Talk of The Villages Florida

Talk of The Villages Florida (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/)
-   Current Events and News (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/current-events-news-541/)
-   -   Sept 22, 200,000 Dead from Covid 19 in the US (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/current-events-news-541/sept-22-200-000-dead-covid-19-us-311331/)

jjombrello 09-23-2020 11:39 AM

It's because the numbers are inflated. They include those who died with Covid but from other causes. Should only be those that died from Covid to be a true account. A big difference!

jebartle 09-23-2020 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Beyond The Wall (Post 1837056)
If 50,000 had not died in Ny and NJ the stats are more in line with rest of the world. More importantly or freedoms allow us to travel and interact more. The blame should be squarely on China. They knew it was a highly contagious disease. They quantified their travel to their cities BUY allowed citizens to travel out! Simply a bio attack on the world

Sooooo, China is responsible for OUR REVOLVING DOOR???? Hmmmm!

Miguel 1952 09-23-2020 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T186021 (Post 1836917)
How can the US have 5% of the world population but 20% of the deaths related to Covid? We have failed to protect our population from the pandemic. How did our country become so anti-science during this world wide health crisis?

Money! The insurance companies and government are paying for Covid deaths.

oldtimes 09-23-2020 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 1837281)
OK, so what would you have done differently? Ignore Fauci and Birx??? Create a panic with gloom and doom talk??? Use psychic ability to know the facts about the virus before they were discovered? Even Monday morning quarterbacking is difficult with this one.

There are many reasons for the US to have a higher percentage of deaths---mobile population, genetically diverse, frontier mentality, distrust of authority---pick one or more.

Thank you for your knowledgeable and sensible posts. I believe no one had any idea about this virus in the beginning and everyone was just guessing. I’ll go with frontier mentality.

chet2020 09-23-2020 12:01 PM

200,000 deaths is no big deal. It's only old people and sick people dying. We would have died anyway. No reason for anyone in The VIllages to worry. "It affects virtually nobody" according the man in charge, best to downplay it. We old people should "take one for the team." Besides, the 200,000 number is not real. There are 200,000+ excess deaths this year, but that's a coincidence. It's just the flu. Best to continue on our current path, we're a model to the world. /S

Bucco 09-23-2020 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chet2020 (Post 1837297)
200,000 deaths is no big deal. It's only old people and sick people dying. We would have died anyway. No reason for anyone in The VIllages to worry. "It affects virtually nobody" according the man in charge, best to downplay it. We old people should "take one for the team." Besides, the 200,000 number is not real. There are 200,000+ excess deaths this year, but that's a coincidence. It's just the flu. Best to continue on our current path, we're a model to the world. /S

Love your sarcasm. We have ceased being a model to anyone, and are now the butt of jokes...as with any disoriented third world country.

I hear so much going through our capital that I won't repeat, but it is plain scary...the plans being made and such. Some news outlets are hinting and reporting, but not something to repeat unless validated beyond what I hear, but it is some scary stuff.

The cultist will be part.

oldtimes 09-23-2020 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bucco (Post 1837299)
Did you hear how it was described to POTUS in late January/early February by intelligence. POTUS recollection.....this is the biggest national security threat you will see ever. His words...and it is much stronger than any flue, and it travels in the air.

In public, he continued to downplay, and even said "it will dissipate by April" knowing that was a lie. His comments about it traveling by air was to continually, and still, mock that effort, while refusing to set an example.

Just a few examples of opportunities to perhaps save lives, squandered, all the while not hiding his making it about politics.

This is not Monday morning quarterbacking...it is simply using his own words and showing the deceit used by his office.

Your assumption is desperate and defies logic. We have been without guidance from our lead from the beginning.

Joining in booing that Lt. Gov for wearing a mask, yelling how it basically effects nobody is not leadership....it is a game show move.

