Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
Talk of The Villages Florida - Rentals, Entertainment & More
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In the January 19, issue of TIME magazine, columnist Jeffrey D. Sachs authored an article entitlled "The Case For Bigger Government". I was drawn to the article because it's title ran counter to the way I've thought for a long time. But after reading the article and re-reading it, I've found it hard to debate with Sachs' argument, other than in a simple emotional way. I certainly could not come up with an argument or scenario that would render his thesis incorrect.
Read the entire article at http://www.time.com/time/nation/arti...0268-1,00.html When you finish, see if you can come up with a strong argument why Sachs is wrong in his conclusions. I've read it twice and I'll read it again. But I haven't gotten comfortable with any strong argument that I could use to prove Sachs wrong in his conclusions. |
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#2
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Great article and certainly food for thought. I find myself more leaning toward the Ron Paul feeling that LOWER taxes will create jobs more efficiently and quickly than just throwing money out there.
I admit, and have many times, that this economic crisis is a bit beyond me, but my "gut" tells me that throwing our government money at everything with absolutely no control over what happens to it is going to create more of what we all scream about.....some folks will get rich...the problem will remain. Mainly because it is controlled by POLITICIANS...we saw what our "leaders" did when they were warned two years ago or more about what was occuring...NOTHING except defend those institutions that were driving us into a hole ...WHY...because the got campaign funds from those folks. Are any of the members of congress going to turn down their automatice pay increase this year ? I would bet NO...but we should tighten our belt !!!!!! Only one area that I would consider throwing some government money at is healthcare, but even in that area I need to be totally convinced about the motivation and the controls. I know this is a shallow response to a complicated problem, but I am not prepared to throw away our free enterprise system this fast and this soon. We dont seem to want to talk about HOW we got here much because we say it is spilt milk or whatever but isnt that the way to remedy the future ? Perhaps, those who have a bit of "milk on their face" do not want to talk about how we got here, but when I hear the mortgage crisis and I hear WE KNEW THIS MAY HAPPEN TWO YEARS AGO, I just get angry. When I hear we will now bail out folks who should not have had a mortgage in the first place so they can move on and retain their ownership while us poor slobs had to earn it..I just get angry. When I hear we want to throw money at people with no control over it I get angry. And when I hear that the folks making the decision on how much and to whom are the same folks that ignored the problem and probably are much of the root cause I get REALLY ANGRY. Sorry...not much substance but I feel better ! |
#3
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Good article. People forget that government exists soley to provide the survices that we deem necessary to run a orderly society, and do not lend themselves to making a profit. ie: education, care of the poor, care of the sick, care of the elderly, care of the infrastructure, care for the enviornment, defence of our borders, dealing with the criminals etc.
In a crisis government must step in and provide the fix. Demonizing government programs and glorifing privatization of all of the things that should not be tied to profits began with the Regan trickle down boys. "Run government like a business" sounded like a good idea but couldn't work. |
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I have seen similar “Europe/Asia is smarter and better than the U.S” articles. The statistics often quoted sound impressive, but they rarely take into account the diversity of populations within U.S. jurisdictions, and their freedom of choice.
