Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Did we blow it with the lockdown?
Thread: Did we blow it with the lockdown?
View Single Post
 
Old 05-07-2020, 08:23 AM
golfing eagles's Avatar
golfing eagles golfing eagles is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: The Villages
Posts: 13,707
Thanks: 1,382
Thanked 14,792 Times in 4,908 Posts
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by GoodLife View Post
Actually she's right, the fat lady is just warming up, according to epidemiologists

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/sites/def...nt-part1_0.pdf
Not at all.

First of all the researchers in the article cited 3 different possible scenarios. None of them signal the end of civilization nor even suggest "the fat lady is just warming up"

Second, they are retrospectively comparing histories of 8 INFLUENZA epidemics since 1700 and extrapolating to possible COVID 19 future scenarios. Interesting, but hardly definitive. After all, just look at the early models that suggested 2 million + American deaths