But are we actually saving lives or are we just delaying the deaths? The places that locked down did see their numbers go down but now they are going back up. Science still does not fully understand this virus.

jimjamuser 09-23-2020 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Art cov (Post 1836941)
It’s sad that New York n New Jersey had 1/4 of all deaths. Nursing homes, homeless, prisoners had the greatest of numbers. I remember when they told us maybe 2.4 million may die. Glad that didn’t happen! We won’t know exactly as they have changed, and predicted lots of crazy things. Covid has shown we Americans are gullible on so many fronts. However it’s a tragedy if only one person has passed because of this Covid 19. One thing for sure I believe we are more mindful of washing hands, wiping down grocery cart handles and so on. You can think of many changes that possibly you have made. Did Covid come from China, a lab, a bat, bad oysters off the Asian coast? Many tested positive (many times) and some tested positive and were never tested. Every crazy thought and idea came out of this C 19. It has changed the world on so many fronts. Even I had thoughts of living on a cruise ship for months on end lol. To travel the world and be pampered for life! Lol I surely haven’t thought of that Wild idea lately. Let us who found disagreements through all this get back to being kind again to all and enjoy our last years on this great earth that God created. Hopefully C 19 will be behind us soon and normalcies prevail.

Yes, that would be a nice HOPE, but the reality is different. In the US, CV cases are UP 15% in the last 10 days. There are 200,000 DEAD and most medical scientists expect that to double to 400,000 DEAD by Dec 31, 2020. Meanwhile, in Japan, S. Korea, Australia, and New Zealand, CV is practically non-existant and life is normal. Why are they so smart? They believe in science. Science tells them to wear masks. Unlike the US, they listen to their scientists and leaders. They do NOT have a "cowboy mentality" throughout society. It is all about masks and mentality. We should have been ssssoooo much better! And you can forget that vaccine that is riding in on some white horse. The medical scientists say that masks are better than a vaccine.

Aloha1 09-23-2020 12:31 PM

Amazed that this thread is still up with all the partisan sniping. We have one group brow beating the other, insisting that only they are right. We have another group arguing that the first group is wrong and won't listen to "the facts". In the middle are a few voices of reason. Conclusion: This thread is going nowhere fast and at best appears to catharsis for some.

My take is very simple, do the right thing to protect yourself and your loved ones. Wear a mask, wash your hands, and stay out of crowds. You do not need to listen to ANY politician or the media, just use common sense assuming that still exists.

This too shall pass as so many pandemics have before. Be a role model for others in the meantime.

jimjamuser 09-23-2020 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BryanTheGolfPro (Post 1836971)
Follow the money. If someone dies with heart disease, diabetes, stroke, etc. and they also have the China Virus, hospitals report the cause of death as the China Virus. Why? Because they get reimbursed more. Not so in other countries. FOLLOW THE MONEY!!!

That is rediculous. That "downplaying" gets MORE people KILLED!

graciegirl 09-23-2020 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aloha1 (Post 1837325)
Amazed that this thread is still up with all the partisan sniping. We have one group brow beating the other, insisting that only they are right. We have another group arguing that the first group is wrong and won't listen to "the facts". In the middle are a few voices of reason. Conclusion: This thread is going nowhere fast and at best appears to catharsis for some.

My take is very simple, do the right thing to protect yourself and your loved ones. Wear a mask, wash your hands, and stay out of crowds. You do not need to listen to ANY politician or the media, just use common sense assuming that still exists.

This too shall pass as so many pandemics have before. Be a role model for others in the meantime.

Excellent advice. I hope to meet you in person some day and shake your hand.

n8xwb 09-23-2020 12:48 PM

Very easily. How can NY have so many more deaths than N. Dakota? Well, first people in ND are pretty well social distanced to begin with. Lots of room, not many people. 2. How many people from ND travel to, from China and other countries? Probably not many when compared to NY. If you're not exposed you can't get the virus. Now look at it from a world perspective. How many folks living on a farm in Tasmania are likely to be exposed? How about those living in the Amazon Rain forest? How about those in the middle of Africa? Etc etc. Then how many of the residents in the poorest countries can even dream about world travel? There are all kinds of legitimate reasons why our country is being hit so hard and if you care to speculate that it is our leaders' fault you certainly can -- in my opinion it is just stupid speculation.

Oh, and don't forget who allowed their residents to leave an travel worldwide but wouldn't let them move around their own country....THAT WOULD BE CHINA.

jimjamuser 09-23-2020 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cranford61 (Post 1836981)
We, the 5%ers, also create 27% of worlds greenhouses gasses. Not a good world citizen. Connection?

