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-   -   Was the economic impact of Covid really necessary? (https://www.talkofthevillages.com/forums/current-events-news-541/economic-impact-covid-really-necessary-319628/)

Bill14564 05-15-2021 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tuccillo (Post 1944871)
I thought the 500K number included part of 2021?

Don't trust me, look at the data (# deaths by week).

Waltdisney4life 05-15-2021 08:32 AM

I love people who like to “supposedly fact no one knows that’s the fact we been lied to we’ve been missed lead special interest or given priority.
Never forget the media is our true enemy. The more fearful they make us the more we watch the more money they make sad fact!

kenoc7 05-15-2021 08:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gulfcoast (Post 1944457)
Members of my household have been going to their service industry jobs and dealing with the public face to face throughout this pandemic. Even when dentists and primary care physicians had closed their offices and weren't seeing patients, there were workers heading to their jobs at grocery stores, pharmacies, food service, gasoline stations - day in, day out.

That has helped to shape my perspective as to the risks of this virus. When you live with the risk daily, you get a pretty good idea how bad (or not so bad) things really are, at least in terms of yourself and your own family.

I'm the 55 year old mom who had healthy, active teens going to their jobs and schools plus activities. And, I was also the whippersnapper who was out running errands for her elderly mom. I haven't had the luxury of "staying safe" but thankfully we did manage to get through the better part of a year without a vaccine.

Now that the cases are falling, vulnerable people have gotten vaccinated and the actual risks of catching Covid have been greatly reduced we are now supposed to run out and get vaccinated even though we have likely already had the virus, albeit mild cases of it?

Why?

Why? Herd immunity and the common good.

Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by coffeebean (Post 1944585)
You ask "why"? There are many un-vaccinated people that are prime hosts for the virus to create more variants. Those variants have the ability to possibly render our current vaccines incapable of the protection they currently provide. It is all about mitigating the variants at this point, IMHO.

If we already have natural immunity to the virus that the vaccine is meant to protect against, then why get a vaccine when we are already immune?

For the people who have been out there all along during this pandemic, keeping things running and making it possible for the more vulnerable to stay safe, I think it's only fair to let those workers decide for themselves whether or not to get the vaccine.

Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kenoc7 (Post 1944890)
Why? Herd immunity and the common good.

A person with natural immunity doesn't need a vaccination to keep the herd safe.

tuccillo 05-15-2021 08:55 AM

The NY Times reported 574K excess deaths through February 2021 for the time window of COVID-19. I had previously seen 339K (i.e. over 300K) for calendar year 2020.

I would guess that expected deaths for 2021 and a few years beyond might actually decrease because premature COVID-related deaths among the elderly.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill14564 (Post 1944874)
Don't trust me, look at the data (# deaths by week).


GrumpyOldMan 05-15-2021 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gulfcoast (Post 1944905)
A person with natural immunity doesn't need a vaccination to keep the herd safe.

There is no natural immunity prior to getting COVID.

Bill14564 05-15-2021 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tuccillo (Post 1944913)
The NY Times reported 574K excess deaths through February 2021 for the time window of COVID-19. I had previously seen 339K (i.e. over 300K) for calendar year 2020.

I would guess that expected deaths for 2021 and a few years beyond might actually decrease because premature COVID-related deaths among the elderly.

The NYT probably reported 574K Covid deaths; there are excess deaths beyond the number currently attributed to Covid. But I don't have a link to the NYT data and since it should have been based on something official like the CDC page, that's the data I worked with.

2021 deaths will still be affected by Covid, though far less than 2020. I agree that the yearly numbers will likely be lower for several years to come.

Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrumpyOldMan (Post 1944916)
There is no natural immunity prior to getting COVID.

Right. But if you've already had Covid and have recovered from it then you do have natural immunity to it. The workers who were out there all along have already been exposed countless times to the virus, they have likely had the virus already and recovered from it. Most people, thankfully, do not get that sick from it.

tuccillo 05-15-2021 09:11 AM

No, the NYT article I was referring to had 574K excess death, not COVID deaths, through February 2021. I didn't bookmark the link. I also saw one report that estimated at 70% of excess deaths were COVID deaths. Presumably, some of the rest is COVID-related, such as not seeking medical help because of concerns about being exposed to the coronavirus.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill14564 (Post 1944923)
The NYT probably reported 574K Covid deaths; there are excess deaths beyond the number currently attributed to Covid. But I don't have a link to the NYT data and since it should have been based on something official like the CDC page, that's the data I worked with.

