Quote:
Originally Posted by retiredguy123
Weather forecasters often predict more rain than actually occurs. It happens too often to be an error. Personally, I think they do it on purpose. I don't know why, but could it be that, if it rains and they didn't predict it, they will be more heavily criticized?
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There has always been a propensity to over-forecast throughout history -- choosing to be better warned than not at all. The bigger problem is lack of data and lack of knowledge about how our atmosphere & climate works -- which is why forecasts quickly deteriorate with time - especially during rapidly changing jet streams.