increased amount of hurricanes don't materialize, they will be pushing a new narrative of a severe winter (think polar vortex) with lots of snow.

And "they" will blame that on global warming as well:1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl:

coconutmama 08-16-2023 07:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shut the front door (Post 2245871)
My pool is set for 88 degrees and the heater has had to come on every day. My lanai must be exempt?

Guess so. Our pool water hit 91 degrees on Sunday. No heater on for months.

Vermilion Villager 08-16-2023 08:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 2245312)
Tropical weather that drifts over from Africa always hits the warm water of the Caribbean and Gulf. Please tell us you didn't believe that idiotic report that water temperature in key Largo was 101.1. Pretty amazing when you consider a 12,000 gallon pool on your lanai reaches 87 with no waves pulling in cooler water from deeper areas, but the 22 trillion gallon Atlantic gets to 101.1 with constant waves hitting the shore. I call BS, double BS and triple BS. Somebody must think we're pretty stupid.

You gots some proof it wasn't a correct temp reading?
As far as the pool theory. You have a circulating pump. It continually circulates water from a shaded area. If you don't believe me shut the pump off for four or five days and then tell me what the temperature is.:wave:

Haggar 08-16-2023 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 2245312)
Tropical weather that drifts over from Africa always hits the warm water of the Caribbean and Gulf. Please tell us you didn't believe that idiotic report that water temperature in key Largo was 101.1. Pretty amazing when you consider a 12,000 gallon pool on your lanai reaches 87 with no waves pulling in cooler water from deeper areas, but the 22 trillion gallon Atlantic gets to 101.1 with constant waves hitting the shore. I call BS, double BS and triple BS. Somebody must think we're pretty stupid.

I'm tired of the non-stop bs about the 7 year cooling trend you espouse at every occasion.

See the attached article. One of many articles about this "statistic" you use to "prove" your case and deny we have a problem.

Steven Hawking - before his death - stated mankind wouldn't be around by 2100. I'm in the camp if you deniers don't stop burying your heads in the sand he'll be right.

Tell the people who have died because of the continuing heat wave we don't have a problem.

Fact Check-Eight cooler years cannot be extrapolated to draw conclusions on long-term global warming | Reuters

tophcfa 08-16-2023 08:55 AM

No worries for another month. The tropical storm activity typically remains very quiet until mid September, when they follow my wife and I down the east coast on our way to the Villages. We brought Ian down with us last year.

And besides, FROGS love hurricanes, they keep most of the Snowbirds away for a couple extra months.

bcsnave 08-16-2023 09:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 2246020)
And "they" will blame that on global warming as well:1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl:

The polar vortex is GREAT for Golfing Eagles
Bald Eagles Play with Golf Ball on Frozen Lake - ViralHog

maistocars 08-16-2023 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by patfla06 (Post 2245274)
Since we’re in Hurricane Season, with the water so unusually warm, I worry
about if a Hurricane hits that water.

I don’t remember ever seeing the temps being this hot in the 26 years
I’ve lived in Florida.

Unusually warm water temps? Huh? May want to reread the thread a few weeks ago that called that biased report bogus.

Bill14564 08-16-2023 09:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by maistocars (Post 2246160)
Unusually warm water temps? Huh? May want to reread the thread a few weeks ago that called that biased report bogus.

I recall one or two posters claiming it was bogus but others pointed out the opposite.

The high temp readings are still in the history for that particular buoy.

