IRMAA not worth getting excited over unless LARGE IRA

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Old 10-16-2023, 02:03 PM
CoachKandSportsguy CoachKandSportsguy is offline
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Default IRMAA not worth getting excited over unless LARGE IRA

My financial expertise is in building models for future decision making about whatever the topic is, doesn't matter, there are thousands of financial decision topics.

So, since I (Sportsguy) am now retired and my wife (CoachK) is still working but will retire next year, I have built out the retirement model even further to include medical insurance premiums and Roth Conversions to understand when to take Social Security and what is the status of our IRA savings and investment savings to weather the future expenses in TV, for taxes and a cash flow statement to see when additional withdrawals may be required. (I have not factored in the latest increase in AUTO insurance premiums )

After researching IRMAA, a hot topic du jour for some, I modeled out a married couple, with both at current max social security, again maybe us , with IRAS with RMDs, as everyone has. With the model being dynamic, the starting point is we are both 65 at the end of this year, start taking Social security on Jan 2025, when I qualify for full retirement benefits for both. At that time, i am assuming 5 k in additional taxable income above SS from any other sources, investments, part time work, etc.

Using inflation and other annual increasing assumptions (IRMAA threshold increased at nearly 6 % and Social security increased at 4%+ for CY24) and market returns for investments are 6% out for 20 years, the effect of RMDS can be seen in AGI and in taxes and tax brackets.

By entering an CY22 ending IRA balance as a total for a married couple, here is the age and year we would have to pay IRMAA penalties based upon current RMD percentages, based on max SS, RMD and taxable income year by year

Conclusion: Its not worth ROTH conversions and paying taxes now to save future IRMAA penalties in the future for married couples with IRAs less than $3,000,000

certainly its a non issue for us, and i suspect many others.

I am more than willing to share the workbook after I detail out the IRMAA penalties by taxable income bracket, I just used the max penalty in the example, and since its per person for a couple, it gets a bit detailed to calculate out which person in a couple, so i just doubled the per person penalty. . (may need to research the married couple scenario a bit as well), however, i am still looking for a CFP willing to review it for reasonableness. There are a few financial types here who can PM me to discuss validation of formulas, but not assumptions)
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Old 10-16-2023, 02:46 PM
manaboutown manaboutown is offline
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Some of us are stuck paying confiscatory IRMAA Medicare premium surcharges no matter what we do or don't do short of giving most of our hard savings and investments to charity,.
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Last edited by manaboutown; 10-16-2023 at 02:57 PM.
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Old 10-16-2023, 05:15 PM
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Originally Posted by manaboutown View Post
Some of us are stuck paying confiscatory IRMAA Medicare premium surcharges no matter what we do or don't do short of giving most of our hard savings and investments to charity,.
Confiscatory? You are making so much money on your money that you are required to pay extra for government health insurance. Poor you. So much confiscation going on. Maybe they should rework the medicare premiums so the super rich get a better break and the average retiree pays more to make up the difference. Let them eat cake comes to mind.
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Old 10-16-2023, 05:50 PM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
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Confiscatory? You are making so much money on your money that you are required to pay extra for government health insurance. Poor you. So much confiscation going on. Maybe they should rework the medicare premiums so the super rich get a better break and the average retiree pays more to make up the difference. Let them eat cake comes to mind.
So what percentage tax rate is our fair share. Govt is not exactly efficient in spending ⁸
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Old 10-16-2023, 06:05 PM
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Confiscatory? You are making so much money on your money that you are required to pay extra for government health insurance. Poor you. So much confiscation going on. Maybe they should rework the medicare premiums so the super rich get a better break and the average retiree pays more to make up the difference. Let them eat cake comes to mind.

Are the "super rich" actually on Medicare? Don' t they use some sort of Concierge System?
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Old 10-16-2023, 06:11 PM
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To me it is like going into a McDonalds and buying a hamburger. If one is 'poor' he pays $5.00; if he is upper middle class he pays $50.00. Health insurance should cost the same for folks of similar age and health regardless of their income. Successful folks who usually started with little, worked hard, saved their money and invested wisely should not be forced to pay health insurance for profligate wastrels and deadbeats. That is socialism. Now if someone is or becomes disabled through no fault of their own then that is an entirely different matter. They need to be assisted.
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Old 10-16-2023, 06:16 PM
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Sorry, guy, I do not nor will I ever like generic financial advice. Every situation is different.

This one is not just about IRAs. It could be about a large capital gain from a stock sale in a taxable account or a sale of a secondary residence or one not held for 2 years as the primary.

I am not a high net worth woman. I just happen to be an aware woman and if IRMAA is lurking around the corner, I think people should know they have a choice — if they want it — to give the amount that crosses the threshold to charity by using QCDs for some or all of the amount of the RMD.

As far as those sweet-spot conversions go, I remain a proponent of at least learning about what you might be able to do. A conversion could end up being money for yourself down the road, not just for your heirs. You might need it to pay for your own healthcare someday.


Like a previous poster here, I, too, am appalled at the “I got mine. Too bad ya don’t got yours” philosophy of those who cannot see that especially for those younger than us, there are many hard-working people who have been hit with obscene medical insurance and pharmaceutical costs, student loans that often look like usury lending, and ridiculous costs of housing.

