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-   -   The Federal Deficit (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/villages-florida-non-villages-discussion-93/federal-deficit-299388/)

Love2Swim 10-26-2019 04:48 AM

The Federal Deficit
 
Is anyone concerned about the federal deficit? I was just reading that the deficit is growing in large part because tax receipts are falling. In other words, the 2017 tax cuts continue to siphon revenue from the treasury. The tax cuts are not paying for themselves as promised. Tax revenue for the last two years has fallen more than $400 billion short of what the CBO projected months before the tax law was passed. The deficit is now nearly $1 Trillion. Some experts are saying this level of debt is unprecedented in peacetime during a growing economy. The economy is supposedly "booming" yet the deficit is the highest since 2012 when the country was emerging from the Great Recession.

Kenswing 10-26-2019 05:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Love2Swim (Post 1691162)
Is anyone concerned about the federal deficit? I was just reading that the deficit is growing in large part because tax receipts are falling. In other words, the 2017 tax cuts continue to siphon revenue from the treasury. The tax cuts are not paying for themselves as promised. Tax revenue for the last two years has fallen more than $400 billion short of what the CBO projected months before the tax law was passed. The deficit is now nearly $1 Trillion. Some experts are saying this level of debt is unprecedented in peacetime during a growing economy. The economy is supposedly "booming" yet the deficit is the highest since 2012 when the country was emerging from the Great Recession.

I guess it depends on where you get your info from.. According to this article we have a spending problem.. Either way it's no good..
US deficit hits nearly $1 trillion. When will it matter?

For 2019, revenues grew 4%. But spending jumped at twice that rate, reflecting a deal that Trump reached with Congress in early 2018 to boost spending.

Love2Swim 10-26-2019 06:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kenswing (Post 1691163)
I guess it depends on where you get your info from.. According to this article we have a spending problem.. Either way it's no good..
US deficit hits nearly $1 trillion. When will it matter?

For 2019, revenues grew 4%. But spending jumped at twice that rate, reflecting a deal that Trump reached with Congress in early 2018 to boost spending.

The article you quoted also said "Most analysts think any real solution will involve a combination of higher taxes and cost savings in the government’s huge benefit programs of Social Security and Medicare."

I think it is abundantly clear, that the promises that the tax cuts would pay for themselves, were just plain wrong. And frankly, it really irks me that companies are getting these huge tax breaks, with no guarantee that they will reinvest in this country or move their business back to this country. Instead, as predicted, companies focused on buying back stocks and increasing dividends, which benefits shareholders, not workers.

retiredguy123 10-26-2019 06:25 AM

In my opinion, very few people are concerned about the federal deficit or the federal debt. It's simple math, if you spend more money than you receive in taxes, you will have a deficit. You can argue all you want about how much you should spend or how much you should tax, but until people become concerned about the deficit, it will never be eliminated.

Love2Swim 10-26-2019 06:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 1691171)
In my opinion, very few people are concerned about the federal deficit or the federal debt. It's simple math, if you spend more money than you receive in taxes, you will have a deficit. You can argue all you want about how much you should spend or how much you should tax, but until people become concerned about the deficit, it will never be eliminated.

I agree, it is not on a lot of people's radar. The last time I remember people making a big deal about it, was when Bill Clinton ran for president, promising to balance the budget. I tend to be a fiscal conservative, and I wish politicians, no matter which party they belong to, would start paying attention.

Bay Kid 10-26-2019 06:47 AM

I found the tax cuts helped give my family a little extra savings for all their hard work. A good start would be for the government stop paying people, with our hard earned money, not to work. Lots of ways to save money w/smaller government, not making working people to give more.

retiredguy123 10-26-2019 06:53 AM

I think that one thing that some people don't seem to understand is that almost all tax revenue comes from private businesses that make a profit. Our Government does not generate income. So, any taxing policy to raise revenue must take into account that it cannot prevent or impede private businesses from succeeding, or you will lose your income source.

rjm1cc 10-26-2019 07:21 AM

As long as we vote for the people that want to give us something so we vote for them we will have a problem.

Chi-Town 10-26-2019 07:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 1691171)
In my opinion, very few people are concerned about the federal deficit or the federal debt. It's simple math, if you spend more money than you receive in taxes, you will have a deficit. You can argue all you want about how much you should spend or how much you should tax, but until people become concerned about the deficit, it will never be eliminated.

People sure we're concerned 2008-2016.


Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk

villagerjack 10-26-2019 07:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Love2Swim (Post 1691169)
The article you quoted also said "Most analysts think any real solution will involve a combination of higher taxes and cost savings in the government’s huge benefit programs of Social Security and Medicare."

