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-   -   Comparing covid 19 death rates - Countries and States (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/current-events-news-541/comparing-covid-19-death-rates-countries-states-308939/)

jimjamuser 07-13-2020 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by zendog3 (Post 1802590)
I don't think Sweden is the best model to look to for fighting pandemic. Look at S. Korea, Japan, New Zealand, Australia, even China. Those countries have done a much better job of fighting the disease. Some have a serious handicap like a lot of population crammed into small spaces. What they did well is jump on the problem with force when it was small. You can contact trace and isolate when your country is having only a few cases each day. No way to do that when you have 15,000 cases in a day. Putting this genie in the tub is impossible, we are beyond control. In New Zealand and Australia the people had confidence in their leaders and a social cohesiveness. They believed their leaders when they said it as a serious problem that required everyone to sacrifice for the good of all. And their leaders were forceful leaders against an enemy of their people. In the Asian countries that have a cultural norm for cooperation that leaders exploited to fight the disease. They gave up part of their freedom to fight a common threat.

Correspond that with the US. We have a fractured and decisive society. We have little national cohesiveness, with a lot of people unwilling to sacrifice any of their freedom for the common good. Even when the facts are known, a fair percentage of the population are unwilling to accept them and inside cling to magical thinking and hope instead of science. And, it must be said, when the problem was clear to our best scientists, many of our leaders chose to ignore science and spread happy-talk and unrealistic optimistic thinking instead of LEADING -- which is asking all of us to join together to fight the disease.

Our sense of freedom is our strength, but without an equal sense of responsibility to one another it is our weakness.

That was sssssoooooo beautiful Zen doggie, dog and I like your cars. "putting the genie in the tub" was (I hope) pun intended. Either way, it is QUITE funny. Hope that genie does not drown in that tub! Needs a lifeguard.

jimjamuser 07-13-2020 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bonnevie (Post 1802640)
all this focus on whether you die or not misses other possible problems. someone sent me this and what it says is true:

Chicken pox is a virus. Lots of people have had it, and probably don't think about it much once the initial illness has passed. But it stays in your body and lives there forever, and maybe when you're older, you have debilitatingly painful outbreaks of shingles. You don't just get over this virus in a few weeks, never to have another health effect. We know this because it's been around for years, and has been studied medically for years.

Herpes is also a virus. And once someone has it, it stays in your body and lives there forever, and anytime they get a little run down or stressed-out they're going to have an outbreak. Maybe every time you have a big event coming up (school pictures, job interview, big date) you're going to get a cold sore. For the rest of your life. You don't just get over it in a few weeks. We know this because it's been around for years, and been studied medically for years.

HIV is a virus. It attacks the immune system, and makes the carrier far more vulnerable to other illnesses. It has a list of symptoms and negative health impacts that goes on and on. It was decades before viable treatments were developed that allowed people to live with a reasonable quality of life. Once you have it, it lives in your body forever and there is no cure. Over time, that takes a toll on the body, putting people living with HIV at greater risk for health conditions such as cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, diabetes, bone disease, liver disease, cognitive disorders, and some types of cancer. We know this because it has been around for years, and had been studied medically for years.

Now with COVID-19, we have a novel virus that spreads rapidly and easily. The full spectrum of symptoms and health effects is only just beginning to be cataloged, much less understood.This disease has not been around for years. It has basically been 6 months. No one knows yet the long-term health effects, or how it may present itself years down the road for people who have been exposed. We literally *do not know* what we do not know.

Great post. Thanks for taking the trouble. Posts like that are illuminating.

graciegirl 07-13-2020 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bonnevie (Post 1802640)
all this focus on whether you die or not misses other possible problems. someone sent me this and what it says is true:

Chicken pox is a virus. Lots of people have had it, and probably don't think about it much once the initial illness has passed. But it stays in your body and lives there forever, and maybe when you're older, you have debilitatingly painful outbreaks of shingles. You don't just get over this virus in a few weeks, never to have another health effect. We know this because it's been around for years, and has been studied medically for years.

