Talk of The Villages Florida - Romney leading Obama by 5 points.

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- - Romney leading Obama by 5 points. (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-political-talk-88/romney-leading-obama-5-points-57461/)

What is your source for poll lead in 2008?

[QUOTE=RichieLion;530077]Read it and weep Obama sycophants.

This is the same margin Obama enjoyed in the polls this time 2008.

Here is the data for the end of July 2008
CBS Obama +6
AP Obama +6
Gallup Obama +2
Rasmussen Obama +1
Final Result: Obama +7

Source: Daily Kos: National Polls Show Obama Holding His Lead

Here is the data for end of July 2012

CBS Romney +1
AP Obama +6 6/14. They release July data soon
Galllup Even 7/28/12
Rasmussen Romney +2 today's poll 7/29/12 47/45

While Obama's lead is likely smaller in national polls than it was in 2008, it is clear that Rasmussen uses a model which did not do well in 2008. Of greater import is the state by state data. Romney is running ahead of McCain in red states as they become more red. In the critical swing states, so far despite the poor economy Obama continues to poll ahead of Romney.
As of July 20th, the Las Vegas odds on the race
2012 U.S. Presidential Election Betting Odds | 2012 Presidential Betting Lines
One dollar bet on Obama pays $0.59
One dollar on Rmoney pays $1.40

Nate Silver has the electoral college at 294/244 for Obama

Lots of time left

Thanks for update Rich!! Loving it. Big party coming our way in November!!

Why do you on left worry about tax returns? I.R.S.has seen them good enough.Unless you all don't trust government? But we all know how much you do trust them because you all want more government. If you spent much time looking at obama's dealings with Rezko even you guys wouldn't vote for him.

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 530250)

Come on folks, be realistic. The battle is over. I would not be surprised if Obama bowed out of the race prior to the convention, so he can avoid an embarrasing and expensive fiasco. It is well documented that polls taken three plus months prior to an election are totally and irrevocably accurate in the end.

You are free to be a wise guy, it's fine with me.

But I only report that Obama had this same lead in Rasmussen at this time 2008.

.......and, that's a fact......Jack!

Quote:

Posted by Guest (Post 530588)

You are free to be a wise guy, it's fine with me.

But I only report that Obama had this same lead in Rasmussen at this time 2008.

.......and, that's a fact......Jack!

Make a new plan...........Stan!

Self analysis is good for the soul. :icon_wink:

Rasmussen is the house pollster for Faux News and is always cited by the Cons - Not only that, in 2000 Rasmussen picked the wrong winner in 7 states !!!!

I'll believe this guy any day - his electoral breakdown is fairly consistent with dozens of other electoral maps.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

Even this right leaning site is more accurate than Rasmussen.....

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

Here's one more ...

2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College

Ok, one more ....

ElectoralVote

Ok, promise last one ..... here is the RASMUSSEN ELECTORAL MAP ....... from July 29, 2012. Wonder why the OP didn't post this.... ????

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...ege_scoreboard