Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Is Coronavirus Testing Data Flawed?
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Old 08-07-2020, 02:16 PM
Altavia Altavia is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoodLife View Post
New York was hit with the virus earlier and their cases peaked on April 10. Florida was seeded with virus carriers from New York and our cases peaked on July 18. Virus appears to hit different latitudes harder at different times of the year, similar to the flu.

New York appears to have hit the low herd immunity threshold postulated by Nobel Laureate Michael Levitt where virus burns out after infecting 15-25% of population. This is why they have very few new cases now. Florida appears to have peaked July 18 and new cases are going down. We should be in same position as New York by end of September. The tests are fairly accurate with low rates of false results, but they are not perfect.

Attachment 85671
I think you are correct. Flare ups in other parts of the US tend to confirm this.

Maybe add a percentage of the population practicing safe practices. If 50%, the combination approaches 70-80% so as long as safe practices are maintained in that percentage of the population?