Herpes is also a virus. And once someone has it, it stays in your body and lives there forever, and anytime they get a little run down or stressed-out they're going to have an outbreak. Maybe every time you have a big event coming up (school pictures, job interview, big date) you're going to get a cold sore. For the rest of your life. You don't just get over it in a few weeks. We know this because it's been around for years, and been studied medically for years.

HIV is a virus. It attacks the immune system, and makes the carrier far more vulnerable to other illnesses. It has a list of symptoms and negative health impacts that goes on and on. It was decades before viable treatments were developed that allowed people to live with a reasonable quality of life. Once you have it, it lives in your body forever and there is no cure. Over time, that takes a toll on the body, putting people living with HIV at greater risk for health conditions such as cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, diabetes, bone disease, liver disease, cognitive disorders, and some types of cancer. We know this because it has been around for years, and had been studied medically for years.

Now with COVID-19, we have a novel virus that spreads rapidly and easily. The full spectrum of symptoms and health effects is only just beginning to be cataloged, much less understood.This disease has not been around for years. It has basically been 6 months. No one knows yet the long-term health effects, or how it may present itself years down the road for people who have been exposed. We literally *do not know* what we do not know.

Very well thought out and well written post and these views I have thought about for years. At one time University of Cincinnati was researching whether the measles virus could or does reemerge as MS. There is so much that we are learning as genetics is used more and more to unlock medical problems.

jimjamuser 07-13-2020 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gulfcoast (Post 1802643)
Coronaviruses are not new things, though. I'm not seeing why there would be any reason to suspect that COVID-19 would remain dormant and ready to reappear anymore than any other Coronavirus related cold. COVID-19 is just a particularly nasty version of something that is already pretty well understood.

A Federal Department set up to prevent CV was working on a vaccine when its budget was scrapped 3 years ago.

rmd2 07-13-2020 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carla B (Post 1802118)
And it was early on in the experience of treating COVID 19 in the U.S. and those states were battling with shortages of PPE , ventilators, and guidance from the Federal gov't.

Not true. The nursing homes managers in NY begged Cuomo not to put COVID positive in their nursing homes. They told him they did not have the facilities to handle regular nursing home patients and COVID patients too. He threatened to take away their nursing home license. Cuomo handled that, not the Feds.

forebubba 07-13-2020 01:45 PM

The US has 4% of the world's population and 30% of the world's deaths due to covid 19
The US people spend by far the most for health cost.
Why is this?

graciegirl 07-13-2020 01:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rmd2 (Post 1802695)
Not true. The nursing homes managers in NY begged Cuomo not to put COVID positive in their nursing homes. They told him they did not have the facilities to handle regular nursing home patients and COVID patients too. He threatened to take away their nursing home license. Cuomo handled that, not the Feds.

I do not believe for one second that Governor Cuomo or the Federal Government or anyone wants to do harm. I think this damn bug has put us all over a barrel. It is less than six months and this new virus is cutting a caper and attacking us in a myriad of ways and it has not really allowed times for all the great minds of the world to know just what IS the best thing to do in many cases. ANYONE who thinks they have it all figured out enough to really be able to know what to do next has not emerged in the fray. We have liars, deniers, and criers. We have hoaxes and plots and conspiracies. We have everybody peddling as fast as they can, and it is not simple. It can destroy life and the economic structure that supports all of us. I am not a scholar but it does remind me of King Solomon in the bible who had two women who both said an infant was theirs and he said that the only thing he could think to do is to divide it with his sword. This is a problem much like that one.

Be safe. Don't kiss the UPS man. Take your vitamins and wouldn't hurt to find your rosary.

sloanst 07-13-2020 02:19 PM

I guess any excuse will do to support your position. NY had enough ventilators but decided to auction them off in 2016. China purchased all of the PPE when Covid started there but decide to NOT close their airport to the outside world. Mixing Covid with non-Covid was the decision of the governors not the Fed.

EastCoastDawg 07-13-2020 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by forebubba (Post 1802706)
The US has 4% of the world's population and 30% of the world's deaths due to covid 19. The US people spend by far the most for health cost. Why is this?

