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Vaccine fails 5% of the time - please stay home
In talking to folks, they don’t seem to realize that the 95% efficacy rate of Covid vaccines means that the vaccine will not offer complete protection 5% of the time. If the vaccine fails in 5% of people who receive the vaccine and are later infected, that 5% still has a risk of mild symptoms.*
So even if we assume that everyone is vaccinated, 5 out of every 100 people are still going to be susceptible to Covid. The good news for everyone, inoculated or not is (and it’s the same good news we’ve had all along): 1. Not everyone who is out and about is going to get infected. Far from it. Covid has only infected a minority of the population. Yes there are millions of symptom-free infected people who don’t know they are/were infected, but when you tally the total of known and statistical infections, the majority of the population has not been infected, even after a year. 2. IF you are unvaccinated and get infected, you have an 80% chance of having no symptoms or a mild case with no long term effects. Repeat - 80%. That percentage is the aggregate and accounts for all age groups with or without comorbidities. And it means that if you are quite elderly AND have a compromised immune system, you’ll probably STILL be okay. This fact is all over the internet from reputable sources, but the media doesn’t publicize it. It also means, however, that you have a 20% chance of having symptoms, perhaps severe symptoms. That said, the vaccinated people are not 100% protected. They still have a 5% chance of having symptoms and I’m not sure they understand this. They do seem to understand, because Fauci said so, that they do still have a chance of being a carrier and passing it on to someone else if they get infected. So I ask: Most of us were VERY concerned when we had a 20% chance. Some were petrified. Why aren’t we still wringing our hands and clutching our pearls with a 5% chance? Is it because the vaccine seems to be 100% effective against hospitalization and death?* The only solution is people need to continue to stay home. No restaurants, no town squares, continue to have your goods delivered to your home. Keep them quarantined for a week and then sanitize them. Never touch your face with unwashed hands. No guests of any kind in your home. And if you do need to go out, wear two masks, stay 6 feet apart. And don’t shake hands with anyone. That’s how you stay safe. Me, I have not left my home in a year, and I will stay home until Covid disappears whether I get vaccinated or not. * Source: COVID-19 vaccines: What does 95% efficacy actually mean? | Live Science |
My understanding is that the 5% who caught Covid in the trials after vaccination, did not develop serious illness, were not hospitalized and none died. So even then there was a certain amount of protection.
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I'm guessing 75 posts on this thread..........................
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Sooooo, 5% chance you get sick, 95% chance "life is good", no brainer for me!
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Five percent of the people exposed will get it. So what are the chances of being exposed? Then take 5% of that. I feel good about my chances.
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. and ALL= bonified experts. In their own minds. . . |
You can stay home forever then. Who going to care?
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Please save us from the Nanny State.
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And also those who get all their news from the internet.
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It's your choice to stay home
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It might help to do the math on this. I won't, because a) it's too much math for me and b) I'm not concerned enough to try. But here's what you need to figure out:
1. Of all the people who DO get COVID, how many actually display symptoms? 2. Of all the people who get COVID and display symptoms, how many of them display serious symptoms requiring hospitalization and/or a morgue? Now - Of all people who get COVID, display symptoms, and need hospitalization and/or a morgue, how many of them were vaccinated? My guess is that of that 5% of all vaccinated people who get COVID anyway, less than 1% will have serious symptoms requiring hospitalization and/or a morgue. Now - of ALL people who have gotten a vaccine, how many people, the actual quantity, is represented by the 1% of the 5%? NOW - figure out if that 1% of the 5% is statistically significant. I'm guessing it won't be. |
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