I have not seen any articles stating the readings were bogus. Please add links if there are some that I missed.

justjim 08-16-2023 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Keefelane66 (Post 2245280)
You just don’t understand we’re in a 8 years cooling trend that’s been repeated several times in Weather Forum.
You see I see it but others don't
Ross Island wit have a high of -34° and a low of -51° atmospheric conditions at clear.
My unofficial weather station says it’s 98° in the shade…

OP, is talking about water temps. plain and simple and how they could make a hurricane more powerful. “People will generally accept facts as truth only if the facts agree with what they already believe”. Andy Rooney. The water temps in the Atlantic are currently more warmer than usual. That the facts plain and simple and as the OP said this is not good for a new hurricane.

justjim 08-16-2023 10:07 AM

Your swimming pool temp (with a pump circulating the water) is not the same as the temp of the Atlantic or the Gulf. Apples and oranges. “You can be young over half of your life but you can be immature and stubborn all of your life.” Anonymous

Normal 08-16-2023 10:53 AM

Still Less Likely
 
We are still less likely to have a hurricane this year. The conditions are impacted by so many other variables. Underwater currents contribute to water temps much more than ambient temperatures. Anyone who tries to frame this as just the sun being hotter is untruthful and not scientific. Holistically all inputs for water temperature are needed for a substantial hypothesis of cause. The Sigsbee Deep is within mean for the year, however the North Equatorial is about.3 degrees warmer with a Standard Deviation of 1 degree Celsius. Gulf Stream water isn’t as heavily exchanging with the Northern Atlantic currents.

Keep in mind we should be at solar Maximus which now is peaking in late December? This breaks slightly from the 2025 prediction, but is by no means atypical of the 11 year cycle variation. Currents should cool if the suns rays do their flip by April giving us a much cooler ambient temp AND current changes again.

Without throwing too much into all the water temperatures amalgamations, we seem to be having heavier Sahara winds latent with dust. The dust suppresses storm activity quite a bit.

If you are into agenda driven hype, there are 3 storms in the Atlantic now. Fun fact: since 1851 only eighteen hurricane seasons passed without a known storm impacting the state of Florida. We average a little over 3 per season.

golfing eagles 08-16-2023 01:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vermilion Villager (Post 2246100)
You gots some proof it wasn't a correct temp reading?
As far as the pool theory. You have a circulating pump. It continually circulates water from a shaded area. If you don't believe me shut the pump off for four or five days and then tell me what the temperature is.:wave:

Proof? Here's the proof: IT'S NOT POSSIBLE!

And you think that a 4 foot deep 12,000 gallon pool with a circulating pump is a good analogy to a 20,000 foot deep 22 quintillion gallon ocean. PPPPLLLLEEEEEZZZZEEEEE:1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl:

golfing eagles 08-16-2023 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Haggar (Post 2246130)
I'm tired of the non-stop bs about the 7 year cooling trend you espouse at every occasion.

See the attached article. One of many articles about this "statistic" you use to "prove" your case and deny we have a problem.

Steven Hawking - before his death - stated mankind wouldn't be around by 2100. I'm in the camp if you deniers don't stop burying your heads in the sand he'll be right.

Tell the people who have died because of the continuing heat wave we don't have a problem.

Fact Check-Eight cooler years cannot be extrapolated to draw conclusions on long-term global warming | Reuters

First of all, I'M NOT THE POSTER WHO ESPOUSES THAT 7 YEAR COOLING TREND, so direct that comment where it belongs.

That being said, I tend to agree with that person in general, except I've said neither side can use this year, 7 years, or even 200 years to predict a change in cycles that have been repeating for 4 1/2 million years.

And people dying in this "heat wave"???? Really???? You're right, this year is the first year, EVER, that people died in a "heat wave". right??? What a joke! :1rotfl::1rotfl::1rotfl:

Hank’s mom 08-16-2023 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 2245312)
Tropical weather that drifts over from Africa always hits the warm water of the Caribbean and Gulf. Please tell us you didn't believe that idiotic report that water temperature in key Largo was 101.1. Pretty amazing when you consider a 12,000 gallon pool on your lanai reaches 87 with no waves pulling in cooler water from deeper areas, but the 22 trillion gallon Atlantic gets to 101.1 with constant waves hitting the shore. I call BS, double BS and triple BS. Somebody must think we're pretty stupid.

I think I spotted a stupid one!


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