I can suggest two possible reasons:

1) Mobility - as a %, there are far more people moving around in, and going into and out of, the USA than, say, India or China (each having 18% of the World's population) so the virus came into the US at many entry points and got quickly spread around; and

2) Accuracy of reporting - many deaths in the outlying regions of India and China may have not been recorded as Covid-related, and the reporting may not even have reached the national statistics yet. With 2.8bn people between them, it wouldn't take much of a change in their actual Covid-related death rate to send them rocketing past the US in terms of actual numbers of deaths.

rustyp 07-13-2020 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoodLife (Post 1802096)
Current listing of the highest death rates per million in the world. Rates per million are the best way to compare countries for obvious reasons.

1 Belgium 853 per million
2. United Kingdom 659
3. Spain 606
4. Italy 577
5. Sweden 547
6. France 444
7. USA 415
8. Ireland 357
9. Netherlands 354
10. Chile 303

So USA is bad but not the worst. Sweden is the only country on the list that did not lockdown.

What if we inserted US states into the list? US States, in terms of covid 19 policies, are kind of like autonomous countries, there was no overall policy for lockdowns and mitigation handed down by federal government. States were free to choose what they did in terms of their response.

Countries and US states with highest death rates per million

1. New Jersey 1757 deaths per million
2. New York 1665
3. Connecticut 1220
4. Massachusetts 1206
5. Rhode Island 921
6. Belgium 853
7. DC 805
8. Louisiana 733
9. United Kingdom 659
10. Michigan 632

So 5 US States have the very worst death rates per million in the world. US States have 7 of the highest death rates in the world. I included District of Columbia because they keep their own stats and made their own policies about lockdown etc. Those 7 states combine for a total of 71,351 covid 19 deaths, which is 52% of all covid 19 deaths in USA. 52% of deaths and only 16% of total population.

For comparison, Florida death rate per million is 190, we are in 24th place among states, so middle of the pack. We may move up in the ranks with this recent surge in new cases. Make sure you stay safe and do not become a statistic.

Agreed with rate per million a better metric than raw numbers however still not an accurate picture. Somehow it needs to be combined with population density per sq mile or acre or something. For example about rate per million not a totally accurate picture is to say Antarctica has experienced 0 deaths per million.My seasonal home is near the border of Canada in New York State. Thus far in this county there is 0 deaths and 40 confirmed cases. Independent of population that is a death rate of 0 per million as compared to the 1665 per million published for all of New York State. So my intuition tells me you year rounders in TV think you are better off being in Florida than New York. Before you jump do you feel better off in TV than Miami - get the message ? Well you can't beat 0 death rate plus it's mid 70 degrees and low humidity here in the mountains. Also the people in this county are taking mask and social distancing to levels tens of times higher than that of TV when I left for the summer. And yes I voluntarily quarantined for 14 days when I arrived.

Byte1 07-13-2020 03:18 PM

I don't know why any of you insist on looking at other countries for answers. To suggest that other countries pay less for health care is is like comparing Chinese laborers to our union workers. Why do we pay more? For one thing, socialist countries take about half of your pay check in payroll taxes to pay for state run health care. Do you want to halve your pay check? We also have more CT machines and other diagnostic machines than most of the world combined. Our doctors have to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars per year in malpractice insurance. Lawyers in one country that I know of work as security guards for our embassy because we pay more than they can make. I know one pediatrician in another country that works as a receptionist in our health unit in our embassy. Why? Because they do not make any money in socialist countries and we pay better. Be careful of what you wish for. Do you really want to sacrifice your liberty/freedom just to give the gov. control of the most important aspects of your lives? Don't preach to others about how great other countries are until you have lived in those countries. Better yet, try living in those other countries as one of their citizens. And you wonder why we have millions that want to come and live here in America?

Mass hysteria is prevalent in America. Isn't it interesting to find out that you can't control EVERYTHING in life?

I remember when AIDS was the greatest scare. Children that were infected with HIV were sent home from school and not allowed to attend around other children. Workers were let go if it was discovered they were infected. The world as we know it was ending.

Remember SARS?
I'm old but not old enough to remember Small Pox. But that was a bad one too. I do remember the vaccinations though. Same with polio.
How about the plague? I do remember getting a plague shot in the military, as well as Typhus.

The point is that eventually someone will decide on how to modify our behavior so that we can live reasonably normal lives again.