Agreed and will go even deeper - greenhouse gas caused by mostly the US, which was #1 for many past years, now #2 - gas caused Global Warming - which probably (?not yet proven) cause animal species (like bats) disruption which CAUSED a normally animal virus to JUMP to humans.

You could even say, "what goes around, then comes around".

jimjamuser 09-23-2020 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by reg331 (Post 1836990)
Did they die FROM the virus or WITH the virus? Big difference!

Only God would be qualified to answer the question of FROM or WITH.

MDLNB 09-23-2020 01:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nordhagen (Post 1837179)
Have read that the CDC said that only 6% of deaths are only due to the virus. The rest had underlying health issues that the virus, obviously, didn’t help. That’s 12,000 deaths directly tied to the virus.


I read the same thing. :coolsmiley:

Bucco 09-23-2020 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDLNB (Post 1837346)
I read the same thing. :coolsmiley:

I am wondering if any of your read the thread posts or only those that support your position....that has been answered a number of times.

Not many folks at my age die from one single thing, you know

graciegirl 09-23-2020 01:22 PM

We have read them all. I choose to hope that the dying will stop soon. We have had some hopeful information in the last few days;

Phase 3 clinical trial of investigational vaccine for COVID-19 begins | National Institutes of Health (NIH)

Johnson & Johnson's coronavirus vaccine is fourth to begin Phase 3 trials in the United States

graciegirl 09-23-2020 01:28 PM

Rather than focus on what is heartbreaking, many choose to hope this will end soon. It not only affects this country but the entire world.

Twice in the last week we have had encouraging news about two different vaccines entering the third and final phase of testing.

I posted them above

MDLNB 09-23-2020 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDLNB (Post 1837137)
Actually, according to one study the death rate is lower since the pandemic than it was from 2014 through 2018. I got this info from Macrotrends so I can not attest to the veracity of the information.


The death rate this year is NO higher than it is any other year. SO, if this is true then the normal deaths are being contributed to the virus pandemic and what some folks are saying on here is correct.

Considering the fact that in the Villages there has only been about 60 deaths supposedly from the virus, the ratio is very low. No deaths would be better but death is a fact of life(?) If there are something like 150,000 residents in The Villages (not sure of the number) then 60 deaths is pretty darn low.



Sorry, but making this political is pretty weak.

Bucco 09-23-2020 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by graciegirl (Post 1837354)
We have read them all. I choose to hope that the dying will stop soon. We have had some hopeful information in the last few days;

Phase 3 clinical trial of investigational vaccine for COVID-19 begins | National Institutes of Health (NIH)

I sincerely hope so also..........but it is all conflicted now. Some say soon (politicians).....some say middle of next year (scientists, some).

This thread was not about that and the virus is NOT correctly described as "not affecting anybody". It is a serious problem to be addressed, but I must reply to those who say it was something it was not. Americans need to know who to trust.

I pray with you on this vaccine news, and both of us are at an age where I resent those posts that seem to write us all off.

jimjamuser 09-23-2020 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by loribellitt (Post 1837128)
The Civil Discourse Club in The V recently hosted a Zoom meeting w/a former CDC employee giving an update on Covid. It's a great club to join to receive pertinent info on many subjects. Pertinent to Covid were some valid points:
*Due to a lack of clear messaging, 2 countries suffer: US & Spain (Spain recently handed virus control to 'regional' govts to their peril)
*In Korea now, easy tests are similar to a pregnancy test (available at Dollar General)
*Across the world, there are over 200 possible vacs in development.
*60-70% of population needs to be vaccinated or recovered for herd immunity. As of now, only 2% have been exposed.
*Virus not changing as quickly as normal flu virus. In S. Africa where they are currently going through regular 'flu' season, it's not nearly as severe, thanks mostly to masking already taking place for Covid.
*Estimates vacs availability April 2021 earliest.
*Convalescent plasma has NOT been effective.
*Regarding govt. payments to hospitals for Covid diagnoses: They do NOT receive payment if patient admitted w/pre-existing condition.
*Initial messaging from the CDC was diluted dramatically.
*One metric used to determine Covid deaths is average of TOTAL deaths (car accidents, suicide, cancer, heart attack, etc) in same time frame year-to-year. It doesn't change much EXCEPT for this year where, sometime ago, deaths were up over 200,000. This points to Covid deaths actually being underreported.

