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-   -   Defense for anti-vaxxers hindering herd immunity? (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/current-events-news-541/defense-anti-vaxxers-hindering-herd-immunity-318958/)

Swoop 04-25-2021 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill14564 (Post 1935192)
That is false, I've pointed out in another thread it was false, I've provided the CDC links showing it was false, and yet you still make the assertion.

The CDC does not agree with your theory of where the 600,000 number comes from.

Here is the link to the CDC’s website: Provisional Mortality Data — United States, 2020 | MMWR
It states that: “CDC’s National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) collects and reports annual mortality statistics using data from U.S. death certificates. Because of the time needed to investigate certain causes of death and to process and review data, final annual mortality data for a given year are typically released 11 months after the end of the calendar year.”

The CDC refers to the 2020 mortality rates as provisional. All you have to do is read...
And comprehend...

LiverpoolWalrus 04-25-2021 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PNaughton (Post 1935195)
If we get vaxxed and still can get it what's the point of getting vaccinated.

There are two sides to this. I say "what's the point of getting vaccinated if infected people have a 80-90% chance of having nothing more than mild symptoms" (source is listed in my previous post about this, but it's pretty common knowledge.) And if you're vaccinated and get infected, you have a 95% chance of having nothing more than mild symptoms. I'm not sure an unapproved vaccine is worth only about a 5% upgrade in one's chances of an uneventful outcome.

On the other hand, by all accounts, the vaccine will assure you of a 0% chance of hospitalization or death. So that's a considerable argument in favor of the vaccine.

LiverpoolWalrus 04-25-2021 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aces4 (Post 1935196)
Thank you for this clear, concise post which highlights all the issues with this new discrimination. Your assessment of the medical issues you’ve witnessed meshes completely with facts shared with me by medical professionals. I hope you remain well and safe in your occupation and life.:)

Then how on earth, and why, were we all led to believe the sky is falling? If Covid is nowhere near as dangerous as we've been led to believe, and we let our economy collapse and kept kids out of school anyway, how did the world let this misinformation propagate? Scratching my head and wondering WTF is going on.

Northwoods 04-25-2021 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Becca9800 (Post 1935191)
Someone asked if the others had spoke w any healthcare workers. I'm a 34-year registered nurse, certified nurse paralegal, and 22-year health care risk manager. I can tell you, the medical professional populace is equally divided on whether or not they will get the C19 vaccine(s). These are equally educated (at minimum, w the basic education required for licensure/certification) professionals. Because you don't agree with their decision should not allow you to consider either side ignorant. Instead, you must recognize that not all these educated, responsible people think alike. You trust them with your lives, but think you know what's best for them personally?

I can tell you that in my 300 bed acute care hospital, every one of the COVID + patients requiring a ventilator had one or more UNCONTROLLED underlying conditions, not one was a healthy adult, w or wo a controlled underlying condition, regardless of their age. My peers, while equally divided, have good rationale for getting or not getting the vaccine. I have researched the issue and I have elected to not get a vaccine despite being high risk (breast CA, fully-controlled insulin-dependent diabetes and coronary artery disease). I have my reasons and they are solid. My husband will take the vaccine. He respects my decision and I respect his.

And yes, our civil liberties are threatened, regardless of what you personally believe, or want to call it. Airlines, concert ticket sellers, cruise lines, football venues etc have already announced they are looking into adopting policy for their vaccinated v non-vaccinated patrons. I will eventually be forced to drive 1100 miles 2x/year when the airline won't sell me a ticket bc I'm not vaccinated. It's coming. Not a conspiracy theory, the bootleggers are already selling fake c19 vaccine cards.

Excellent comment. First let me say, I have had both doses. But - I totally respect everyone’s right to decide if they want to be vaccinated. These vaccines are about a year old and are being distributed for emergency use only. We don’t know the long term effects of these vaccinations. We just don’t know.
Could it have an impact on birth defects? Issues that surface in 5 or 10 years? We just don’t know.
I’m over 65 and have many elderly friends. That is why I got it. If I was 25 and planned to have children... I might make a different choice. If I was under 40 and already had COVID... I might make a different choice.
I respect everyone’s choice.

LiverpoolWalrus 04-25-2021 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bucco (Post 1935282)
That’s really creative on your part....after 4 years of openly admitting to that exact tactic, and witnessing still in senate.

Neither party, neither liberal or conservative, as a rule does what you accuse. Only exception is negotiating and discussing bills before votes, which we stopped doing in the senate a number of years ago.

Accusations of a general nature toward either party means you know nothing and thus just hurl general insults.

You are taking gaslighting to a new level.

