Cain pulls ahead of Obama
 

Rasmussen Reports

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011...election-poll/

43%---41%

If he can't win the R nomination, it's irrelevant how he polls against Obama.

It is indeed sad that the campaign process has detoriated to such an extent that the news media reports campaign as if we were following Dancing with the Stars or America Idol, both of which I refuse to watch. The only thing that truly matters is who has the best and broadest grasp of what it will take to be successful as president. The answer to that question is hands down Newt Gingrich. However the media, pundits etc will tell voters he is not electable. thre pundits and media will push or punish candidates based on their biases. They will defame them, make fun of them make them the objects of scorn.

There wouldn't be enough bedrooms in the White House for all of Newt's mistresses

Newt doesn't exactly exemplify that "family values" stuff the cons keep talking about. You know, the sanctity of marriage and all that.

If there was room for Clinton's, Newt should have room to spare.

Obama started his career in the home of his good friend, mentor and supporter, the unapologetic home grown terrorist Bill Ayers, and the lamestream media in all these years has asked him about it ONCE.

It must be great to be Democrat and have the major lamestream media give you a pass on everything.

But even better to come by your notoriety honesty and be able to really sleep at night!

Obama 48.2, Cain 39.8
Obama 49.8, Perry 39.2
Obama 50.3, Gingrich 36.7
Obama 45.9, Romney 43.7
Obama 47.6, Paul 41.6
Obama 51.8, Bachmann 37.6
Obama 45.7, Huntsman 37.0


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...andidates.html


10/6 thru 10/31

How About These Potential Results?
 

Here are the "betting lines" as of today on several 2012 election races published by InTrade, Inc. and international online bookeeper. These lines are the result of millions of dollars actually bet on these questions by real bettors worldwide with InTrade. InTrade's accuracy over several recent election cycles is amazing. Their bettors have accurately picked the last four Presidential primaries and general elections, the House and Senate races for the last four cycles, all fifty U.S. gubernatorial races, etc.

Arguably, the InTrade odds, which are based on real money being bet by real bettors, is more accurate than any of the polling done so frequently these days.

Here are the current betting odds on elections that we may be interested in. Remember, these are the probabilities of occurrence based on millions of dollars bet worldwide on these questions. There is no political slant to these probabilities. They are the product of real bettors trying to make money by wagering on our democratic electoral process.

• Obama wins the 2012 Presidency (50%)
• Romney wins the 2012 Presidency (33.7%)
• Perry wins the 2012 Presidency (4.7%)
• Cain wins the 2012 Presidency (2.5%)
• Democrats control the Senate after the 2012 elections (25%)
• Republicans control the Senate after the 2012 elections (72.6%)
• Democrats control the House after the 2012 elections (26.1%)
• Republicans control the House after the 2012 elections (71.7%)

So it looks like the bettors, betting real money on the electoral outcomes, believe quite strongly that the 2012 elections will swing the entire Congress to Republican control. The bettors currently believe that Barack Obama will be re-elected, but if his opponent is Mitt Romney, it will be a close race. If his opponent is any of the other GOP primary candidates, Obama will be virtually assured of re-election.

Remember...FOLLOW THE MONEY!

VK; you're putting all your eggs in the next election on a "worldwide" greed poll? Seriously?

Maybe it has some validity of thought, but it sounds creepy to me.

Creepy Maybe, But Accurate
 

Richie, I only posted this because of the proven accuracy of the InTrade betting lines over a number of recent elections. Their accuracy is amazing. Creepy maybe, but accurately predictive.

Remember...FOLLOW THE MONEY!

Well, that's a phrase I've always subscribed to, myself. Even Rush Limbaugh always says to follow the money if you want to know what's the truth of the matter, although I don't know if a betting line is what he's talking about.

I have to say that I know nothing about InTrade's past record of accuracy in predicting election outcomes and so I will have to do some research of my own, as you always suggest.

It just kind of rubs me the wrong way.