Thank you! That was the most factual and informative post I have seen today and for MANY days. I learned a lot and I had a pretty good base knowledge of CV from before. Sounds like a GREAT club to belong to!!!!!

brunogal 09-23-2020 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfing eagles (Post 1837281)
OK, so what would you have done differently? Ignore Fauci and Birx??? Create a panic with gloom and doom talk??? Use psychic ability to know the facts about the virus before they were discovered? Even Monday morning quarterbacking is difficult with this one.

There are many reasons for the US to have a higher percentage of deaths---mobile population, genetically diverse, frontier mentality, distrust of authority---pick one or more.

A national response was required for this one, as demonstrated by every other rich country who responded thusly and with vigor. But for that, leadership is also required.

jimjamuser 09-23-2020 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Masterchin (Post 1837215)
96 percent would still be alive had they not had COVID-19. I too have four Doctors I’m close with and all have confirmed that hospitals DONT get paid more for a positive COVID death. Really amazing people believe politicians over science. The latest one I heard was mask don’t work. That’s why Doctors and nurses wear them every day. Twenty six years USAF and I thought During times of crisis we’re supposed to join together and generally care about fellow Americans. We pick politics over family, over country, over neighbors. We’re okay with lies and dishonest politicians as long as it serves our purpose. We should demand better from our leaders and if we don’t get it we vote them out. Leaders are supposed to unite us not divide us. Divided we will fall!

Correct. And thanks for your service. You are doing you part.

Domenick 09-23-2020 04:13 PM

Hindsight is 20/20. So tell me what these other countries did that their numbers are so good.

merrymini 09-23-2020 04:34 PM

I think reading these comments are very amusing. I would love to hear from people who say we should have been prepared for the pandemic. How? Which pandemic? Evidence that this came from a chinese lab. Mistaken release? On purpose? Lied about the wet market. Lies about their numbers. Who will ever tell? WHO thinks china is the greatest. Really? We did things wrong? No. We did our best and I am glad we have someone who is positive and hopeful. That is what living is, hope.

Bucco 09-23-2020 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by joelfmi (Post 1837473)
Because of his actions of sending POSITIVE hospital covid sick people into assisted living facilities to assisted nursing homes when He did not make sure they had PPE and their staff was not quitting. As you know He did not use the facilities that the president gave him which would of save her life and 10,000 other seniors. This not political put is a fact which has to be told.

Telling you that they were not forced is not adequate.

My sympathies and I understand your pain and anger.

It has been told many times in many ways, rest assured.

coffeebean 09-23-2020 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BryanTheGolfPro (Post 1836971)
Follow the money. If someone dies with heart disease, diabetes, stroke, etc. and they also have the China Virus, hospitals report the cause of death as the China Virus. Why? Because they get reimbursed more. Not so in other countries. FOLLOW THE MONEY!!!

This is probably the answer to the original poster's question. I have not believed the numbers that are being reported for several months. They could be less, they could be more. Who know? Certainly not me.

coffeebean 09-23-2020 05:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Checkers1 (Post 1837019)
You are so right Brian, if every death reported as Covid19 that really wasn't Covid19 was deleted from the statistics it would probably be a number close to half of what has been reported. Shameful, misleading and greedy on the part of health care officials.

Just had a thought.......Since this pandemic has gripped this nation.......Have the deaths from all other causes been tracked? Are there zero deaths from auto accidents, zero deaths from heart attacks, zero deaths from renal failure, zero deaths from strokes, etc, etc, etc. You get the idea.

Malsua 09-23-2020 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by coffeebean (Post 1837490)
Just had a thought.......Since this pandemic has gripped this nation.......Have the deaths from all other causes been tracked? Are there zero deaths from auto accidents, zero deaths from heart attacks, zero deaths from renal failure, zero deaths from strokes, etc, etc, etc. You get the idea.

Excess deaths are tracked.

Here is wwwDOTcdcDOTgov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths

There was quite a hump in the spring, a bit of a hump in July and now it's dropping down to nothing.