2021 deaths will still be affected by Covid, though far less than 2020. I agree that the yearly numbers will likely be lower for several years to come.


GrumpyOldMan 05-15-2021 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gulfcoast (Post 1944926)
Right. But if you've already had Covid and have recovered from it then you do have natural immunity to it. The workers who were out there all along have already been exposed countless times to the virus, they have likely had the virus already and recovered from it. Most people, thankfully, do not get that sick from it.

Agreed. I am not sure how this is related to the economic impact of COVID.

But, I agree with your statement, with the condition that having recovered from one variant of COVID does not necessarily give you immunity to any other - the same is true with Vaccines.

Bill14564 05-15-2021 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tuccillo (Post 1944927)
No, the NYT article had 574K excess death, not COVID deaths, through February 2021. I didn't bookmark the link.

Well then the NYT didn't use the data from the CDC site that I linked above. I have no idea what the NYT based their number on.

OR, they used that data but noted that their numbers may be undercounts since the data was still being updated.

Swoop 05-15-2021 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kenoc7 (Post 1944887)
Yes, WEPOTUS was good on getting vaccine development going but he was pathetic on everything else holding super spreader events and not supporting sensible public health measures. If the US had used Sweden's approach the death numbers would have been exponentially higher.

What makes you think that our death rate would have been “exponentially higher”? We “flattered the curve” they took their hit upfront. In the end, the percentage was the same...

Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 09:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrumpyOldMan (Post 1944929)
Agreed. I am not sure how this is related to the economic impact of COVID.

But, I agree with your statement, with the condition that having recovered from one variant of COVID does not necessarily give you immunity to any other - the same is true with Vaccines.

The targeted shutdowns were unnecessary and did more harm than good. Grocery store clerks could go to work but salons were shut down for whatever reason. You could get a fast food burger but there for awhile you couldn't get your eyes checked at the optometrist which never made much sense to me. It would have been better if people had been allowed to mitigate their own risks as they do with any other virus.

MDLNB 05-15-2021 09:26 AM

Is the increase in suicides considered COVID related deaths?
Almost all the folks that died "from" or "with" COVID would presumably have a limited time left anyway. Not to be crass, but regardless of whether they died last year, this year or next year, they were not expected to live indefinitely. Out of curiosity, I wonder how many of those deaths were of seniors over 65 and how that will effect Social Security and Medicare.

GrumpyOldMan 05-15-2021 09:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDLNB (Post 1944944)
Is the increase in suicides considered COVID related deaths?
Almost all the folks that died "from" or "with" COVID would presumably have a limited time left anyway. Not to be crass, but regardless of whether they died last year, this year or next year, they were not expected to live indefinitely. Out of curiosity, I wonder how many of those deaths were of seniors over 65 and how that will effect Social Security and Medicare.

Okay, I am not sure how that relates to the thread, but I will agree with you life has a 100% fatality rate - sooner or later - so far. So, what's the point of living?

Bill14564 05-15-2021 09:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDLNB (Post 1944944)
Is the increase in suicides considered COVID related deaths?
Almost all the folks that died "from" or "with" COVID would presumably have a limited time left anyway. Not to be crass, but regardless of whether they died last year, this year or next year, they were not expected to live indefinitely. Out of curiosity, I wonder how many of those deaths were of seniors over 65 and how that will effect Social Security and Medicare.

Unlike the rest of us who *are* expected to live indefinitely? You many not intend to be crass but it sounds a little like you are okay with the idea of culling the herd.

tuccillo 05-15-2021 09:38 AM

About 80% of the deaths were people 65 and over. This represents a bit less than 1% of the people drawing Social Security benefits for retirement (about 80% of the actual SS recipients). I doubt it will have much impact.

