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jimjamuser 11-02-2022 07:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tuccillo (Post 2153399)
Breathing 100% oxygen is also not without issues. CO2 absorption by the oceans is not turning the oceans to an acid. The pH is dropping so the alkalinity is being reduced, which can be referred to as moving the oceans towards acidity. However, the oceans will not become an acid (a pH less than 7). Trying to draw an analogy of CO2 being a "blanket" is just as bad as calling CO2 a "greenhouse" gas. The physics of a "blanket" and the physics of a "greenhouse" are different than the physics of how CO2 impacts the atmosphere (approximately 1C from anthropogenic sources). We are, however, probably forever stuck with the term "greenhouse" gas.

I am sorry, but all my additional reading on the subject of CO2 has CONFIRMED my statements. 2 sources are Corning and RAC in England, among others.
.......Carbon Dioxide IS a greenhouse gas from automobile EXHAUST that is a MAJOR CONTRIBUTING FACTOR to Climate Change. Other greenhouse gases from car EXHAUST are NOx and Benzene........which is a CARCINOGENIC.
......"CO2 has the potential to TRAP energy from the sun and heat the surface of the earth" .........(that sounds like a blanket to me)

I have read MULTIPLE articles that state that CO2 has become excessive and the oceans are storing that excess CO2 as acid that is BLEACHING and killing coral reefs around the world.

fdpaq0580 11-02-2022 08:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153865)
So tell me, what is out of balance?

I'm sorry. You are on post 156 and the information you seek has been mentioned several times already. Since I am not your secretary, I suggest you re-read all posts to find what has already been made available to you, or simply read on.

sounding 11-02-2022 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2153945)
I am sorry, but all my additional reading on the subject of CO2 has CONFIRMED my statements. 2 sources are Corning and RAC in England, among others.
.......Carbon Dioxide IS a greenhouse gas from automobile EXHAUST that is a MAJOR CONTRIBUTING FACTOR to Climate Change. Other greenhouse gases from car EXHAUST are NOx and Benzene........which is a CARCINOGENIC.
......"CO2 has the potential to TRAP energy from the sun and heat the surface of the earth" .........(that sounds like a blanket to me)

I have read MULTIPLE articles that state that CO2 has become excessive and the oceans are storing that excess CO2 as acid that is BLEACHING and killing coral reefs around the world.

Many years ago many sources said witches caused the glaciers to grow during the Little Ice Age. Do you believe everything you read?

sounding 11-02-2022 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fdpaq0580 (Post 2153954)
I'm sorry. You are on post 156 and the information you seek has been mentioned several times already. Since I am not your secretary, I suggest you re-read all posts to find what has already been made available to you, or simply read on.

In other words you have no data to support your claim.

fdpaq0580 11-02-2022 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Byte1 (Post 2153876)
Nope, not quite true. Yes, there was warming, AND there was an Industrial Revolution, but if you look at the millenniums of cyclic climate changes, you will see that Earth was warmer and it cooled off and there was little or no humans to cause it. You are making assumptions. A man on the train died, so since there were people on the train, he MUST have been murdered. He couldn't have just died. Sure, he could have died, but someone has to prove it was not a natural occurrence in order to call it "man caused" death.
Sorry if some us do not put much stock in the U.N. As far as I am concerned they could disband and I doubt anyone would miss them.

Ah! Murder on the Orient Express. The man was murdered. The evidence is clear to anyone who cares to look. Multiple stab wounds, one of which, the last one, was fatal.
Like in that marvelous tale, there is evidence of man's influence on climate change for those who wish to look and understand what they are seeing.
And as for the U. N., I think most of the world would miss them. Kind of like disbanding the U. S. A.. It would be missed very badly, except by the Russians and China.

Taltarzac725 11-02-2022 09:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153955)
Many years ago many sources said witches caused the glaciers to grow during the Little Ice Age. Do you believe everything you read?

Doubt if any scientists believed that one. Clergy grasping at their confiscated property though.

fdpaq0580 11-02-2022 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153956)
In other words you have no data to support your claim.

