I built a simple viral spread model for Massachusetts, 4 weeks ago, and the difference with and without social distancing is immense. The model also predicted the same time frame for max as the current thinking with social distance. The virus is very much an indoor urban disease, where close interactions and enclosed spaces induce the spread. The villages being very outdoorsy is contributing to the reduced spread. The virus is killed by ultraviolet light, by medical sources, and the outside world invaded for winter months just prior to widespread infections. So I actually believe the villages is an ideal location for avoiding the disease, with outside activity and social distancing. The only downside of the villages is the increased behavioral bias of attribution which comes with age.

sportsguy's opinion and beliefs.

According to the FDOH, 7 deaths in Sumter, 2 in Lake, and 2 in Marion, not all from inside the Villagers. I'm sure they'll be developer bashers that think there are more bodies in the Morse's garage.

Not so ! They are under the Morse bridge.:coolsmiley:

As of 6:30 last night (4/7) there were 87 cases in Sumter county.

Central Florida coronavirus cases county-by-county - Orlando Sentinel

A topic of conversation at the pool used to be how many cruises people had been on. Yet even though the Polo Grounds has been testing for several days now, there hasn't been a huge uptick in infections. There was a post yesterday citing a story from the Tampa Bay Times on how The Villages was going to be decimated because of the age of the populace. Nothing specific, just speculation based on information of susceptible population based on age. I guess we are better at this social distancing thing than other places; it also helps that we have fewer gathering places since the squares have been closed. And there are those who will continue to ignore recommendations that will help avoid infection. Well, like Ron White says, "You can't fix stupid."

We all hope that we have a low infection rate.. Does anyone think that 1K tests in Sumpter county is enough to make any judgement with the population of Sumpter? The biggest issue is still the availability of tests. The drive through testing is meant to go everyday but it has to shut down every week after 3 or 4 days of testing because they run out of tests. Every time testing is running the slots fill up in 2 hours.. So there are people with symptoms that just don't get tested until they have more tests. So our infection rate is most likely higher than it appears.. As the availability of tests increases the cases will increase also. Tampa drive through testing at Raymond James and also the Orlando drive through testing sites have also been limited in the people they can test.. All due to lack of tests.. There was a report on Orlando Fox station that they are setting up 3 new drive through testing sites (not here) with the hope of some of them doing 1k tests a day. One specifically in Melbourne. They will be using the new test that gives results in 15 min. Once we can test more people we will get a more realistic infection rate. The link below shows Florida cases and more. Just click on the testing tab and then the county and you can see how many were tested and results. This is updates twice daily.

Florida Official Results

The virus seems to spread quickly in areas where there are people living in high density and poverty. NYC, LA, China, Italy and Iran are among the worst.
Sure there are wealthy people in those places but a great number of those places have huge areas of squalor.

The Villages is an upscale environment not at all like the above mentioned.

Let's don't forget that NYC is a hive of scum and villainy.

Just a reminder the first case detected in US was Jan 20, on Feb 26, President Trump announced 15 cases and no deaths, that would go away magically. THAT WAS 37 DAYS IN THE US. On the other hand the tri county area of Lake/Sumter/Marion had 1st case March 16. Today, ONLY 23 DAYS LATER we have 271 cases with 9 deaths right here in TV and many more in tri county area. WOW, big difference. I would say we are spreading and FAST.

Are there statistics somewhere that keep track of COVID for just the people in The Villages?

We’re not overwhelmed with it because the whole thing has been overhyped. The models they used to predict the number of deaths were seriously flawed. In the end more people will die of the flu this year then will die of COVID-19. I’m not saying you shouldn’t take it serious but it’s not turning out to be what we were initially told. Everyone’s free to believe what they need to believe

Where did you get these numbers? I haven't heard that there have been 9 deaths in The Villages...please share your source.

Testing
 

How many people in the area have been tested? If not tested we cannot get an accurate number.

Let's do some numbers here.
Total population in Sumter County 120,999
Total tested 1,001
Lake County population 335,362
Total tested 2,191

The numbers tell the story.

Your post is terrible and should be taken down!!!!!
 

Your post is terrible and should be taken down!!!!!

Coronavirus facts
 

Read a report yesterday of counties infected which also brook it down into cities and towns. Wildwood had 5 deaths the villages had 17 there we’re many others. I can’t see most of my doctors in person as a lot are only do FaceTime appointments only. My primary doctors assistant told me they aren’t seeing patients at this time because they had 8 patients test positive for coronavirus and that’s why they are only doing FaceTime. I am sure the numbers are much higher than the villages want you to know even though they have taken precautions to protect us. Pretend you are safe and go about your business as usual, it’s like a casino, maybe you will be the odds maybe you won’t.

prisoner's dilemma
 

The more the virus is overhyped, the more lives will be saved, the more the virus is ignored, the more deaths will happen.

Managing large diverse populations with information alone is very difficult.

There are videos from china of welding doors to apartments shut, which culture would you prefer? forcibly restrained or by individual choice?

sportsguy