Quote:
Originally Posted by biker1
No, the forecasters didn’t “blow” anything. There were weak gradients so the overall predictability was low and the spacial variability was high. I, by the way, received just under an inch of rain on Tuesday. Models are tools but the forecasters are totally dependent on the models. There is a scientific limit to the predictability of convection in weak, unstable flow regimes. The probability function assigned to the forecasts reflected this.
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‘Models’ no pun intended there!
When they refer to the ‘European models’ and the ‘spaghetti charts’.....I’m looking for a 5’10” brunette in a spaghetti strap!