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Inventory of preowned homes going up ?
I don’t have the data to say that preowned homes sales in the Villages have come to a slow down. However, there are now a lot more homes listed for sale on the Villages internet sales site. Has anyone else noticed this? A few homes that I have been tracking have also reduced their listing price. This situation is quite a change for just three months ago.
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I believe that's what's happening for two reasons. First, this time of year inventory typically increases and Second, intrest rates have gone up so there are less people looking for homes, especially overpriced homes.
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Reality is setting in, I think. |
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Same thing in MLS listings, asking prices are being marked down.
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Facts & Data would tell.
But what the hell, let's jus speculate.............it's more fun. :a040: |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcOPKM-WSAE Will be interesting to hear him talk again with current June sales data! Here is June 3rd update! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tSSKRTgaBuo |
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Maybe the newer reps want to sell new, it’s less work. But if you tell them preowned only, and they say no, they have a boss to complain to, and you can have a different rep in a heartbeat |
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In print. Average days on the market April 22, May 14 no info available for June yet. Inventory for sale April to May down 11%. Average price down less than 1%. These are MLS figures only and do not included The Villages new or used homes, they had the figures in the Daily Sun a week or so ago and I believe the new homes were averaging 10 per day in May which was near the April figures, I can't remember the re-sales but they were also close to the April figures. If you look at The Villages re-sales in the daily paper that have been on the market long enough to have it advertised you will notice that there are far more for sale north of 44 than south but there are a lot more homes north of 44. I don't think they're going down on price much, we just sold one of our properties here and our agent told us to list it for more than I was thinking and it sold for more than I was thinking about 2 weeks ago. It seems that the homes that are obviously over priced sit for awhile but those priced where they should be go very quickly. I have noticed that patio villas with full 2 car garages go almost immediately as do 4 bedroom designers with either 2 plus a golf car garage or a 3-car garage. Now with interest going up it might slow down somewhat.
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Have 6 in my village sitting for weeks with no price cuts. Trajectory is down
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The Good Houses sell and The Tax Assessor drools…..but of course the New Homes in “The Marsh” need a sales push
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I believe the opposite. Resales are overpriced. In a year new homes will cost less to build. Resales are full of capital maintenance costs people don’t factor in. I will buy new and get what I want
The economy is already collapsing. Just look at your stocks today |
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It is interesting New Homes are priced at like 485, 339. Whatever happened to prices ending in 990? Heck we've seen reduced by 20,000 so it is now 465,339. |
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We live in interesting times. Mortgage interest rates are finally returning to "normal", about 6% per annum - at least for now. Interest rates may in the near future go higher. This will soften residential real estate sales in most of the country both in price and number of units sold. That means that many potential frogs won't receive as high a price as they may have a month or two ago and it may take months instead of days to sell their homes. On top of that the financial markets are (finally) heading south which likely will affect the savings and retirement accounts of many people hoping to retire in the near future. What impact will this have on the prices and number of homes sold in The Villages? Will it be like 2007 - 2008?
"2008: 2,238 New Home Sales 2007: 2,403 New Home Sales Ah, 2007. Not exactly my best year, nor was it for The Villages. This year The Villages saw the largest drop in year-over-year sales, by selling 1,560 fewer homes than in 2006. December 2007 marks the “official” start of The Great Recession, but all you had to do to know that a recession was going on before then was to be selling real estate in Florida like I was. 2006: 3,963 New Home Sales 2005: 4,263 New Home Sales" From: The Villages New Home Sales: 2003-Present | Inside The Bubble |
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Then there is the buyer mood. I'm tired of looking. Bargain that works at least two ways. Would you know a bargain when you see it? One is beautifully furnished. The other you hate the carpet, the wall color and can't stand the furniture. When they remove the furniture you will see clearly the carpet is worn and you will surely need to or want to paint. The other meaning of bargaining. If, you go with a broker they will prevent you from talking to the seller. What is truly important to the seller? No pressure about when they need to be out-that can be a plus. A quick closing, can be a plus. Cash no need to worry about the buyer not getting a mortgage can be a plus. Our home-we came to the villages 3x before buying. I wanted used, wife wanted new. Of course we bought new. We have good neighbors a big plus. The villages sales people, they are not brokers. They seem to push new. Perhaps easier. No price negotiation, decorated models available to show most anytime-no setting up appointments with sellers. No risk of the builder attempting to beat them out of earned commission. |
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We think our problems are new, they have always been. I recall reading that Davey Crocket left Kentucky to go to Texas, he died at the Alamo, because it was getting too crowded in Kentucky. I looked it up. If I recall the population of Kentucky was around 4 million. It is 2022 the good old days are gone and past. I made good money in sales. I know I could not do it today. Did a lot of driving/ We are all aware of the cost of gasoline today. What was, was. We have no choice but to deal with what is whether it makes us happy or not. There are choices besides the villages. TEASING A LITTLE, our values are going up due to so many wanting to move here. It is growing in population perhaps like Kentucky getting crowded. Texas? The news says record heat. I've been there. Texas seems to have more pretty women per capita than any other state in the union. For now we are here. Moving? Last move was well over 200 boxes and I still regret leaving some of my STUFF behind. |
Village sales agent sell what they are told to by their managers. The exception is some of the older sales agents who are big producers.
In any case mortgages are going to get more and more expensive. |
I've been following the listings on Trulia for a few years. Especially between 466 and 466A, and inside, or in near proximity of the Odell-Bailey Trail loop. There are definitely more homes on the market listed in that broad area now than there ever were, from Spring of '21, through January or February of '22. And I'm seeing more price reductions. Some of the price reductions seemed to me to be from incredibly ridiculous down to very optimistic. It's hard to say for sure because I don't walk through the houses. Maybe there is something really special that just didn't come through in the listing. I doubt it. More likely to me is the idea that folks were hearing about crazy prices, and thought they might as well cash in. Maybe 6-8 months ago, but not now.
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Villages Real Estate agents are licensed real estate agents. But they are under exclusive contract with the Villages, and can't represent sellers of homes outside the Villages. But since they are the contracted agents, they have the exclusive rights to selling Villages-owned properties (meaning - have never been sold to anyone yet). Non-Villages Real Estate agents are not allowed to sell NEW homes in the Villages, but can represent homeowners to sell pre-owned homes in the Villages.
Since Villages agents have exclusive rights to never-owned property, it's in their best interest to focus their sales efforts on those homes. It's also in the Villages Developer's best interest, since they're the ones who profit from the sale. The Villages developers don't profit from sales of pre-owned homes, UNLESS it's one of their own agents selling the home. But their own agents have to compete with other agencies for those homes. Our "buyers' agent" was a Villages real estate agent. We had the lifestyle visit down across from Brownwood in the villas there. I was 100% NOT interested in looking for a new home anywhere near it, and was disappointed when they said we couldn't do a lifestyle visit in the Sumter Landing area (the cottages used to be lifestyle visit properties). We wanted to look anywhere from "near" Sumter Landing and points north of that. So the agent and we had to waste a lot of time travelling. Thankfully we found what we wanted online a year later in the "historic" section, and our agent was happy to help us navigate the sale. |
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If the high interest rates are here for a year or more, or, as they quite reasonably could do, increase over the next year or two, it has to have an effect in at least two ways, it seems to me. Retirees up north won't get as much for their homes as they sell them, and their budgets will be less as they shop down here.
I bought my home in TV with a 2.75% 30 year fixed rate mortgage. Current rates are about twice that, so the same purchase price would carry nearly twice the monthly payment. Ouch. |
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