And about that tax cut for high net worth taxpayers and corporations — well, how’s that working for us regular people now?

I am not into giveaways, but I am waaaaay into fairness — and I am worried that as a country, we could collapse under greed — and hate.

Ya know, sometimes it’s good to be old.

er

Oh my, I sure jumped the track on that one. Not mad at you, guy. Just plain mad right now.
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Last edited by Boomer; 10-16-2023 at 06:44 PM.
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Old 10-16-2023, 06:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Stu from NYC View Post
So what percentage tax rate is our fair share. Govt is not exactly efficient in spending ⁸
Top Federal rate is now 37% + 3.8% NIIT = 41.8%. That ain't chicken feed. Moreover a substantial percentage of people pay no income tax whatsoever.

" In total, about 59.9 percent of U.S. households paid income tax in 2022. The remaining 40.1 percent of households paid no individual income tax. In that same year, about 47.1 percent of U.S. households with an income between 40,000 and 50,000 U.S. dollars paid no individual income taxes."

From: Households paying no income tax by income level U.S. 2022 | Statista
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Last edited by manaboutown; 10-16-2023 at 06:43 PM.
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Old 10-16-2023, 07:17 PM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
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Originally Posted by manaboutown View Post
Top Federal rate is now 37% + 3.8% NIIT = 41.8%. That ain't chicken feed. Moreover a substantial percentage of people pay no income tax whatsoever.

" In total, about 59.9 percent of U.S. households paid income tax in 2022. The remaining 40.1 percent of households paid no individual income tax. In that same year, about 47.1 percent of U.S. households with an income between 40,000 and 50,000 U.S. dollars paid no individual income taxes."

From: Households paying no income tax by income level U.S. 2022 | Statista
More and more think we will spend the country into bankruptcy
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Old 10-16-2023, 08:13 PM
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Originally Posted by manaboutown View Post
To me it is like going into a McDonalds and buying a hamburger. If one is 'poor' he pays $5.00; if he is upper middle class he pays $50.00. Health insurance should cost the same for folks of similar age and health regardless of their income. Successful folks who usually started with little, worked hard, saved their money and invested wisely should not be forced to pay health insurance for profligate wastrels and deadbeats. That is socialism. Now if someone is or becomes disabled through no fault of their own then that is an entirely different matter. They need to be assisted.
You're not buying Medicare or don't you know that? If you were paying the cost your premium would be huge, not a few hundred a month. The people paying for your health insurance right now are the workers of the US. And they are paying your premiums for you because, well Socialism. See how you benefit when the government takes money from somebody and gives it to you?

But you with your portfolio and your bonds and your IRAs and your 401Ks which just make you money while you do nothing contribute to the GNP, you make so much from being rich that a little more gets asked of you so the workers who are actually paying your medical costs and the other people on Medicare put in a little less.

It is not McDonalds. It never has been. And now you want to base health insurance premiums on the health and age of the insured. Thank your lucky stars that ACA and Medicare did away with such things. Decency, do onto others, share your toys... Did you miss those lessons in basic humanity before you decided dollars are so golden??
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Old 10-16-2023, 08:32 PM
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This thread deviated quickly from the OP’s financial modeling post.
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Old 10-17-2023, 04:48 AM
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Originally Posted by manaboutown View Post
Top Federal rate is now 37% + 3.8% NIIT = 41.8%. That ain't chicken feed. Moreover a substantial percentage of people pay no income tax whatsoever.

" In total, about 59.9 percent of U.S. households paid income tax in 2022. The remaining 40.1 percent of households paid no individual income tax. In that same year, about 47.1 percent of U.S. households with an income between 40,000 and 50,000 U.S. dollars paid no individual income taxes."

From: Households paying no income tax by income level U.S. 2022 | Statista
It is not 37% on all your income, though, only the portion of your income over $693,750 for couples or over $578,125 for singles. And if your income is coming from qualified dividends, the top rate is 15% for that income unless you make over $553,851 for couples, or $492,301 for singles. Above that, your qualified dividends are still only taxed at 20% plus the aforementioned NIIT of 3.8% on the investment income for couples over $250,000. I just think it’s misleading to throw 41.8% out there, no one is actually paying that much across all their income.
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Old 10-17-2023, 04:59 AM
Rwirish Rwirish is offline
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This is spot on.
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Old 10-17-2023, 05:17 AM
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Originally Posted by GoRedSox! View Post
It is not 37% on all your income, though, only the portion of your income over $693,750 for couples or over $578,125 for singles. And if your income is coming from qualified dividends, the top rate is 15% for that income unless you make over $553,851 for couples, or $492,301 for singles. Above that, your qualified dividends are still only taxed at 20% plus the aforementioned NIIT of 3.8% on the investment income for couples over $250,000. I just think it’s misleading to throw 41.8% out there, no one is actually paying that much across all their income.
For people in the top 10% of adjusted gross income (AGI), the average US income tax rate for 2020 (latest available data) was 20.3% of AGI.

https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/20in41ts.xls
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Old 10-17-2023, 05:45 AM
TomPerry TomPerry is offline
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Boy, and I thought I was Anal-litical!!
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