I think it is abundantly clear, that the promises that the tax cuts would pay for themselves, were just plain wrong. And frankly, it really irks me that companies are getting these huge tax breaks, with no guarantee that they will reinvest in this country or move their business back to this country. Instead, as predicted, companies focused on buying back stocks and increasing dividends, which benefits shareholders, not workers.

You assume workers are NOT SHAREHOLDERS? Don’t most workers have 401K or Union Pension etc? Also we now have the lowest unemployment rate in history ...that means MORE WORKERS so workers are benefitting in many different ways, Lastly, inflation is nowhere in sight so interest rates are much lower making the financing of the deficit a lot cheaper.

Love2Swim 10-26-2019 07:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 1691177)
I think that one thing that some people don't seem to understand is that almost all tax revenue comes from private businesses that make a profit. Our Government does not generate income. So, any taxing policy to raise revenue must take into account that it cannot prevent or impede private businesses from succeeding, or you will lose your income source.

But we have corporations that make billions in profits each year and pay zero tax. That isn't right either. Corporations should be made to pay their fair share.

billethkid 10-26-2019 07:30 AM

I guess if the illustrious gang in Washington is not concerned about over drawing the check book......what is there to be concerned about?
:pray:

Love2Swim 10-26-2019 07:34 AM

In answer to the reply about workers being shareholders, some workers yes, most, probably not.

dewilson58 10-26-2019 07:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Love2Swim (Post 1691192)
But we have corporations that make billions in profits each year and pay zero tax. That isn't right either. Corporations should be made to pay their fair share.




Corporate Income Taxes are just a pass-thru to consumers. A corporate tax rate change will only have short-term benefits/pain. Over the long run, corporations will adjust and pass it thru.





A vast majority of corporate tax breaks come from accelerated depreciation and R&D write-offs. These tax breaks are just timing events. If corporations don't continue to invest in capital and R&D, the timing benefit will reverse. Not to mention the economic benefits of their investments.

sajoe 10-26-2019 08:03 AM

People with pensions and 401k accounts among workers today is rare. The last time I saw the figures 52% of the population are receiving some type of federal aid with the balance paying tax. How long can the government (and how many states?) operate at a deficit? As long as people BELIEVE a dollar is worth a dollar.

Two Bills 10-26-2019 08:13 AM

Deficit? What Deficit?
It is called Advanced Accounting.
A system where you spend what you don't have, then borrow to pay it back!
Cant go wrong. Can it? :shrug:

Bucco 10-26-2019 08:22 AM

Does all this mean we will not be balancing the budget or reducing the deficit "rather easily" ? Go figure

dewilson58 10-26-2019 08:32 AM

Start Cutting
 
https://www.cbpp.org/archiveSite/4-14-08tax-f1.jpg

jebartle 10-26-2019 08:53 AM

:popcorn::popcorn::popcorn: waiting for the "p" word, only a matter of time!!!

dewilson58 10-26-2019 08:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jebartle (Post 1691222)
:popcorn::popcorn::popcorn: waiting for the "p" word, only a matter of time!!!




"Popcorn" ???

blueash 10-26-2019 10:21 AM

The last three times there was a balanced budget, and in fact the Fed gov't took in more than it spent were the last 3 years of Clinton's administration. Because of the success of his economic policies and that those policies had begun to reduce the Federal deficit, the next administration decided that taxes should be dramatically reduced, promising of course that tax cuts paid for themselves. The Heritage Foundation, an influential conservative think tank, predicted that the Bush tax cuts would eliminate the National Debt by 2010. Instead the National Debt doubled. The tax cuts were not the only factor but were a significant factor.

This failure of tax cuts to pay for themselves was a repeat of the failure of the tax cuts enacted in the early1980's to pay for themselves. The failure was recognized by the enactment of tax increases by Reagan in 82, 83, 84 and 87 and by HW Bush in 90 and finally by Clinton in 93. While tax policy is just a small part of the overall economic health of the country, it is a large part of the federal deficit and debt.

In 2017 the present administration passed another significant tax cut, promising it would stimulate the economy thus producing increased tax revenue and reduce the deficit.

Now whether we need to be worried about debt and deficit is controversial. Some would argue that in this period of very low interest rates, it would be an excellent time for the Federal gov't to borrow to invest in our infrastructure.. roads, bridges, etc. Better to borrow the money needed at a low rate as it certainly is going to be needed to be borrowed and the work done.
Some might instead say.. let us raise taxes and use that increase to repair our decayed infrastructure. Pay as we go. We need about 2 trillion dollars!

