Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Mortality Rate of the Virus
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Old 08-06-2020, 12:17 PM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by GoodLife View Post
You are confusing mortality rate with IFR (infection fatality rate) The mortality rate for USA is all cause deaths divided by total population.

For instance in 2018
Number of deaths: 2,813,503
Death rate: 863.8 deaths per 100,000 population

If you were to calculate current mortality rate of covid 19 in USA
Number of deaths: 159,128
Death rate: 48 deaths per 100,000 (or 0.00048 overall)

Nobody is hiding this information, it can be found for any country in the world. World in Data lists covid 19 death rate per million for every country in the world. Just click on any country. USA is not the worst in the world, currently 8th highest rate.

Total confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million people - Our World in Data

Epidemiologists look at the Infection Fatality Rate which is total deaths divided by number of cases or infections. To make this accurate, they have to estimate the number of asymptomatic cases never tested and add that to the number of confirmed cases.

CDC currently states the IFR for covid 19 is 0.0065

COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios | CDC
The mortality rate used internationally to compare countries for the good or bad medical practices, currently lists the US about 15 away from the MOST OR WORSE mortality rate. We are somewhat better than Brazil, but worse than Canada.
The mortality rate normally used is total deaths divided by total cases. As of today that would be 161,941deaths divided by 4,992,027 cases = 3.2%
If you were to make some assumptions and project no vaccine for 2 years and many anti-vaccers after that. Then included not ONLY those that would die, but ALSO added those who almost died with torturous pain, plus many who will have lifelong lingering problems. Then give you about 10% of all cases die or have BIG problems.
Note : it is NOT black or white, die or live. there is a gray unknown area of torture. That is why overall it is VERY bad to line up your beliefs with the so called "DOWNPLAYERS".