Every area has to go through their initial phase and then it's done in that area. It gets all the weak hosts and then it's done. This is not to say there aren't people it missed, but it seems to weed out the weakest and run out of hosts.

People talking about a spiking in cases but there are hundreds of thousands of tests taking place each day and the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test is not that great.
Even with 1% false positive, that's 2000 false positives per day. If there are 2000 actual positives, that means that 50% of the "cases" aren't real.

Before you attack the number, you need to go look at the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test yourself. Understand what it means. This is not to say the disease isn't real or that it's not bad. I know two folks who died due to catching it. It's just that if we had the same kind of testing in April as we have today, this recent increase in cases would be bouncing along the baseline rather than a spike.

Bucco 09-23-2020 06:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by coffeebean (Post 1837490)
Just had a thought.......Since this pandemic has gripped this nation.......Have the deaths from all other causes been tracked? Are there zero deaths from auto accidents, zero deaths from heart attacks, zero deaths from renal failure, zero deaths from strokes, etc, etc, etc. You get the idea.

Just a guess. Cause of death is not quite as simple as posters make it out.

I believe that those responsible have a handle on things as much as possible. As I understand it, there are 3 categories.....Direct deaths for which Covid 19 is the cause....Direct but-uncounted in which Covid19 was responsible but wasn't officially noted and Indirect deaths where the death happened because of other changes caused by the pandemic.

It may take a year before all this gets finalized and the number may go up or down.

Certainly, I nor any poster has a clue. Scientists know how to track this information and will.

Bucco 09-23-2020 06:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Malsua (Post 1837506)
Excess deaths are tracked.

Here is wwwDOTcdcDOTgov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths

There was quite a hump in the spring, a bit of a hump in July and now it's dropping down to nothing.

Every area has to go through their initial phase and then it's done in that area. It gets all the weak hosts and then it's done. This is not to say there aren't people it missed, but it seems to weed out the weakest and run out of hosts.

People talking about a spiking in cases but there are hundreds of thousands of tests taking place each day and the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test is not that great.
Even with 1% false positive, that's 2000 false positives per day. If there are 2000 actual positives, that means that 50% of the "cases" aren't real.

Before you attack the number, you need to go look at the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test yourself. Understand what it means. This is not to say the disease isn't real or that it's not bad. I know two folks who died due to catching it. It's just that if we had the same kind of testing in April as we have today, this recent increase in cases would be bouncing along the baseline rather than a spike.

Thanks for the info

golfing eagles 09-23-2020 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Malsua (Post 1837506)
Excess deaths are tracked.

Here is wwwDOTcdcDOTgov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths

There was quite a hump in the spring, a bit of a hump in July and now it's dropping down to nothing.

Every area has to go through their initial phase and then it's done in that area. It gets all the weak hosts and then it's done. This is not to say there aren't people it missed, but it seems to weed out the weakest and run out of hosts.

People talking about a spiking in cases but there are hundreds of thousands of tests taking place each day and the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test is not that great.
Even with 1% false positive, that's 2000 false positives per day. If there are 2000 actual positives, that means that 50% of the "cases" aren't real.

Before you attack the number, you need to go look at the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test yourself. Understand what it means. This is not to say the disease isn't real or that it's not bad. I know two folks who died due to catching it. It's just that if we had the same kind of testing in April as we have today, this recent increase in cases would be bouncing along the baseline rather than a spike.

Agree. And I'm willing to bet that both the false positive and false negative rates are significantly north of 1%, therefore markedly reducing the sensitivity and specificity of these tests

Velvet 09-23-2020 07:20 PM

It’s amazing to me that some people are trying to explain the deaths away. Does it make them feel better about Covid, like an ostrich if I don’t see it, it isn’t there?

Personally, I don’t pay attention to positivity rates and this and that where the reference data depends on the definitions. I watch trends. If the tests were not so sensitive last week, they are also not so sensitive this week etc. The trends catch the direction we are going. When I see the curve going up, no one’s going to convince me that it is in fact going down.

Dayeight99 09-23-2020 07:21 PM

Death rate is a clearer depiction. Not actual numbers. Think.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:29 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Search Engine Optimisation provided by DragonByte SEO v2.0.32 (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2025 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.