"In other words"? What was wrong with my words? Didn't get your way, so you intentionally misrepresent me and insult me? That is pathetic, imho.
Read what has already been written if you really care. My information comes from qualified scientific sources. I don't know where you get yours. We seem to have some common info, but you don't seem to have it all. If I can find it, so can you, I am sure.

sounding 11-02-2022 09:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fdpaq0580 (Post 2153964)
"In other words"? What was wrong with my words? Didn't get your way, so you intentionally misrepresent me and insult me? That is pathetic, imho.
Read what has already been written if you really care. My information comes from qualified scientific sources. I don't know where you get yours. We seem to have some common info, but you don't seem to have it all. If I can find it, so can you, I am sure.

Who determines what "qualified" is? Anyone can claim to be an expert. I only trust valid data. If the data does not support the theory, then the theory is useless. Whenever I see a claim about climate, I look at the data. For example, Al Gore is not qualified because the data shows his forecasts failed.

jimjamuser 11-02-2022 10:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Byte1 (Post 2153876)
Nope, not quite true. Yes, there was warming, AND there was an Industrial Revolution, but if you look at the millenniums of cyclic climate changes, you will see that Earth was warmer and it cooled off and there was little or no humans to cause it. You are making assumptions. A man on the train died, so since there were people on the train, he MUST have been murdered. He couldn't have just died. Sure, he could have died, but someone has to prove it was not a natural occurrence in order to call it "man caused" death.
Sorry if some us do not put much stock in the U.N. As far as I am concerned they could disband and I doubt anyone would miss them.

I keep trying, but this is becoming difficult. Basically, the whole KNOWN WORLD of scientists and lay people with open minds believe in MAN MADE Global Warming. It is just Global Misinformation addicts that believe otherwise and actually, the likely start of the misinformation happened back in 1980 when the OIL Companies wanted to protect their stock investments by saying that Global Warming was just a HOAX. So, they got out their large MEGAPHONE and MONEY and created Climate Dis-information and lies. Today, the Russian bots use disinformation to try to confuse America about Global Warming and whatever subject they can conjure up to divide AMERICA. They even start things
like Reptilian Liberals are going around America drinking baby's BLOOD. That is NO JOKE, that is how far disinformation has gone in the US.
.........I am basically knocking myself out to try and beg people to open their minds toward the generally accepted Science of MAN CAUSED Global Warming.

And the UN is trying to help the US strengthen alliances against Russia, China, and North Korea - all of which, would turn the US into SMOKING ASH if they ever got the opportunity to do that.

jimjamuser 11-02-2022 10:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taltarzac725 (Post 2153917)
TV

A man was murdered and there was no place for anyone to get off the train. This is a better analogy and we all have to live with the murderer free. In this case, the train is earth and the murderer is Global Warming.

Good one!

jimjamuser 11-02-2022 10:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153968)
Who determines what "qualified" is? Anyone can claim to be an expert. I only trust valid data. If the data does not support the theory, then the theory is useless. Whenever I see a claim about climate, I look at the data. For example, Al Gore is not qualified because the data shows his forecasts failed.

Actually, his basic forecast has been proven TODAY. He was just AHEAD OF HIS TIME and OUTSPENT by the OIL LOBBY.

sounding 11-02-2022 10:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2153969)
I keep trying, but this is becoming difficult. Basically, the whole KNOWN WORLD of scientists and lay people with open minds believe in MAN MADE Global Warming. It is just Global Misinformation addicts that believe otherwise and actually, the likely start of the misinformation happened back in 1980 when the OIL Companies wanted to protect their stock investments by saying that Global Warming was just a HOAX. So, they got out their large MEGAPHONE and MONEY and created Climate Dis-information and lies. Today, the Russian bots use disinformation to try to confuse America about Global Warming and whatever subject they can conjure up to divide AMERICA. They even start things
like Reptilian Liberals are going around America drinking baby's BLOOD. That is NO JOKE, that is how far disinformation has gone in the US.
.........I am basically knocking myself out to try and beg people to open their minds toward the generally accepted Science of MAN CAUSED Global Warming.

And the UN is trying to help the US strengthen alliances against Russia, China, and North Korea - all of which, would turn the US into SMOKING ASH if they ever got the opportunity to do that.

Begging is not science, but data is -- and this data is very important ... If man caused global warming, and since global warming started when the Little Ice Age ended, then how did man end the Little Ice Age?

fdpaq0580 11-03-2022 08:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153968)
Who determines what "qualified" is? Anyone can claim to be an expert.

