Quote:
Originally Posted by retiredguy123
Florida and New York both have about the same population. Both states are testing about the same number of people for the virus per day. But, recently, the data results are showing that Florida has about 10 times as many confirmed cases per day as New York. Is that because people in New York are 10 times more prudent at avoiding the virus? I don't think so. I think that part of the discrepancy can be explained by the fact that the people being tested are not a true representation of the population. Most people are only tested because they chose to be tested, and so they show up at a testing center. In that respect, I believe the data is flawed. I suspect that the circumstances for people who decide to get tested are different in Florida vs New York.
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New York was hit with the virus earlier and their cases peaked on April 10. Florida was seeded with virus carriers from New York and our cases peaked on July 18. Virus appears to hit different latitudes harder at different times of the year, similar to the flu.
New York appears to have hit the low herd immunity threshold postulated by Nobel Laureate Michael Levitt where virus burns out after infecting 15-25% of population. This is why they have very few new cases now. Florida appears to have peaked July 18 and new cases are going down. We should be in same position as New York by end of September. The tests are fairly accurate with low rates of false results, but they are not perfect.