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDLNB (Post 1944944)
Is the increase in suicides considered COVID related deaths?
Almost all the folks that died "from" or "with" COVID would presumably have a limited time left anyway. Not to be crass, but regardless of whether they died last year, this year or next year, they were not expected to live indefinitely. Out of curiosity, I wonder how many of those deaths were of seniors over 65 and how that will effect Social Security and Medicare.


Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 09:42 AM

Apparently going to your cashier job at Walmart is "safe" but that same cashier spending a nice day at the beach is a "super spreader" event. Or at least that was the way it was only a year ago.

MDLNB 05-15-2021 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrumpyOldMan (Post 1944916)
There is no natural immunity prior to getting COVID.


Ah, but some have a natural RESISTANCE to it, perhaps. I doubt I am immune to the Flu, but I must have a resistance to it since I have never had it.

Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 12:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDLNB (Post 1945020)
Ah, but some have a natural RESISTANCE to it, perhaps. I doubt I am immune to the Flu, but I must have a resistance to it since I have never had it.

I suspect that exposure to previous Coronaviruses in the past made some people especially resistant to Covid-19 and also helped to keep the symptoms mild in most of the people who did catch it.

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1944331)
Sweden remained open during Covid. Bars, restaurants, schools, businesses, gyms etc. They initially had a spike in Covid deaths, but where are they today? The pundits all told us that they made a terrible mistake and their population would suffer because of their decision to remain open. The US shut schools, forced businesses to close, isolated families, trashed the economy and compounded the national debt. But we saved lives - right? Not based on the statistics we didn’t. Sweden has a population of 10.23 million and 14,267 Covid deaths. We have a population of 328.2 million and 584,000 Covid deaths. That’s .0014 of Sweden’s population and .0018 of the US population...

The following information was taken from Sage Journals......as of July 5, 2020, Sweden had a death rate of .54 / 1,000 population. That was about 10 TIMES HIGHER than its neighbors Norway, Denmark, and Finland. The Swedes SCRAPPED their incorrect attempt at herd immunity and CHANGED QUICKLY to more restrictive MANDATES. They ADAPTED well! Please google Sage Journals.

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1944331)
Sweden remained open during Covid. Bars, restaurants, schools, businesses, gyms etc. They initially had a spike in Covid deaths, but where are they today? The pundits all told us that they made a terrible mistake and their population would suffer because of their decision to remain open. The US shut schools, forced businesses to close, isolated families, trashed the economy and compounded the national debt. But we saved lives - right? Not based on the statistics we didn’t. Sweden has a population of 10.23 million and 14,267 Covid deaths. We have a population of 328.2 million and 584,000 Covid deaths. That’s .0014 of Sweden’s population and .0018 of the US population...

Try comparing Finland's death rate to the US's. As of May 12, 2021, Finland had ONLY 930 CV deaths. 939 / Finlands population of 5,548,360 equals .00017 ..........MUCH lower than the US! It shows what the US COULD have done with social intelligence and leadership more like a REAL country!

graciegirl 05-15-2021 01:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrumpyOldMan (Post 1944916)
There is no natural immunity prior to getting COVID.

Yes!!!
People keep saying things like this; I am healthy, I don't take medicine, I have a lot of natural immunity, if you isolate your self you lose your natural immunity. I work out. I eat healthy, and my blood pressure is good. I don't need the shot.

AND I say just what you said. If you have not had the shot or had Covid-19 you have no immunity to it. ZERO. Zilch. NADA.

Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 01:27 PM

A person who has already had the virus is not going to get any benefit, whatsoever, from getting the vaccine. Why should they feel compelled to expose themselves to possible adverse side effects if the vaccination will do them no good anyway?

GrumpyOldMan 05-15-2021 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Topspinmo (Post 1945093)
Funny when all these civilized countries need help we have to bail them out and there still sucking on uncle sams dollar. How about those civilized countries paying us back for our sacrifice? O. I see they don’t help out uncivilized countries.

Please list the civilized countries we have "bailed out" recently.

Gulfcoast 05-15-2021 02:12 PM

The overreach seen in some states is getting some push back now, finally. The vaccine has changed the formula and it is much harder to justify draconian mandates. Hopefully, sanity will be returning across the country because we really, really need for it to.

