Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
#1
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Recession or just pandemic recovery?
I believe we are now in a pandemic recovery period. Remember, we have not had a pandemic in over 100 years so the economic experts did not know what to call what we are going through now, so all the talk has been recession.
No matter what party is in power or who the person is in power is irrelevant. This is all NEW. |
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#2
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This is not a real recession and they should not be treating it as one |
#3
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The whole world is in recovery since the pandemic subsided. Supply and Demand everyone is requiring more product excessive demand creates shortages. Recently WalMart stocked up on clothing, electronics, yard furniture because of demand the previous year shortfalls. Due to increases in demand for daily staples FOOD, petroleum they are experiencing short falls in demand for clothing, electronics, furniture expect lower prices to deplete stock.
Fuel prices are coming down there is still a short fall in chip making for vehicles which may be resolved in Congress by finally returning production to US manufacturing FINALLY it all takes time. Again the Government is subsiding Companies to return this required commodity just as we bailed out the auto and banking in 2009. Sometimes the Government does work. |
#4
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Economists love to debate these issues regarding the “R” word. Clearly the pandemic and Ukraine are arguably making this different from any other “R” in the past. Inflation is for real but appears to be slowing so the economy is not falling off the cliff and the Market will comeback given a bit of time. U.S. is way ahead the rest of the world. Finally, having more jobs than workers really makes this situation different from any so called down turns of the past. Fore
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Most people are as happy as they make up their mind to be. Abraham Lincoln |
#5
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The definition of recession, two quarters of negative growth, was established in 1974 by the bureau of labor statistics. That definition has stood 48 years until a week ago when, for political spin, it suddenly was not the definition (sarcasm off).
WE ARE IN A RECESSION. |
#6
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Yep, the pandemic has been an excuse used for the last two years. Hmmm, wonder why. There is no way that we can have a decent discussion on this subject without it becoming political, so I will opt out of this one.
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Never take life seriously. Nobody gets out alive anyway |
#7
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It is a world wide problem, and whoever was running the show would have been in the same boat.
Most of us have been in same situation before, and have survived to fight another day. Sun will still rise again tomorrow. |
#8
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Oh it's a recession. Those job postings will disappear very soon. When that happens,it'll get ugly very quickly. Our grandkids are gonna have a tough go of it.
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#9
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In 1974 the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Julius Shiskin suggested that a rough translation of the bureau's qualitative definition of a recession into a quantitative one that almost anyone can use might run like this: In terms of duration—declines in real G.N.P. for 2 consecutive quarters; a decline in industrial production over a six‐month period. In terms of depth—A 1.5 per cent decline in real G.N.P.; a 15 per cent decline non-agricultural employment; a two‐point rise in unemployment to a level of at least 6 percent. In terms of diffusion—A decline in non-agricultural employment in more than 75 per cent of industries, as measured over six‐month spans, for 6 months or longer. |
#10
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Thinking this is "new" is a huge mistake. George Santayana said, ""Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it." This sort of problem has existed for centuries and will always exist as those who have learned from the past die and a few generations later make the same mistake...call it "negative common sense."
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#11
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In 2022 it is healthcare and technology. Applying the same rules to a very different economy might not work. Last edited by EastCoastDawg; 07-28-2022 at 02:02 PM. |
#12
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It is official. The economy has shrunk for two straight quarters. All political rationalizations about the cause(s) aside, we are IN a recession.
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#13
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The OP is comparing unlike items. We are in a recession CAUSED (in part) by a pandemic.
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Pam&Nick The government cannot give anything to anyone without first taking it from someone else |
#14
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#15
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Interesting thought. Also jobs in 1974, particularly manufacturing, were long term, as oppposed to jobs in 2022.
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Closed Thread |
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