Viperguy 10-26-2019 10:26 AM

According to this chart, revenue actually went up the past two years but spending was way up. And they want to increase it! We really have a problem with FREEBES.
Federal Receipt and Outlay Summary | Tax Policy Center

blueash 10-26-2019 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cgilcreast (Post 1691253)
According to this chart, revenue actually went up the past two years but spending was way up. And they want to increase it! We really have a problem with FREEBES.
Federal Receipt and Outlay Summary | Tax Policy Center

Perhaps you could add more data to your post and tell me what FREEBES you believe create the increase in spending or the national debt? And I'd like to see specific numbers and specific programs you'd reduce or eliminate. Social security which most of us here receive is the largest cost to the Federal gov't, and next is Medicare, again which most of us get. We could get real savings by cutting those programs.

After all when we paid into Medicare there were very few of the life extending procedures and drugs which the program now is expected to pay. So the amount we paid in was totally inadequate to cover the benefit we are getting. We are getting a HUGE Freebe. Wait until there is an anti-Alzheimer drug approved. It is coming. And say it is 1000/mo and every senior wants it, every month, for the rest of their life. You didn't pay for that benefit. Do you deserve it or is it a FREEBE? Or that heart transplant from a new heart grown from your own stem cells at 500,000 dollars, to give you a few more years of life? Or is that a FREEBE?

So please come back and tell me what exactly you want to cut. Keep in mind that the Federal gov't spent 0.4 trillion on Welfare in 2018, and spent a greater percent of GDP in almost every year since 1970 than it did in 2018

Bucco 10-26-2019 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cgilcreast (Post 1691253)
According to this chart, revenue actually went up the past two years but spending was way up. And they want to increase it! We really have a problem with FREEBES.
Federal Receipt and Outlay Summary | Tax Policy Center

I see nothing in this link about "freebies" at all. I know the military spending has increased 150 Billion in the last few years.

Some who publicily were distressed about deficit spending to such a degree over the year have become silent on the subject.

Keep an eye on inflation. When that, if it does, begins to go up...then worry a lot about the deficit.

retiredguy123 10-26-2019 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blueash (Post 1691265)
Perhaps you could add more data to your post and tell me what FREEBES you believe create the increase in spending or the national debt? And I'd like to see specific numbers and specific programs you'd reduce or eliminate. Social security which most of us here receive is the largest cost to the Federal gov't, and next is Medicare, again which most of us get. We could get real savings by cutting those programs.

After all when we paid into Medicare there were very few of the life extending procedures and drugs which the program now is expected to pay. So the amount we paid in was totally inadequate to cover the benefit we are getting. We are getting a HUGE Freebe. Wait until there is an anti-Alzheimer drug approved. It is coming. And say it is 1000/mo and every senior wants it, every month, for the rest of their life. You didn't pay for that benefit. Do you deserve it or is it a FREEBE? Or that heart transplant from a new heart grown from your own stem cells at 500,000 dollars, to give you a few more years of life? Or is that a FREEBE?

So please come back and tell me what exactly you want to cut. Keep in mind that the Federal gov't spent 0.4 trillion on Welfare in 2018, and spent a greater percent of GDP in almost every year since 1970 than it did in 2018

Wow! There are so many that I couldn't list them all. Here are two. Cut the number of Federal employees and their salaries and benefits. Federal employees make so much more money for less work than other workers that it is embarrassing. And, cut out the risky student loans. So far, the student loan debt is 1.6 trillion dollars, and it doesn't appear that these loans will be paid back. But, the Government keeps shelling them out and colleges keep raising prices to spend that money. Totally unnecessary.

jebartle 10-26-2019 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dewilson58 (Post 1691227)
"Popcorn" ???

Giggle, snort!

JimJohnson 10-26-2019 12:34 PM

One sure fact is it has gotten worse in the last two years. We need to get back the way things were headed in the previous 8 years.

billethkid 10-26-2019 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JimJohnson (Post 1691291)
One sure fact is it has gotten worse in the last two years. We need to get back the way things were headed in the previous 8 years.

:shocked:

:icon_bored:

Nucky 10-26-2019 01:59 PM

OP'S Question: Is anyone concerned about the federal deficit?

Would being concerned change anything? If being concerned helps, then mark us down as concerned.

All the rest of the info is NOTHING but :blahblahblah: :blahblahblah:

Bucco 10-26-2019 02:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nucky (Post 1691310)
OP'S Question: Is anyone concerned about the federal deficit?

