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The older you are, the death rate goes up. But even more important than age are underlying medical issues. If you are healthy but old you have a much better chance of surviving. If you are unhealthy and old, your odds go way down. Your race also matters. People with underlying medical conditions such as heart disease and diabetes were hospitalized six times as often as otherwise healthy individuals infected with the novel coronavirus during the first four months of the pandemic, and they died 12 times as often, according to a federal health report Monday. Your odds of dying go up if disease is serious enough to be hospitalized and even more if put on a ventilator. They are not using ventilators as much now because they don't seem to work all that well. Here is a Wapo article about the CDC report, and the CDC report itself. Lots of info in the CDC report to assess individual risk based on age and health. https://www.washingtonpost.com/healt...ple-cdc-finds/ Coronavirus Disease 2019 Case Surveillance — United States, January 22–May 30, 2020 | MMWR From an anonymous unnamed poster who seems to post more scientific info and links to back it up than anyone else and wisely chooses not to reveal identity and personal info on the internet. :welcome: |
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This is the line list of deaths in Florida since they first started keeping the records. They are listed county by county. Just scroll down through the pages and pages until you get to the county you are interested in. Every age is listed and the date of their death. I guess you still would not know what percentage of these people are dying in the hospital on a ventilator however. But you do get a sense that most people who die of COVID are quite elderly, many of whom may have been going to die anyway at these advanced ages. I do note that in Broward county, the last deaths dated 7/1 through 7/11, 17 people died, and 9 of them were under age 55. |
I don't think Sweden is the best model to look to for fighting pandemic. Look at S. Korea, Japan, New Zealand, Australia, even China. Those countries have done a much better job of fighting the disease. Some have a serious handicap like a lot of population crammed into small spaces. What they did well is jump on the problem with force when it was small. You can contact trace and isolate when your country is having only a few cases each day. No way to do that when you have 15,000 cases in a day. Putting this genie in the tub is impossible, we are beyond control. In New Zealand and Australia the people had confidence in their leaders and a social cohesiveness. They believed their leaders when they said it as a serious problem that required everyone to sacrifice for the good of all. And their leaders were forceful leaders against an enemy of their people. In the Asian countries that have a cultural norm for cooperation that leaders exploited to fight the disease. They gave up part of their freedom to fight a common threat.
Correspond that with the US. We have a fractured and decisive society. We have little national cohesiveness, with a lot of people unwilling to sacrifice any of their freedom for the common good. Even when the facts are known, a fair percentage of the population are unwilling to accept them and inside cling to magical thinking and hope instead of science. And, it must be said, when the problem was clear to our best scientists, many of our leaders chose to ignore science and spread happy-talk and unrealistic optimistic thinking instead of LEADING -- which is asking all of us to join together to fight the disease. Our sense of freedom is our strength, but without an equal sense of responsibility to one another it is our weakness. |
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Feb 17 Fauci: There is absolutely no reason whatsoever to wear a mask, the risk is miniscule, people should be more worried about the annual flu. March 9 Fauci: "If you are a healthy young person, there is no reason if you want to go on a cruise ship, go on a cruise ship...." |
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Now the CDC says old people are dropping like flies. COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios | CDC Not anonymous really at all, Graciegirl. |
What bothers me if you die because of a heart attach or drinking your self to death but have the virus you are counted as a corona death. not the way we should be looking at this
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There is also the trade-off between deaths and disruption of life. In China they dragged people from their homes to quarantine them. Sure, that may have cut the infection rate but would you really want that happening here? In Sweden they let people lead fairly normal lives, with certain precautions. If people didn't want to go to a restaurant then they didn't. Their choice. Higher risk of infection, but a better quality of life. |
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I can tell you that I'm in my mid 50's, reasonably healthy and rarely get sick. I don't worry so much about me or my husband. I have a healthy older teen and 20 something. I do not worry about them. I have family members in their 80's+ and those are the folks that I worry about. I do not think that your concerns are misplaced and I do think that you are wise to take precautions. |
all this focus on whether you die or not misses other possible problems. someone sent me this and what it says is true:
Chicken pox is a virus. Lots of people have had it, and probably don't think about it much once the initial illness has passed. But it stays in your body and lives there forever, and maybe when you're older, you have debilitatingly painful outbreaks of shingles. You don't just get over this virus in a few weeks, never to have another health effect. We know this because it's been around for years, and has been studied medically for years. Herpes is also a virus. And once someone has it, it stays in your body and lives there forever, and anytime they get a little run down or stressed-out they're going to have an outbreak. Maybe every time you have a big event coming up (school pictures, job interview, big date) you're going to get a cold sore. For the rest of your life. You don't just get over it in a few weeks. We know this because it's been around for years, and been studied medically for years. HIV is a virus. It attacks the immune system, and makes the carrier far more vulnerable to other illnesses. It has a list of symptoms and negative health impacts that goes on and on. It was decades before viable treatments were developed that allowed people to live with a reasonable quality of life. Once you have it, it lives in your body forever and there is no cure. Over time, that takes a toll on the body, putting people living with HIV at greater risk for health conditions such as cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, diabetes, bone disease, liver disease, cognitive disorders, and some types of cancer. We know this because it has been around for years, and had been studied medically for years. Now with COVID-19, we have a novel virus that spreads rapidly and easily. The full spectrum of symptoms and health effects is only just beginning to be cataloged, much less understood.This disease has not been around for years. It has basically been 6 months. No one knows yet the long-term health effects, or how it may present itself years down the road for people who have been exposed. We literally *do not know* what we do not know. |
Coronaviruses are not new things, though. I'm not seeing why there would be any reason to suspect that COVID-19 would remain dormant and ready to reappear anymore than any other Coronavirus related cold. COVID-19 is just a particularly nasty version of something that is already pretty well understood.
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And they had to pull some patients OFF of ventilators to give to other, better-likely-to-live CV patients. It happened! |
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There are some people who have had Covid-19 and are experiencing effects long after the accepted recovery period, but there are many more who have had the virus with seemingly no effects at all. Until enough time has elapsed for Covid-19 infection data to be studied properly we will not know in which camp it belongs. |
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