Earlier you said you're not a wordsmith. I've been reading your posts on this thread and you're proving yourself wrong as you've shown yourself to be quite eloquent. I was going to respond to this comment, but you did so much better than I could!

I just wish you and Aces would play nice.

Swoop 04-25-2021 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LiverpoolWalrus (Post 1935297)
There are two sides to this. I say "what's the point of getting vaccinated if infected people have a 80-90% chance of having nothing more than mild symptoms" (source is listed in my previous post about this, but it's pretty common knowledge.) And if you're vaccinated and get infected, you have a 95% chance of having nothing more than mild symptoms. I'm not sure an unapproved vaccine is worth only about a 5% upgrade in one's chances of an uneventful outcome.

On the other hand, by all accounts, the vaccine will assure you of a 0% chance of hospitalization or death. So that's a considerable argument in favor of the vaccine.

The rate of Covid hospitalization for someone my age is 266.3 per 100,000 or less than 3/10’s of 1%. Of those hospitalized, 87% were obese or overweight. I am neither. That improves my odds of not being hospitalized to less than 4/100’s of 1%. That doesn’t even take into account the fact that the average hospitalized Covid patient had 2.6 preexisting conditions.
Again I have none of the most common ones according to the CDC. So if I get the virus, the chances of me being hospitalized are almost statistically zero. And before you tell me about Covid long haulers, according to the CDC, they are almost exclusively from the high risk group. So I have opted not to take a vaccine with a new delivery system that no one knows with certainty if there will be any long term issues.

Northwoods 04-25-2021 08:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LiverpoolWalrus (Post 1935300)
Then how on earth, and why, were we all led to believe the sky is falling? If Covid is nowhere near as dangerous as we've been led to believe, and we let our economy collapse and kept kids out of school anyway, how did the world let this misinformation propagate? Scratching my head and wondering WTF is going on.

CA, which had a long extreme lockdown, has had 8900 COVID cases per 100,000 people. FL, which locked down initially but then opened up, has had 8700 cases per 100,000 cases.
So you ask a good question. I know the Charter School has been open and has done in-person learning all year. Restaurants in FL have been open for in-person dining for months. Yet our per capita rate is lower than CA.
I’m glad I live in FL. Please don’t turn FL into CA.

Bill14564 04-25-2021 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1935291)
Here is the link to the CDC’s website: Provisional Mortality Data — United States, 2020 | MMWR
It states that: “CDC’s National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) collects and reports annual mortality statistics using data from U.S. death certificates. Because of the time needed to investigate certain causes of death and to process and review data, final annual mortality data for a given year are typically released 11 months after the end of the calendar year.”

The CDC refers to the 2020 mortality rates as provisional. All you have to do is read...
And comprehend...

Then you do see that the CDC bases its data on death certificates and not on the projected deaths for 2020. While provisional, the data are real data.

The links to the weekly death numbers and the surveillance methods say the same; the weekly death counts are based on actual death certificates, not projections.

There were approximately 600,000 additional deaths in 2020. The numbers are not finalized. If they turn out to be high by 20% then that would mean only 450,000 additional deaths. Even with a 20% over-count the number of additional deaths is staggering.

So again, what would account for over 400,000 additional deaths if not Covid?

Swoop 04-25-2021 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill14564 (Post 1935312)
Then you do see that the CDC bases its data on death certificates and not on the projected deaths for 2020. While provisional, the data is based real data.

The links to the weekly death numbers and the explanation of the source of that data (that I will add later) say the same; the weekly death counts are based on actual death certificates, not projections.

There were approximately 600,000 additional deaths in 2020. The numbers are not finalized. If they turn out to be high by 20% then that would mean only 450,000 additional deaths. Even with a 20% over-count the number of additional deaths is staggering.

So again, what would account for over 400,000 additional deaths if not Covid?

Again, this is a direct quote from the CDC’s website: “This report provides an overview of provisional U.S. mortality data for 2020. Provisional death estimates can give researchers and policymakers an early indication of shifts in mortality trends and provide actionable information sooner than the final mortality data that are released approximately 11 months after the end of the data year.”
ESTIMATES that’s the CDC’s terminology, not mine.

Bill14564 04-25-2021 09:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1935316)
Again, this is a direct quote from the CDC’s website: “This report provides an overview of provisional U.S. mortality data for 2020. Provisional death estimates can give researchers and policymakers an early indication of shifts in mortality trends and provide actionable information sooner than the final mortality data that are released approximately 11 months after the end of the data year.”
ESTIMATES that’s the CDC’s terminology, not mine.

Then we're back to reply #80.

Have a good night.