I live in Sumter Co. Out of all those tested positive for COVID19 in The Villages, my understanding is that only 8 or 9 Villages residents have actually died from the virus (in Sumter Co). I do not wish to become infected to test my theory but it seems to me that the death rate to positive tests is less than a hundredth of a percent. Just a guesstimate, so I am sure someone with better knowledge and better math skills will come on here and correct me. Thank you in advance.

From what I understand, The Villages hospital is not over run yet.

talleyjm 07-13-2020 03:36 PM

Excellent post❗️ My son in NYC keeps beating me up with Florida’s recent uptick in cases - now I can fight back with your stats 🤪

mneumann02 07-13-2020 05:53 PM

Covid-19 Death Rate
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Byte1 (Post 1802733)
I don't know why any of you insist on looking at other countries for answers. To suggest that other countries pay less for health care is is like comparing Chinese laborers to our union workers. Why do we pay more? For one thing, socialist countries take about half of your pay check in payroll taxes to pay for state run health care. Do you want to halve your pay check? We also have more CT machines and other diagnostic machines than most of the world combined. Our doctors have to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars per year in malpractice insurance. Lawyers in one country that I know of work as security guards for our embassy because we pay more than they can make. I know one pediatrician in another country that works as a receptionist in our health unit in our embassy. Why? Because they do not make any money in socialist countries and we pay better. Be careful of what you wish for. Do you really want to sacrifice your liberty/freedom just to give the gov. control of the most important aspects of your lives? Don't preach to others about how great other countries are until you have lived in those countries. Better yet, try living in those other countries as one of their citizens. And you wonder why we have millions that want to come and live here in America?

Mass hysteria is prevalent in America. Isn't it interesting to find out that you can't control EVERYTHING in life?

I remember when AIDS was the greatest scare. Children that were infected with HIV were sent home from school and not allowed to attend around other children. Workers were let go if it was discovered they were infected. The world as we know it was ending.

Remember SARS?
I'm old but not old enough to remember Small Pox. But that was a bad one too. I do remember the vaccinations though. Same with polio.
How about the plague? I do remember getting a plague shot in the military, as well as Typhus.

The point is that eventually someone will decide on how to modify our behavior so that we can live reasonably normal lives again.

I live in Sumter Co. Out of all those tested positive for COVID19 in The Villages, my understanding is that only 8 or 9 Villages residents have actually died from the virus (in Sumter Co). I do not wish to become infected to test my theory but it seems to me that the death rate to positive tests is less than a hundredth of a percent. Just a guesstimate, so I am sure someone with better knowledge and better math skills will come on here and correct me. Thank you in advance.

From what I understand, The Villages hospital is not over run yet.

The math here is very off- "the death rate to positive tests is less than a hundredth of a percent." The death rate for everyone getting Covid-19 is running around 5% world-wide. The death rate, if you are 70-79 is around 16%, as published by a link to the CDC by a previous poster. That is my age group. I do not like those odds, so my wife and I are taking every precaution. This is not PANICKING as some posters like to accuse, this is being realistic. This pandemic is not a hoax, this is not political, this is not a "scamdemic" as I have read here. This is a deadly health crises that severely affects older people more than younger ones. If everyone had taken this seriously back in March, we would be through this. It is the people who don't wear masks, who gather in large groups, who compare this to the flu, who don't take precautions- those are the people spreading this deadly virus and killing people who catch it.

GoodLife 07-13-2020 06:26 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by talleyjm (Post 1802740)
Excellent post❗️ My son in NYC keeps beating me up with Florida’s recent uptick in cases - now I can fight back with your stats 🤪

Save this graph and email it to him.

NY deaths per million vs Florida Texas Arizona combined

Attachment 85223

Skip 07-13-2020 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoodLife (Post 1802096)
Current listing of the highest death rates per million in the world. Rates per million are the best way to compare countries for obvious reasons.

1 Belgium 853 per million
2. United Kingdom 659
3. Spain 606
4. Italy 577
5. Sweden 547
6. France 444
7. USA 415
8. Ireland 357
9. Netherlands 354
10. Chile 303

I keep track of the same figures each week.
You forgot a very important number:
China 3 (per million)

Skip


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