Would being concerned change anything? If being concerned helps, then mark us down as concerned.

All the rest of the info is NOTHING but :blahblahblah: :blahblahblah:

I believe that economic growth, or lack therof will be very important in the next year or so, thus being concerned and informed WILL change quite a bit perhaps, thus discussions on this subject are never fruitless.

Haven't read many economic theories that did not inform me, but then again, I really care a lot.....children and grandchildren are important.....they will live with whatever.

Ben Franklin 10-26-2019 02:36 PM

In 2018 social security had a $3 billion dollar surplus, after expenses. That's total revenue from people paying in to social security ($1.003 trillion) and out go that year. So where does the true spending exist?

Chi-Town 10-26-2019 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JimJohnson (Post 1691291)
One sure fact is it has gotten worse in the last two years. We need to get back the way things were headed in the previous 8 years.

They were slow but steady times. Very little drama compared to today.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

dewilson58 10-26-2019 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben Franklin (Post 1691320)
In 2018 social security had a $3 billion dollar surplus, after expenses. That's total revenue from people paying in to social security ($1.003 trillion) and out go that year. So where does the true spending exist?




Refer to Post #18.




:ohdear:

ColdNoMore 10-26-2019 05:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Love2Swim (Post 1691169)
The article you quoted also said "Most analysts think any real solution will involve a combination of higher taxes and cost savings in the government’s huge benefit programs of Social Security and Medicare."

I think it is abundantly clear, that the promises that the tax cuts would pay for themselves, were just plain wrong. And frankly, it really irks me that companies are getting these huge tax breaks, with no guarantee that they will reinvest in this country or move their business back to this country. Instead, as predicted, companies focused on buying back stocks and increasing dividends, which benefits shareholders, not workers.

:bigbow:...:bigbow:


But hey, at least I can now deduct expenses...for my private jet. :thumbup:

ColdNoMore 10-26-2019 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chi-Town (Post 1691190)
People sure we're concerned 2008-2016.


I wonder why? :1rotfl:

Interestingly, we have now spent MORE THAN DOUBLE on farmer bailouts, than on all of the loans made to automobile companies...during the Great Recession.

I would link it, but the link might be too political...so y'all can easily research it yourself.

The difference though?

The loans were mostly paid back. :oops:

And yet, I'll bet a high % who were adamantly against the auto loans and the hundreds of thousands of people it helped keep a job...have no problem with paying large corporate farms for self-inflicted wounds.
:ohdear:

ColdNoMore 10-26-2019 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by villagerjack (Post 1691191)
You assume workers are NOT SHAREHOLDERS? Don’t most workers have 401K or Union Pension etc? Also we now have the lowest unemployment rate in history ...that means MORE WORKERS so workers are benefitting in many different ways, Lastly, inflation is nowhere in sight so interest rates are much lower making the financing of the deficit a lot cheaper.

BARELY "most."

As in 52-54%.

Meaning, 46-48% of Americans...have NO stocks whatsoever.


Stocks of any kind (click here)
Quote:


A once-every-three-years study by the Federal Reserve Board found that in 2016, 51.9 percent of families owned stocks, either directly or as part of a fund.

And in 2017, Gallup found that 54 percent of respondents owned stocks either directly or as part of a fund.


Rollie 10-27-2019 04:34 AM

There were several candidates that ran in the last presidential election whose platform was reducing the federal deficit. They all lost. Nobody cares. What people care about, are give aways.

Rollie

Bay Kid 10-27-2019 07:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by retiredguy123 (Post 1691177)
I think that one thing that some people don't seem to understand is that almost all tax revenue comes from private businesses that make a profit. Our Government does not generate income. So, any taxing policy to raise revenue must take into account that it cannot prevent or impede private businesses from succeeding, or you will lose your income source.

When I had a small business we paid our more than fair share. There were a few years we did ok and at the end of the year we had to spend money for the company, or give it to the gov. Hard for any business to save any money to protect our company for the next year. Gov. is a big business that can only get more money to give away is to raise taxes on the working people.

Topspinmo 11-03-2019 10:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Love2Swim (Post 1691192)
But we have corporations that make billions in profits each year and pay zero tax. That isn't right either. Corporations should be made to pay their fair share.

And you know this? They pay taxes they don’t make billions without paying taxes.

Topspinmo 11-03-2019 10:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rollie (Post 1691405)
There were several candidates that ran in the last presidential election whose platform was reducing the federal deficit. They all lost. Nobody cares. What people care about, are give aways.

Rollie

Cause most knew it was a joke. Say anything to get elected.


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