I'll bet you were that kid that drove your parents nuts by constantly responding with "Why" whenever you were told to do something. You are making me laugh. 😀

sounding 11-03-2022 08:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fdpaq0580 (Post 2154077)
I'll bet you were that kid that drove your parents nuts by constantly responding with "Why" whenever you were told to do something. You are making me laugh. 😀

Actually, my parents were impressed with my questions -- which is why the more I asked, the more they assisted ... with chemistry sets, biology kits, microscopes, geology kits, weather stations, library passes, and many books about science -- and I'm still asking questions -- for that's how you learn. By the way ... do you know how much "man-made" CO2 warmed the earth last year?

fdpaq0580 11-03-2022 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153972)
Begging is not science, but data is -- and this data is very important ... If man caused global warming, and since global warming started when the Little Ice Age ended, then how did man end the Little Ice Age?

Taking another's comment ot of context then reassembling.them to suit your attemp to discredit that person is, imo, pretty low. And he never said man ended the little ice age. That is your fabrication, again, to try and make someone with valid info look foolish. You twist others words. Just my humble opinion.

tuccillo 11-03-2022 09:05 AM

Wow, quite a rant ;-) You really need to go reread my post. A good portion of it was addressing the silliness of using "greenhouse" and "blanket" as analogies for the impact of CO2 on the atmosphere. They are not good analogies. I personally don't buy into the dumbing down of scientific explanations, which "greenhouse" and "blanket" are. Be that as it may, it is almost universally accepted, by those that understand the science, that there has been some anthropogenic warming. This is based on both data (traditional and proxy) and radiative transfer theory. There are numerous peer reviewed journal articles that address this. There is some debate on the magnitude. There is also some debate on the magnitude of future warming (next 100 years or so) from climate models and which CO2 scenario is appropriate for the future. I suspect, but certainly don't know, that the atmosphere is less sensitive to CO2 than the climate models are showing. Modeling of non-linear systems is complicated. Analyzing results from these non-linear models is complicated. Sufficient computing power to reduce model resolutions (1km in the horizontal would be helpful) to the point where the closure schemes for parameterizing sub-grid scale processes ceases to become a significant point of uncertainty, and bias, is probably a decade away. Trends are important but so is a lack of bias for analyzing possible tipping points. Will we continue to warm? Yes, from both anthropogenic sources and the fact that we are in an interglacial period that started about 12,000 years ago. What can we do about it? Probably not much. We will continue to use fossil fuels, in great amounts, for the foreseeable future. There is just no getting around that. If the most pessimistic modeling projections for anthropogenic warming come to fruition, we will probably see substantial political unrest over the next 100 years or so (the time frame that modeling is looking at) as regional climates are impacted.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2153945)
I am sorry, but all my additional reading on the subject of CO2 has CONFIRMED my statements. 2 sources are Corning and RAC in England, among others.
.......Carbon Dioxide IS a greenhouse gas from automobile EXHAUST that is a MAJOR CONTRIBUTING FACTOR to Climate Change. Other greenhouse gases from car EXHAUST are NOx and Benzene........which is a CARCINOGENIC.
......"CO2 has the potential to TRAP energy from the sun and heat the surface of the earth" .........(that sounds like a blanket to me)

I have read MULTIPLE articles that state that CO2 has become excessive and the oceans are storing that excess CO2 as acid that is BLEACHING and killing coral reefs around the world.


sounding 11-03-2022 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fdpaq0580 (Post 2154110)
Taking another's comment ot of context then reassembling.them to suit your attemp to discredit that person is, imo, pretty low. And he never said man ended the little ice age. That is your fabrication, again, to try and make someone with valid info look foolish. You twist others words. Just my humble opinion.

If man caused the start of global warming, then man caused the end of global cooling -- or is that not correct?

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153955)
Many years ago many sources said witches caused the glaciers to grow during the Little Ice Age. Do you believe everything you read?

"Do I believe what I read?" Let"s analyze that question. I tend to believe statements made by the U.N., the US Government Agencies, CNN, MSNBC, PBS, NBC, USA, and articles in the relevant Scientific journals. I tend to NOT believe
CONSPIRACY THEORIES of any origin especially if they are coming from DARK MEDIA and Russian and Chinese BOTS. It is easy to spot OBVIOUS disinformation that is designed to split and carve up various groups in the US.

