Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Reality Check on Covid 19
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Old 04-26-2020, 01:36 PM
biker1 biker1 is offline
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No, there is not a 9.2% chance the you will come down with COVID-19. Of those who have been tested, 9.2% in FL are positive but the only people (mostly) who are being tested are those who are symptomatic. Nobody knows the odds (yet) of testing positive for COVID-19 if you are asymptomatic.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bjeanj View Post
Maybe I’ve been looking at this wrong, but I’ve been comparing the following information:
Florida (as of this morning)
Tests 333,099
Cases 30,839 (9.2% of those tested)
Deaths 1,075 (3.5% of those with COVID19)

In the US overall, the numbers are a bit higher:
US
Tests 5,184,635
Cases 931,698 (18%)
Deaths 47,980 (5%)

I feel good/safe about the flu, since I get a flu shot every year. With COVID19, since there is no vaccine, there is a 9.2% chance I could come down with it. Since I have underlying health issues, I wonder if there is a greater than 3.5% chance that if I get it, I won’t make it.

That’s how I’ve been looking at this. Is this not correct?