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1944331)
Sweden remained open during Covid. Bars, restaurants, schools, businesses, gyms etc. They initially had a spike in Covid deaths, but where are they today? The pundits all told us that they made a terrible mistake and their population would suffer because of their decision to remain open. The US shut schools, forced businesses to close, isolated families, trashed the economy and compounded the national debt. But we saved lives - right? Not based on the statistics we didn’t. Sweden has a population of 10.23 million and 14,267 Covid deaths. We have a population of 328.2 million and 584,000 Covid deaths. That’s .0014 of Sweden’s population and .0018 of the US population...

Sweden did make a TERRIBLE mistake!!!!!!! When you compare them to their comparable sister countries like Finland, Denmark, and Norway, then Sweden has a DEATH rate ten times higher or more! The US can NOT be compared to the Scandinavian countries because THEY have the MUCH SUPERIOR health care system! The US has superior Universities and good Doctors and medical knowledge, but the care that TRICKLES DOWN to the average US person is PATHETIC. Look at the world lists, the US is around 35th in health categories. If you don't have good medical insurance or NO medical insurance, see how well you are treated! Slovenia, for example, is much higher on the world lists than the US. Look it up - if you don't believe me!

Joe V. 05-15-2021 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrumpyOldMan (Post 1945098)
Please list the civilized countries we have "bailed out" recently.


Hundreds of billions of US dollars are transferred from the US Treasury to the IMF. That way other countries can suck on the US teat under some cover. Each year directed funds are authorized by congress to dozens of countries, individually. And do not forget the World Bank (US being a major shareholder) money laundering socialist schemes.


As far as what countries get what you can do you own research easily on line.

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 02:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by graciegirl (Post 1944338)
Did you mean was it unescapable? This is the difficulty. This never before faced difficulty by those now living on earth brought many unsolvable problems. Our leaders faced them and none really solved them but used compromises. They would be damned if they did and damned if they didn't.

Naturally a deadly virus that attacks the whole world is going to slow down economic exchange. It is like the story of King Solomon and the two women who both claimed to be the mother to a baby. He asked them....Should I divide the child with my sword?? We were in that kind of mess with this Pandemic. There was no PAT answer. People do not want to die and they do not want their loved ones to die and they do not want their income to stop.

Now we are opening back up and the stipends are making things worse, not better.

Many other countries solved the SAME problem. Avoid ethnocentrism!

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gulfcoast (Post 1944423)
I think that the highly selective business shutdowns were not necessary in this situation and did more harm than good to the country. Ditto school shutdowns.

I think the added precautions in LTC facilities saved lives and were necessary. Beyond that, I think that people should have just been allowed to assess the risks for themselves and reacted accordingly. Painting everyone with one broad brush when most people were never at great risk from this virus was misguided.

Unfortunately, each of us is NOT an island unto themselves.

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aloha1 (Post 1944442)
Remember "Two weeks to slow the curve"? That was the advice of Fauci and the CDC before they really had an understanding of what was going on. When it became apparent that this was a much more serious health crisis, we had a leader who stepped up, cut through red tape, and got the ball rolling on vaccines and mitigation.

Now, 14 months later, we find the CDC and Fauci way behind the curve with their rules and mandates. Almost 55% vaccinated not counting those who have immunity from getting Covid. Yesterday TSA screened the highest number of air travelers since 14 months ago.

Yes, there are pockets where, I'll be blunt, Darwin's children refuse to get the shot but in general I believe we are over the hump and ready for normalcy whether the CDC says so or not. We have had enough of bureaucratic overreach.

Why do we blame the bureaucracy when we voted them in and we don't take the time to contemplate what is wrong with our system. For example, in Australia, everyone votes or they get a fine. Start with that! Too many are ethnocentric and assume that the US is PERFECT!

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 02:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swoop (Post 1944522)
Disagree with what?!? We had the shut downs they are still dead. I truly don’t understand your post...

That is the fallacy of a FALSE NEGATIVE. Without the shutdowns, the deaths COULD HAVE BEEN higher, like one MILLION. But I can't prove a negative, so keep up the lack of logic!

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by coffeebean (Post 1944585)
You ask "why"? There are many un-vaccinated people that are prime hosts for the virus to create more variants. Those variants have the ability to possibly render our current vaccines incapable of the protection they currently provide. It is all about mitigating the variants at this point, IMHO.