Conspiracy theories work well in decrying Global Warming because the average America does NOT take the time to read and research things like CO2 pollution and dying coral reefs. Starting about 1980 the OIL LOBBY knew that they needed to use disinformation techniques against the Scientists because they had their large CASH COW of OIL profits to protect. And protect......they have......very successfully. Even today when we are on the brink of a US recession, the OIL companies are showing RECORD profits. They want to keep that a secret to rake in more PROFITS and keep saying HOAX while the environment suffers........arctic ice disappears, Antarctic ice melts into the sea, the coral reefs die, and the US and the world's fishing industry is decimated.

sounding 11-03-2022 09:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2154131)
"Do I believe what I read?" Let"s analyze that question. I tend to believe statements made by the U.N., the US Government Agencies, CNN, MSNBC, PBS, NBC, USA, and articles in the relevant Scientific journals. I tend to NOT believe
CONSPIRACY THEORIES of any origin especially if they are coming from DARK MEDIA and Russian and Chinese BOTS. It is easy to spot OBVIOUS disinformation that is designed to split and carve up various groups in the US.

Conspiracy theories work well in decrying Global Warming because the average America does NOT take the time to read and research things like CO2 pollution and dying coral reefs. Starting about 1980 the OIL LOBBY knew that they needed to use disinformation techniques against the Scientists because they had their large CASH COW of OIL profits to protect. And protect......they have......very successfully. Even today when we are on the brink of a US recession, the OIL companies are showing RECORD profits. They want to keep that a secret to rake in more PROFITS and keep saying HOAX while the environment suffers........arctic ice disappears, Antarctic ice melts into the sea, the coral reefs die, and the US and the world's fishing industry is decimated.

Ok, you started off by naming the UN. They are not a reliable source of information -- here is just one example ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J_IlgwmCkFE Tell me one UN climate forecast that has come true.

Vermilion Villager 11-03-2022 10:09 AM

OK....It took awhile but was able to track this down.
In 2017 the Department of Interior, under direction of Ryan Zinke ordered the NPS to remove signs at Glacier National Park that had anything to do with melting of glaciers and climate change. Without getting political it doesn't take much of a search to see who's administration Mr. Zinke served under.. There were some signs in the park that said glaciers in glacier national Park could be gone as early as the year 2020. This is actually a true statement. Several of the 26 named glaciers are at a level that does not qualify them as glaciers anymore, and all 26 glaciers have seen a minimum of 40% and as high as 80% erosion in the last 50 years. This fact has absolutely nothing to do with the decision to remove the signs.
So move forward to the OP. A prior administration removes signs for political reasons, and those signs' removal leads the OP to conclude that the science is all wrong because the signs were removed...when in fact they were removed for political reasons. Everyone to get it now?. :ho:

sounding 11-03-2022 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vermilion Villager (Post 2154146)
OK....It took awhile but was able to track this down.
In 2017 the Department of Interior, under direction of Ryan Zinke ordered the NPS to remove signs at Glacier National Park that had anything to do with melting of glaciers and climate change. Without getting political it doesn't take much of a search to see who's administration Mr. Zinke served under.. There were some signs in the park that said glaciers in glacier national Park could be gone as early as the year 2020. This is actually a true statement. Several of the 26 named glaciers are at a level that does not qualify them as glaciers anymore, and all 26 glaciers have seen a minimum of 40% and as high as 80% erosion in the last 50 years. This fact has absolutely nothing to do with the decision to remove the signs.
So move forward to the OP. A prior administration removes signs for political reasons, and those signs' removal leads the OP to conclude that the science is all wrong because the signs were removed...when in fact they were removed for political reasons. Everyone to get it now?. :ho:

Why was the last update in 2015 ... USGS glacier inventory data | U.S. Geological Survey

Byte1 11-03-2022 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taltarzac725 (Post 2153917)
TV

A man was murdered and there was no place for anyone to get off the train. This is a better analogy and we all have to live with the murderer free. In this case, the train is earth and the murderer is Global Warming.

Okay.....??? Not sure how that relates, but I guess that might be an assumption on your part. You are assuming that the man was murdered and did not die naturally. That is the same with Climate Change (or Global Warming as you wish to change the terms). I used my analogy (perhaps not the greatest) to suggest that just because man exists and just because the climate changes, does not necessarily mean that man changed the climate. Just because there a people on the train and a person dies, does not mean he was murdered.

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2153972)
Begging is not science, but data is -- and this data is very important ... If man caused global warming, and since global warming started when the Little Ice Age ended, then how did man end the Little Ice Age?

