Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Reality Check on Covid 19
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Old 04-28-2020, 07:22 AM
VillageIdiots VillageIdiots is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alwann View Post
Did the Sun jump the gun? There's a full page listing in the Sun today of all the acts booked for the squares starting May 1. But virus experts are saying keep social distancing the norm throughout the summer. Six feet apart in the bar line. Doubtful. How's that going to work on Scooter Night? Maybe he'll create The Mask Dance. It'll be a shame to advertise the performances only to cancel them again.
Publishing the listing does not mean the squares will be open on those dates. Last month, they published the same listing for the month of April and not a single one of those bands performed. If/when the squares open at all in May, the listing provides the bands you should see on each square on those dates. If they don't open at all, then it was a wasted page of paper. NOTHING here opens before 5/4, so we already know the first few days of that schedule are wasted ink.

I sit back and watch this site and the social media posts and am amazed at how many health experts and doctors the world has gained in only the past couple of months. I'm not trying to become one of those. However, we can't possibly calculate an accurate infection rate or a true mortality rate until further testing is done of the asymptomatic population - not everyone, but enough to base statistical calculations on. Right now, there is only one known value for the mortality rate equation and that's the number of deaths. In places where they have done further testing, it is becoming abundantly clear that many more people have been exposed and infected than anyone thought. This is actually a good thing in a couple of ways: 1 - greater probability of herd immunity going forward and, 2 - the mortality rate is likely much, much lower than many thought.

When the numbers are actually in, that will be the true reality check.