MandoMan |
08-11-2025 05:44 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael G.
(Post 2452439)
Anyone notice when rain is predicted over/near the villages @ 70-80%,
it seems rain fronts approaching on radar, seem to "dry up" over the area
with no rain and plenty of thunder and lightning?
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I’m not a meteorologist, but in brief, there are storms that seem to emit showers of rain over a broad area, often with no thunder or lightning. Here in the summer, we tend to get thunderstorms from the southwest or southeast that may pass over many areas with no release of rain, then suddenly emit a downpour in one area for a few minutes or an hour. It is common here for one part of The Villages to get fierce rainfall while most parts do not. Other times, most of The Villages gets the storm, but some areas may get much more than others. It all depends on the storm. It’s just how storms work. At my house last week, my rain gauge measured a total of 5.5” of rain, but perhaps you got much less. In one storm, I got 1.5” in an hour, but there were heavy clouds much longer than that. A couple days later, we got 2.5” in an hour. The week before, we had a storm with strong south winds where the rain seemed to be nearly horizontal. My lanai was soaked nearly to my sliding doors. I eagerly went to the rain gauge later expecting several inches, but there was only a half inch. I decided that because my rain gauge is only two feet from my neighbor’s house, her house had blocked most of the driving rain.
I use the web site WeatherUnderground online for my weather reports. It tends to be much more accurate and less excitable than TV weather people, and it takes less time. It may say 20% 0.01”. That means 80% chance of no rain, and if it does rain, hardly any. But if it does rain, it will be 100% rain somewhere, not 20% rain. Probably not a lot of it, though. Perhaps the forecast is for 0.25” of rain, and I feel cheated when I don’t get any at my house and think the forecast was inaccurate. But the forecast was for The Villages, which is, what, about forty square miles now? If it rained in some other part of The Villages, I wouldn’t necessarily know.
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