That is some seriously CONVOLUTED logic! The time SCALE of ICE AGES and natural warming periods involving hundreds of thousands of years has NOTHING, absolutely NOTHING to do with the time scale that we are living in. The ICE age references are just a DISTRACTOR like people sometimes use in debates to confuse the main issue. In the case that we are talking about the time scale is from the Industrial Revolution to today when the WORLD POPULATION has increased rapidly and MAN has CAUSED the earth to heat up AKA Global Warming.

I for one, don't intend to be distracted or impressed by references to ICE AGES. In fact, I would put that down as purposeful disinformation designed to muddy the issue and prevent social awareness and change toward a cleaner environment as free as possible from earth poisoning GREENHOUSE GASES!

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2154133)
Ok, you started off by naming the UN. They are not a reliable source of information -- here is just one example ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J_IlgwmCkFE Tell me one UN climate forecast that has come true.

Just pick some detail and PECK AWAY at ALL the logic of my argument found in my post. That just CONFIRMS my overall LOGIC and reasoning! Thanks.

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2154087)
Actually, my parents were impressed with my questions -- which is why the more I asked, the more they assisted ... with chemistry sets, biology kits, microscopes, geology kits, weather stations, library passes, and many books about science -- and I'm still asking questions -- for that's how you learn. By the way ... do you know how much "man-made" CO2 warmed the earth last year?

I answered that question in a previous post.

Byte1 11-03-2022 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2153969)
I keep trying, but this is becoming difficult. Basically, the whole KNOWN WORLD of scientists and lay people with open minds believe in MAN MADE Global Warming. It is just Global Misinformation addicts that believe otherwise and actually, the likely start of the misinformation happened back in 1980 when the OIL Companies wanted to protect their stock investments by saying that Global Warming was just a HOAX. So, they got out their large MEGAPHONE and MONEY and created Climate Dis-information and lies. Today, the Russian bots use disinformation to try to confuse America about Global Warming and whatever subject they can conjure up to divide AMERICA. They even start things
like Reptilian Liberals are going around America drinking baby's BLOOD. That is NO JOKE, that is how far disinformation has gone in the US.
.........I am basically knocking myself out to try and beg people to open their minds toward the generally accepted Science of MAN CAUSED Global Warming.

And the UN is trying to help the US strengthen alliances against Russia, China, and North Korea - all of which, would turn the US into SMOKING ASH if they ever got the opportunity to do that.

So, in order to be considered by you to have an "OPEN MIND" we have to agree with you? You have not presented adequate data. You have only theory of your so-called "experts/scientists" and incomplete data to make your supposition. I have not argued about air pollution, just the statement that man has caused the climate to change. Like I said, you have not proven your point. I am still waiting. Your using insults by accusing certain stories of accusations that someone is suggesting that certain people are "drinking children's blood." I have "opened" my mind to valid evidence, not some supposed "expert's" opinion or theory. I know that evidence supports the fact that the Earth was once tropical, then the ICE age and glaciers moved and created major earth formations in our country (and elsewhere) and then it warmed up again. I believe we had a "dust bowl" in our country and I also believe we have had a pollution problem in the world, which many folks are attempting to improve upon. Sorry, but someone being adamant about their opinion which is so easily swayed by elitist expert theories/opinions, with the absence of plausible evidence/data, does not easily change my view.
By the way, I DO believe that the Industrial Revolution period did cause a great influx of air pollution. That's a curse of progress, just as cleaning up air pollution by new and innovative means is also due to man's progress. Perhaps you would like to make the supposition that the higher the world's population, the higher the air pollution?

Bill14564 11-03-2022 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2154148)
Why was the last update in 2015 ... USGS glacier inventory data | U.S. Geological Survey

You put a lot of weight on the observation that the last update was in 2015. Where did that number come from? Where is the data for pre-2015?

I suspect the answer to your question could be: The last update was in 2015 because the data was generated for a paper that was published in 2017. No newer papers, no newer data generation. No conspiracy at all, just the last time someone spent the time to do the work.

Perhaps instead of working so hard to identify conspiracies you could spend some time developing a 2021 data set to compare with the 1966, 1998, 2005, and 2015 data sets.

