Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
#106
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My sympathies and I understand your pain and anger. It has been told many times in many ways, rest assured. |
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#107
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This is probably the answer to the original poster's question. I have not believed the numbers that are being reported for several months. They could be less, they could be more. Who know? Certainly not me.
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#108
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Just had a thought.......Since this pandemic has gripped this nation.......Have the deaths from all other causes been tracked? Are there zero deaths from auto accidents, zero deaths from heart attacks, zero deaths from renal failure, zero deaths from strokes, etc, etc, etc. You get the idea.
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#109
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Here is wwwDOTcdcDOTgov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths There was quite a hump in the spring, a bit of a hump in July and now it's dropping down to nothing. Every area has to go through their initial phase and then it's done in that area. It gets all the weak hosts and then it's done. This is not to say there aren't people it missed, but it seems to weed out the weakest and run out of hosts. People talking about a spiking in cases but there are hundreds of thousands of tests taking place each day and the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test is not that great. Even with 1% false positive, that's 2000 false positives per day. If there are 2000 actual positives, that means that 50% of the "cases" aren't real. Before you attack the number, you need to go look at the specificity and sensitivity of the PCR test yourself. Understand what it means. This is not to say the disease isn't real or that it's not bad. I know two folks who died due to catching it. It's just that if we had the same kind of testing in April as we have today, this recent increase in cases would be bouncing along the baseline rather than a spike. |
#110
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I believe that those responsible have a handle on things as much as possible. As I understand it, there are 3 categories.....Direct deaths for which Covid 19 is the cause....Direct but-uncounted in which Covid19 was responsible but wasn't officially noted and Indirect deaths where the death happened because of other changes caused by the pandemic. It may take a year before all this gets finalized and the number may go up or down. Certainly, I nor any poster has a clue. Scientists know how to track this information and will. |
#111
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#112
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#113
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It’s amazing to me that some people are trying to explain the deaths away. Does it make them feel better about Covid, like an ostrich if I don’t see it, it isn’t there?
Personally, I don’t pay attention to positivity rates and this and that where the reference data depends on the definitions. I watch trends. If the tests were not so sensitive last week, they are also not so sensitive this week etc. The trends catch the direction we are going. When I see the curve going up, no one’s going to convince me that it is in fact going down. |
#114
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Death rate is a clearer depiction. Not actual numbers. Think.
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Closed Thread |
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