Correct..........your bean is working great!

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lindsyburnsy (Post 1944707)
Hindsight is always the clearest. Sweden also has social programs that we don't that provides a safety net for their citizens.

Correct!!!!!!!!!

Aloha1 05-15-2021 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bucco (Post 1944461)
Won’t argue any scientific with you, or anyone, but a few corrections in your post...

1. Dr Faucci was not . The person who made the announcement “ Actually, he was not even the advisor for the WH (that was Dr Brix at the time this announcement was made). This announcement was made on March 16, 2020, not by Faucci.

Fact is, a few days later, after we were told by the government (not Faucci) that this virus would dissipate by July or August of 2020, Faucci actually said that Americans should be staying home for “several weeks”.

Covid: A year later, Trump'''s '''15 days to slow the spread''' shows how little we knew

Fauci predicts Americans will likely need to stay home for at least several more weeks

Not a scientist, but I think the vaccine trials began in December of 2020, and that Pfizer worked with German money and scientific knowledge to get the vaccine going. I am sure that within WHO, there was sharing, however in May 2020, the US pulled out of WHO

I post this and if anything is in error, please correct. It just seems we have serious memory lapses and want to make Faucci the scapegoat always, even when he was not involved. He is not perfect to be sure, but misquoting and using partial truths is not fair.

Fauci was present at both events and reitierated the comments. And the "a few more weeks" comment he made came after that meeting.

Bottom line, He had no clue and neither did Dr. Scarf. Like the CDC they both played and continue to play catch up with reality.

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDLNB (Post 1944749)
Wrong or right, a lot of actions by the gov had a lot to do with the final outcome.
A question that still needs to be answered is: How did this get started?
We KNOW for a fact that OUR government granted/gave China Wu Han lab research money. How much did that have to do with the Covid virus? The Director of NIH stated in a recent interview that the money was not "meant" to be used to weaponize the virus. He said it WAS meant for research into Sars. So, how much does our gov. know that they are not telling us? I understand the need for secrets, but there seems to be an awful lot of effort going into shrugging off the origination explanation of where it started and how it got spread worldwide. What are they hiding?
On a different subject, we are spending trillions of dollars that we do not have on blatant, frivolous spending. Who are we borrowing the money from? Are we printing more money? Who dictates how much money we can print? What is the difference between printing money and borrowing money? I am not an expert in finance or economics so folks like me just want some simple answers in layman terms. How can we be concerned about billions of dollars spent and now welcome trillions to be spent. Because some small percentage is being given to us in the form of Covid relief? No one is worried about the great debt that we are building? Did no one learn anything from Greece's bankruptcy? There are many countries out there waiting to ponce on us like vultures on a wounded animal. Who's going to bail us out, China?
Covid is being used by the gov to waste an awful lot of money and no one is paying attention.

Another myth. Today debt to GDP is about the same as the last 60 years. Looking at the absolute number of the debt is MEANINGLESS!!!!!!

Aloha1 05-15-2021 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrumpyOldMan (Post 1944492)
Remember "just like the flu, and gone by April - magically".

Everyone made mistakes, everyone was learning as we went.

No argument there as that is what I stated. If your advisors give you faulty info then what do you expect?

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by donassaid (Post 1944814)
Covid is and was a political "planned-demic". Never before has a disease or virus with a 99% survival rate had such extreme measures forced upon its citizens. The ultimate impact financially, emotionally, and socially will never be calculated with the effects on school children, people unable to schedule critical surgeries, attend funerals, weddings, graduations, be with their hispitalized spouses, etc. Pure, unadulterated, absolute insanity driven by unhinged fear.

To me, that is nonsense.

jimjamuser 05-15-2021 03:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gulfcoast (Post 1944899)
If we already have natural immunity to the virus that the vaccine is meant to protect against, then why get a vaccine when we are already immune?

For the people who have been out there all along during this pandemic, keeping things running and making it possible for the more vulnerable to stay safe, I think it's only fair to let those workers decide for themselves whether or not to get the vaccine.

Over 1/2 A MILLION people died of CV. They did not have that immunity that you speak of.


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