Vermilion Villager 11-03-2022 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2154148)
Why was the last update in 2015 ... USGS glacier inventory data | U.S. Geological Survey

Simple....The data always is 1 year behind. So 2016 data would've been posted in 2017. Again....do a search of what administration was in power in 2017 to answer why there was no 2016 report. :mademyday:

sounding 11-03-2022 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vermilion Villager (Post 2154162)
Simple....The data always is 1 year behind. So 2016 data would've been posted in 2017. Again....do a search of what administration was in power in 2017 to answer why there was no 2016 report. :mademyday:

Why has the government stopped reporting glacier status for the last 7 years, while the earth is a 7-year (soon to be 8-year) cooling trend?

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tuccillo (Post 2154114)
Wow, quite a rant ;-) You really need to go reread my post. A good portion of it was addressing the silliness of using "greenhouse" and "blanket" as analogies for the impact of CO2 on the atmosphere. They are not good analogies. I personally don't buy into the dumbing down of scientific explanations, which "greenhouse" and "blanket" are. Be that as it may, it is almost universally accepted, by those that understand the science, that there has been some anthropogenic warming. This is based on both data (traditional and proxy) and radiative transfer theory. There are numerous peer reviewed journal articles that address this. There is some debate on the magnitude. There is also some debate on the magnitude of future warming (next 100 years or so) from climate models and which CO2 scenario is appropriate for the future. I suspect, but certainly don't know, that the atmosphere is less sensitive to CO2 than the climate models are showing. Modeling of non-linear systems is complicated. Analyzing results from these non-linear models is complicated. Sufficient computing power to reduce model resolutions (1km in the horizontal would be helpful) to the point where the closure schemes for parameterizing sub-grid scale processes ceases to become a significant point of uncertainty, and bias, is probably a decade away. Trends are important but so is a lack of bias for analyzing possible tipping points. Will we continue to warm? Yes, from both anthropogenic sources and the fact that we are in an interglacial period that started about 12,000 years ago. What can we do about it? Probably not much. We will continue to use fossil fuels, in great amounts, for the foreseeable future. There is just no getting around that. If the most pessimistic modeling projections for anthropogenic warming come to fruition, we will probably see substantial political unrest over the next 100 years or so (the time frame that modeling is looking at) as regional climates are impacted.

That WAS a very IMPRESSIVE post. Thank you, keep up the good, intelligent work. It is obvious, to me, that you know this subject well and are able to produce impressive vocabulary and logic on the subject.
.........I believe that we actually AGREE more than we DISAGREE.

I will concede that you are the expert in THIS field and I am but a LAYMAN

sounding 11-03-2022 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2154154)
Just pick some detail and PECK AWAY at ALL the logic of my argument found in my post. That just CONFIRMS my overall LOGIC and reasoning! Thanks.

I'm not looking for logic. I'm looking for data because data defines science. A good piece of data regarding climate forecasts is finding a source that actually produces verified forecasts. So in order to have faith in a source, it's best to know if that source produces verifiable forecasts -- unless that source is not reliable. Can you identify just one UN forecast that verified?

Vermilion Villager 11-03-2022 11:25 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2154164)
Why has the government stopped reporting glacier status for the last 7 years, while the earth is a 7-year (soon to be 8-year) cooling trend?

That statement is the ultimate in FAKE NEWS!!!:1rotfl:
Here's a post from the NWS in Minneapolis: Attachment 95672
One would think a member of the "Weather Club" would be following things like this.

tuccillo 11-03-2022 11:31 AM

I am not actually doing any work, except working on my golf game. I am a retired research meteorologist. I developed atmospheric computer models for NASA and the National Weather Service. While my focus was on short term simulations, the same N-S equations are used for climate models as well as similar treatments of diabatic processes. While I didn't work directly on climate and climate simulations, I do understand the science to some degree and know people who do work on climate. There is a lot that we don't understand.

Those who actually understand the science will generally fall into 3 categories. Those who agree that there has been some anthropogenic warming but believe that the climate is relatively insensitive to increases in CO2 and there will be minimal impact. Those who agree that there has been some anthropogenic warming and we will continue to warm but believe it is not an existential threat and we will adapt. Those who agree that there has been some anthropogenic warming and future warming will pose an existential threat. I am in the middle group because of what I interpret as uncertainty in the computer models and the questionable reliance on the 8.5 scenario.

