Does the 4% rule of withdrawals still apply? Does the 4% rule of withdrawals still apply? - Talk of The Villages Florida

Does the 4% rule of withdrawals still apply?

 
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Old 08-06-2025, 06:47 AM
CoachKandSportsguy CoachKandSportsguy is offline
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Default Does the 4% rule of withdrawals still apply?

Does the 4% Rule Still Apply? - A Wealth of Common Sense

maybe or maybe not. .
 
Old 08-06-2025, 07:40 AM
jimhoward jimhoward is offline
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The math of a 4% withdrawal rate works fine. It has tolerated varying economic conditions in the past and will likely do so in the future.
The biggest problem with a 4% withdrawal rate is that real world spending is not steady. It punctuated by large expenditures such as home improvements, automobiles, and medical emergencies which are not typically accounted for adequately.

70 year-olds pulling 4%/year from their retirement funds is not a problem. Pulling 4% per year for living expenses and then also raiding it for grandchild's college, and a lanai enclosure not so much.

For this reason I think a bucket method is better.
 
Old 08-06-2025, 08:40 AM
collie1228 collie1228 is offline
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Bucket method is much better for peace of mind. I know my immediate bucket is always ready for expenditures no matter what bucket no. 2 or 3 are experiencing. It’s worked well for me for 13 years now.
 
Old 08-09-2025, 07:04 PM
manaboutown manaboutown is offline
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Just ordered Bengen's new book.

A Richer Retirement: Supercharging the 4% Rule to Spend More and Enjoy More


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gQqcKepuQdA
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Last edited by manaboutown; 08-09-2025 at 07:15 PM.
 
Old 08-10-2025, 08:52 AM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
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I would call it a guide but individuals have different spending needs.
 
Old 08-11-2025, 07:29 AM
dougjb dougjb is offline
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Well give it a try!

Rely on the anonymous "experts" here instead of paying a financial expert a few hundred bucks for a proper analysis.

If it doesn't work out for you and you run out of money down the road, you can always complain about the terrible "expert" advice you received on TOTV.

Please remember if you are satisfied with the responses you receive here on this matter, you can focus on seeking do-it-yourself open heart surgeryon TOTV. I hear there are some excellent "experts" on that subject here.
 
Old 08-11-2025, 07:33 AM
Caymus Caymus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dougjb View Post
Well give it a try!

Rely on the anonymous "experts" here instead of paying a financial expert a few hundred bucks for a proper analysis.

If it doesn't work out for you and you run out of money down the road, you can always complain about the terrible "expert" advice you received on TOTV.

Please remember if you are satisfied with the responses you receive here on this matter, you can focus on seeking do-it-yourself open heart surgeryon TOTV. I hear there are some excellent "experts" on that subject here.
Where are you getting an "expert" for a "few hundred bucks"?
 
Old 08-11-2025, 08:08 AM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dougjb View Post
Well give it a try!

Rely on the anonymous "experts" here instead of paying a financial expert a few hundred bucks for a proper analysis.

If it doesn't work out for you and you run out of money down the road, you can always complain about the terrible "expert" advice you received on TOTV.

Please remember if you are satisfied with the responses you receive here on this matter, you can focus on seeking do-it-yourself open heart surgeryon TOTV. I hear there are some excellent "experts" on that subject here.
I suspect open heart surgery requires more than the excel spreadsheet that the 4% calculation does. But hey, if you want to pay someone hundreds (more likely thousands) of dollars to run excel then I'm sure there are no end of people willing to take your money.

It is easy to look up past market performance
It should be easy to look up the past performance of your portfolio
A simple excel spreadsheet can show how past performance and future withdrawals would affect a balance

What is NOT simple is predicting future market performance, recognizing a plan is going wrong, or adjusting to a new reality.
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Old 08-11-2025, 09:34 AM
manaboutown manaboutown is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dougjb View Post
Well give it a try!

Rely on the anonymous "experts" here instead of paying a financial expert a few hundred bucks for a proper analysis.

If it doesn't work out for you and you run out of money down the road, you can always complain about the terrible "expert" advice you received on TOTV.

Please remember if you are satisfied with the responses you receive here on this matter, you can focus on seeking do-it-yourself open heart surgeryon TOTV. I hear there are some excellent "experts" on that subject here.
I am amazed at how helpful some of the advice, opinions and shared experiences have been for me. At the very least some posts have given me direction of where and how to conduct my own research. The backgrounds of some of the posters are quite remarkable.
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Old 08-12-2025, 05:19 AM
ltcdfancher ltcdfancher is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Caymus View Post
Where are you getting an "expert" for a "few hundred bucks"?
I have worked with a CFP in the past. Here’s the proposal for hourly engagements: Planner’s hourly rate is $350.00. For hourly engagements, Planner bills in 15-minute increments. Billed activities include: meetings, analysis and research, deliverable preparation for meetings or via correspondence, and coordination with external professionals (e.g., attorneys and tax professionals). Summaries prepared and sent after meetings are included in the time, i.e., they do not add to the time for the meeting.

I engaged with him to answer a very specific question. I also rely on a AUM fee-based advisor. Having access to both hourly and fee-based fiduciaries allows me to check one against the other.
 
Old 08-12-2025, 08:52 AM
Boffin Boffin is offline
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Yep, it works for me.
 
Old 08-18-2025, 09:46 AM
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spd2918 spd2918 is offline
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No one rule applies to all investors.

I'm pulling 6% for 3 reasons:

1. I'm 56 and will enjoy the money more now than when I'm less active.
2. My investment money is gravy- my retirement is my main source of income.
3. I was not raised to amass someone's inheritance. There will be plenty of money / assets for the kids without my side stash.
 

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