Indydealmaker 04-26-2021 04:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LiverpoolWalrus (Post 1934714)
What do you all think? If the percent of those vaccinated never exceeds, let's say, 50%*, and herd immunity for Covid is accomplished when 70% of the population is immune through either infection or the vaccine,** is it fair to say the anti-vaxxers will have thrown a serious wrench into the works?

Put another way, what is the defense, if any, for those who are criticized for being selfish and preventing herd immunity by refusing to get the vaccine?

*US Coronavirus Vaccine Progress Tracker | Vaccinations by State | USAFacts
**How Far Are We From COVID-19 Herd Immunity? – Reason.com

No one knows. Not even the "experts".

MandoMan 04-26-2021 05:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LiverpoolWalrus (Post 1934714)
What do you all think? If the percent of those vaccinated never exceeds, let's say, 50%*, and herd immunity for Covid is accomplished when 70% of the population is immune through either infection or the vaccine,** is it fair to say the anti-vaxxers will have thrown a serious wrench into the works?

Put another way, what is the defense, if any, for those who are criticized for being selfish and preventing herd immunity by refusing to get the vaccine?

*US Coronavirus Vaccine Progress Tracker | Vaccinations by State | USAFacts
**How Far Are We From COVID-19 Herd Immunity? – Reason.com

Now that vaccines have been made easily available to all adults in the country, all those who want a vaccine can get it or have gotten it. I don’t worry about “herd immunity” at all, as I’ve been vaccinated. If anti-vaxxers get sick or die now, that’s their choice. Give them a Darwin Award to reward their poor reasoning. I’m just sorry that my money will help pay for their medical care. I’d favor requiring them to pay for their own hospital stay. Sorry to seem virulent, but I believe in science and medicine, not conspiracy theories.

Fieldsaj 04-26-2021 05:40 AM

My niece, a nurse, was vaccinated at work. A month later (April) she contracted Covid and infected 8 more members of her extended
family. Her husband ended up in the hospital on a respirator.
Get it into your heads. One cannot go back to normal for a long while.
Last year, the CDC had political constraints to account for changing advice and the fact that they are learning more daily.

Looking for next wife 04-26-2021 06:14 AM

I am so upset that I am losing even one more of "MY OWN PERSONAL" freedoms. I am still not over the fact that I can't go 100 mph through a school zone anymore without some over progressive yelling about it. So annoying. I might even be late or something and they still won't allow you to do it. So selfish. That bothers me everyday. What next? In addition, I am not sure why, but I hate vaccines. I think having polio would be kinda fun like the old days. I actually think Lysol taste pretty good mixed with a little regular vintage Clorox. Yum, can't wait for happy hour.

Jeez, I wish we could go back to the old days where we knew more and could easily settle things like the Hatfield's and McCoys did.

Why is it that the same people who do not trust science being real are generally the same ones that believe that flying saucers have visited us from outer space on occasion. I guess the saucers run on wood stoves or wind or pedaling.

Also, why do most valedictorians believe in science and the students hiding in the back of the class don't have any use for it. Hmmmm, thought provoking, but painful to my brain so I don't do it because I come first and always will. I feel more comfortable and mature that way. Thinking makes me bleed.

Get the vaccine. Stay alive. Help keep other people alive. Find something else to bitch about like the thickness of the golf scorecard or the consistency of the soup has changed 4% at your favorite lunch spot.

Eg_cruz 04-26-2021 06:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LiverpoolWalrus (Post 1934714)
What do you all think? If the percent of those vaccinated never exceeds, let's say, 50%*, and herd immunity for Covid is accomplished when 70% of the population is immune through either infection or the vaccine,** is it fair to say the anti-vaxxers will have thrown a serious wrench into the works?

Put another way, what is the defense, if any, for those who are criticized for being selfish and preventing herd immunity by refusing to get the vaccine?

*US Coronavirus Vaccine Progress Tracker | Vaccinations by State | USAFacts
**How Far Are We From COVID-19 Herd Immunity? – Reason.com

Honest I am so over this vaccination crap. All you guinea pigs have fun getting in line. I don’t criticize you for your choice, so let it go that others don’t want to get vaccinated.
We all have our reason on why we do or don’t get the shot.
I am not selfish nor am I am not a bad person for not getting the shot and I tried of people trying to bully people into or shaming people into it.
I follow guidelines, wear my mask and social distance and for me it works.
Stop trying to point fingers at people for not jumping on the unknown shot.

I personally don’t get it. The shot doesn’t stop you from getting the virus nor does it stop you from spreading it.....so why are you putting so much faith in it.....it’s truly blows my mind.


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