I hope you realize that the opinion of anyone who is not directly working on the problem is essentially worthless. Nobody who makes decisions cares. While you can attempt to adopt some practices that will reduce your own creation of CO2, you will not have any impact. You can vote for a political party that believes we don't have an issue or a political party that believes there is an existential threat but in reality your one vote is essentially meaningless. Unless you have solar panels on your roof, drive an electric car, avoid airlines, avoid the purchases of products made overseas that must be transported long distance via diesel engines, etc. then you can be accused of being a hypocrite. Solar panels and electric cars are not without a substantial initial CO2 footprint but may become carbon friendly if used long enough. You can try to influence other people's opinion but you have no credibility since you don't work in the field and your audience will primarily be people who already think the same way. In many regards, the political decision as to whether we have an issue has already been decided.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2154165)
That WAS a very IMPRESSIVE post. Thank you, keep up the good, intelligent work. It is obvious, to me, that you know this subject well and are able to produce impressive vocabulary and logic on the subject.
.........I believe that we actually AGREE more than we DISAGREE.

I will concede that you are the expert in THIS field and I am but a LAYMAN


sounding 11-03-2022 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vermilion Villager (Post 2154169)
That statement is the ultimate in FAKE NEWS!!!:1rotfl:
Here's a post from the NWS in Minneapolis: Attachment 95672
One would think a member of the "Weather Club" would be following things like this.

1. That didn't answer the glacier question.
2. That Minneapolis information is cherry picking. Just plot the NOAA "global" temperature data and/or the Satellite "global" temperature for the last 7 years -- then draw a trend line. This is frequently presented in the Weather Club.

Vermilion Villager 11-03-2022 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2154174)
1. That didn't answer the glacier question.
2. That Minneapolis information is cherry picking. Just plot the NOAA "global" temperature data and/or the Satellite "global" temperature for the last 7 years -- then draw a trend line. This is frequently presented in the Weather Club.

10 years of data is not cherry picking. If using your theory that the world is actually cooling then surely you must agree that during a 10 year period It is highly improbable that a city in the northern part of the northern hemisphere does not have one record low temperature in a 10 year period… But does have 14 record high temperatures. Your glacier question demands affirmation of your statement. Sorry....the world is not cooling just because you say it is. I seen people like you before… You try to portray yourself as the educated scientist simply stating facts that the rest of us are too unintelligent to understand. Anyone disputing your statements is immediately branded as someone who doesn't understand the facts. When does this weather club meet? There are several of us that like to attend your next meeting. That should be wild!

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2154165)
That WAS a very IMPRESSIVE post. Thank you, keep up the good, intelligent work. It is obvious, to me, that you know this subject well and are able to produce impressive vocabulary and logic on the subject.
.........I believe that we actually AGREE more than we DISAGREE.

I will concede that you are the expert in THIS field and I am but a LAYMAN

I use the term "blanket" because within my layman's understanding of climate factors........ "blanket" is EASY for me to understand. I concede that it is a "dumbing down of scientific explanations". But, it is useful for me. I can't take the time to dive deeper into further "mysteries of the stratosphere."
........I further concede that I have only a layman's understanding of Climate "tipping point". I wish that I knew more.
.........From my reading, I have concluded that CO2 is not a pollutant when the earth is in NORMAL balance. I believe that it becomes a pollutant (in the ocean killing coral) when it becomes EXCESSIVE compared to normal and can NOT BE absorbed NORMALLY by the earth's trees (Brazilian rainforest destruction) and the OCEANS.
...........I believe that I correctly quoted a Corning Scientist that, "CO2 has the potential to TRAP energy from the sun and heat the surface of the earth".
..........I agree with you that, "we will see SUBSTANTIAL political unrest" and I believe that the US is already seeing illegal CLIMATE migration from South America. The investment analyst known as DR Doom for his unconventional honesty stated that US people should avoid retiring to Florida and Texas due to the increasing HEAT that they will experience that is happening RIGHT NOW. Of course, they won't either hear or take that advice. There are giant areas of Africa that are predicted to become uninhabitable in 30 years.....starting northward migration.
........I believe in the things that I write and I wish I had more than a layman's background to raise the ante in these climate discussions. But, I must keep on keeping on and muddle through it.

