Quote:
Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby
(Post 1934718)
Some "reasons":
1. Some people who require other people to do the thinking for them, have chosen to assume that the CDC's continual updates which sometimes contradict previous recommendations means they can't be trusted. (They'd be wrong about that, but it's an understandable reason, if you're used to other people doing your thinking for you)
2. Religious reasons (this would be a very tiny minority of the population that rejects medical intervention, including vaccines. They would likely be a very very small segment of the 20-30% of people who don't need to be vaccinated in order for herd immunity to occur)
3. Some people have illnesses or allergies that exempt them from being eligible to be vaccinated (again - they make up a portion of that 20-30%)
4. Some people aren't 16 years old or older (probably the largest segment of the 20-30%)
5. Some might already have antibodies, and feel that vaccinating would be redundant (this is possible, I don't know the science on it but it seems to make sense that it's a valid reason - anyone want to look that up?)
Other than #1, all of those are valid reasons to not vaccinate. With #1, it's not a valid reason, but it's an understandable reason.
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So let me ask you this, OBB, because I value your input. You're one of the most cogent posters here, and that's saying something because this board rocks the palace!
Let's say a person has none of your "reasons." He/she, however, has read the reports that say that statistically, an aggregate 80% of Covid-infected people across all age groups, with or without comorbities, have no symptoms or mild symptoms with no long term effects.* (Millions more infected people have no or mild symptoms and don't get tested, so one can infer the chances of no symptoms or mild symptoms are ostensibly even better than 80%. Further, the fact that not everyone gets infected, far from it, increases favorable odds even more, but we'll let that one slide for now.)
So let's say that person feels that it's not worth getting an unapproved** vaccine for at most a 15% upgrade in his/her chances of an uneventful outcome (the vaccines confer about 95% assurance of no symptoms or mild symptoms). This combined with more and more reports coming in about adverse affects, and death, from the vaccine, but they may not be credible, so we'll let that one slide, too.
Further, let's say s/he is believing Fauci and others when they say that vaccinated people can still carry and shed the virus, and get reinfected. He/she is also relatively young, has no comorbidities and still observes the CDC guidelines. Does the case for vaccination further weaken? (I want to underscore the fact that the science says both the vaccinated and unvaccinated can carry the virus and pass it on, therefore its seems the claim that the unvaccinated puts the population at risk any more than the vaccinated is questionable.)
So is there a defense for the person who has made this cost/benefit analysis and decides to opt out of the vaccine but does so and possibly hinders herd immunity? Asking for a friend, and now that I think of it, are the unvaccinated even hindering herd immunity more than the vaccinated? The
unvaccinated may get infected and become immune and contribute to the pool of herd immunity. Also the
vaccinated, through no fault of their own, could interfere with herd immunity by getting infected, no?
*
More than 80% of people with coronavirus had no symptoms: UK study
**Approved for emergency use only. From
https://www.raps.org/news-and-articl...rovals-and-wh: “Typically we think of FDA authorization as meaning that there is data and information that in the agency’s view shows the product is safe and effective for its intended use. For example, to approve a drug, FDA must determine that there is ‘substantial evidence’---consisting of adequate and well-controlled investigations---that the drug will have the effect it is intended to have. An EUA, on the other hand, can be authorized if ‘it is reasonable to believe that . . . the product may be effective.’ The EUA standard is simply a lower standard, and everyone should understand that.”