tuccillo 11-03-2022 12:15 PM

OK, a teaching moment. Basically, heat is transferred by convection, conduction, and radiation. A blanket traps heat by reducing convective and conductive losses. A greenhouse stays warm by reducing the convective loss of the heat gained from solar radiation. CO2 in the atmosphere reduces the net longwave radiative loss to space. There can also be positive feedbacks such as a warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor and therefore have more clouds which will further reduce longwave radiative losses to space but also can reduce incoming shortwave radiation. It gets complicated and, yes, there are lots of equations and we write lots of code to solve those equations. However, the equations are based on first principals, laboratory work, and field studies to collect data.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimjamuser (Post 2154178)
I use the term "blanket" because within my layman's understanding of climate factors........ "blanket" is EASY for me to understand. I concede that it is a "dumbing down of scientific explanations". But, it is useful for me. I can't take the time to dive deeper into further "mysteries of the stratosphere."
........I further concede that I have only a layman's understanding of Climate "tipping point". I wish that I knew more.
.........From my reading, I have concluded that CO2 is not a pollutant when the earth is in NORMAL balance. I believe that it becomes a pollutant (in the ocean killing coral) when it becomes EXCESSIVE compared to normal and can NOT BE absorbed NORMALLY by the earth's trees (Brazilian rainforest destruction) and the OCEANS.
...........I believe that I correctly quoted a Corning Scientist that, "CO2 has the potential to TRAP energy from the sun and heat the surface of the earth".
..........I agree with you that, "we will see SUBSTANTIAL political unrest" and I believe that the US is already seeing illegal CLIMATE migration from South America. The investment analyst known as DR Doom for his unconventional honesty stated that US people should avoid retiring to Florida and Texas due to the increasing HEAT that they will experience that is happening RIGHT NOW. Of course, they won't either hear or take that advice. There are giant areas of Africa that are predicted to become uninhabitable in 30 years.....starting northward migration.
........I believe in the things that I write and I wish I had more than a layman's background to raise the ante in these climate discussions. But, I must keep on keeping on and muddle through it.


jimjamuser 11-03-2022 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Byte1 (Post 2154159)
So, in order to be considered by you to have an "OPEN MIND" we have to agree with you? You have not presented adequate data. You have only theory of your so-called "experts/scientists" and incomplete data to make your supposition. I have not argued about air pollution, just the statement that man has caused the climate to change. Like I said, you have not proven your point. I am still waiting. Your using insults by accusing certain stories of accusations that someone is suggesting that certain people are "drinking children's blood." I have "opened" my mind to valid evidence, not some supposed "expert's" opinion or theory. I know that evidence supports the fact that the Earth was once tropical, then the ICE age and glaciers moved and created major earth formations in our country (and elsewhere) and then it warmed up again. I believe we had a "dust bowl" in our country and I also believe we have had a pollution problem in the world, which many folks are attempting to improve upon. Sorry, but someone being adamant about their opinion which is so easily swayed by elitist expert theories/opinions, with the absence of plausible evidence/data, does not easily change my view.
By the way, I DO believe that the Industrial Revolution period did cause a great influx of air pollution. That's a curse of progress, just as cleaning up air pollution by new and innovative means is also due to man's progress. Perhaps you would like to make the supposition that the higher the world's population, the higher the air pollution?

Yes, the higher the world's population (we may have passed that TIPPING POINT) the greater the pollution. Also, not much to brag about IF we say that the US has improved its air quality since the Industrial Revolution............because we just outsourced the bad air to China, which has used the money to build a fleet (really a flotilla) of fishing and canning GIANT vessels that plunder the oceans of fish and dolphins and coral.
..........In 1900 til today the US was busy producing Green House gas. Now we outsource to China and other countries what is, by proxy, our US Green House upper atmosphere pollutants.......AKA.....a blanket.
..........one old famous philosopher once said, "wars and pestilence keep the human population under control" IMO today population IS out of control so I suspect that we will be seeing MORE Pandemics and wars.

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vermilion Villager (Post 2154162)
Simple....The data always is 1 year behind. So 2016 data would've been posted in 2017. Again....do a search of what administration was in power in 2017 to answer why there was no 2016 report. :mademyday:

Touche !!!!!!!!!!

jimjamuser 11-03-2022 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sounding (Post 2154167)
I'm not looking for logic. I'm looking for data because data defines science. A good piece of data regarding climate forecasts is finding a source that actually produces verified forecasts. So in order to have faith in a source, it's best to know if that source produces verifiable forecasts -- unless that source is not reliable. Can you identify just one UN forecast that verified?

Got to love that Socratic Method, so cutesy.


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