When we look at the United States, not only are there the obvious populations within the 50 states, but also the Indian nations, the territories and trusts(Guam, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Island, the Oceanic Islands) and the illegal aliens which comprise 8% of the total population. This level of diversity and ratios is unmatched in scope, cultures, and desire to be visible to any European or Asian nation. In most other nations, there is a dominant ethnic group and a very few others comprising a minority which does not skewer the statistics. The U.S. does not have a majority ethnic group - “Caucasian” is comprised of many ethic groups which happen to share a pigmentation - so the factoring of all genetic, cultural and societal factors of all of the ethnic groups comprising “Americans“ against what is often a mono-ethnic society is statistical gamesmanship. If we were to compare what can be considered as “middle class” in each country, we’d find that within the U.S. there is: 1) greater percentage (quite sizeable) which own their own home; 2) greater percentage with more-than-one car; 3) more creature comforts (central air conditioning, etc): 4) greater access to information and entertainment (e.g., many countries license television receivers). We could make all sorts of similar comparisons, but the bottom line is this: The U.S. from its conception is based upon civil liberties for the masses, and government intervention upon these civil liberties shall be at a minimum. Most European countries are either still monarchies or are basically conversions which places regal authority into a form of parliament, in essence keeping the same “governmental” level of control over the populace and dispensing degrees of civil liberties when the government sees fit. Add to this a general mindset differential between the average American and the nationals of other countries - we see government as our servant, versus how others perceive themselves as subjects of the government. Our Bill of Rights still brings peoples from around this planet to come to the U.S. even from the “enlightened” European world. Asian immigration to the U.S. continues to rise, despite all of the negativity regarding U.S. schools, health care, et cetera. That ability to have freedom of choice - for health care providers, schools, entertainment and everything else - beats all the “efficiencies” supposedly available to the masses “for their own good, of course” that a large government footprint can provide. I may seem selfish about this, but I compare my lifestyle to several European and Asian friends who are or have been professional peers. My housing is better. I have better and more household vehicles. My access to health care (cost considered) is better. My access to radio, TV and Internet is not subject to governmental licensing. In addition, my tax liability is less. In short, there is no free lunch. The more services that “government” becomes the dispenser, the greater the cost to the taxpayer and the fewer the choices (if any at all) the public - including the taxpayer - has, resulting in reduction in particular civil liberties until eventually the number of civil liberties is reduced to a scant few, if any at all. So, if there is a desire to make government bigger, that brings with it a matching reduction in personal freedoms. It’s the old “for every action there is a corresponding opposite reaction.” Which freedoms are worth trading for ______? In my lifetime, I cannot remember a single time when government took control of anything and then ever released control whether things got better, remained the same, or worse. For those who think bigger government is necessary - how big? When is it "big enough? Can it ever get too big?, and if so, how can you make it relinquish control? The only way I have ever seen government relinquish control or reduce in size/power has been by violent revolution. Hasn't once - the creation of this nation - been enough? |
#5
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If our tax revenues are about 18% of our GDP (plus or minus depending on the economic cycles), then for every increase in spending for something there has to be a decrease in some other spending--a decrease in spending on other things government spends on or more government borrowing resulting in a further increase in national debt. If we simply look at the things that we know are very likely to increase--defense spending (at least for a few years), Social Security (as the population ages), Medicare/Medicaid (as those costs continue to increase), and the interest on our national debt (which is likely to grow at a rate higher than almost anything else)--we're looking at some pretty significant spending increases which are almost unavoidable. If the premise that further increases in borrowing simply can't be sustained, that leaves only two ways that those fairly "fixed" expenses can be paid for--either "corresponding and opposite" reductions in government spending on other programs, or increases in taxes. Surely there is some spending cuts that are possible. But would they be sufficient to pay for the almost certain increases in other areas mentioned? That calls for a stretch of one's imagination. Less on infrastructure, the space program, education, social programs, the environment, foreign aid, various research programs, public broadcasting, regulation of various things...etc.? All to pay for increased spending on defense, Social Security, Medicare, interest expense? That would amount to an "involvement" by government in our lives--but in a negative way. Government would be required to discontinue spending on things we've become to accept as basic rights. And in the background is the quality of the services we already have, as bad as they have become. The author points out where we are after forty or so years of governance under the "old system"--our child-poverty and infant-mortality rates are the highest, our life expectancy is the lowest, our budget deficit as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) is the highest, our 15-year-olds rank among the lowest on tests of math and science, and our healthcare cost per capita is double that of other countries even though 50 million Americans have no health insurance. So the question remains--can we both improve those factors of our everyday life (education, healthcare, poverty, infant mortality, etc.) and at the same time fund the additional spending that clearly is necessary through the use of the economic principles and tools used for the last forty years? Or will our choice become greater taxation and government involvement in our lives--the alternative being a fundamental change in our way of life with fewer and fewer government-provided services because we can no longer afford them? I've read the article a third time and I still don't have an alternative argument with which to defeat the author's premise. The problem is one of simple arithmetic, not one of comparitive economic systems or political priciples. How can we finance the functions that we have come to expect from our government? |
#6
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We have now welfare families who are multi-generational. The list of "entitlements" is becoming endless, and they are generally paid for by persons who don't have any desire for them. Yes, we are expecting too much from the few who pay taxes to fund this super-parent. When "the State is Mother; the State is Father," the child never is allowed to become an adult, but instead remains in economic bondage and never ever acquires the freedoms the Founding Fathers wanted their progeny to experience. |
#7
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In principle, I don't disagree with your posit. But when it's reduced to actually coming up with a list of things which can no longer be afforded, the question becomes more difficult.
Try this list on for size. I wish I could be more precise in the effect on balancing the federal budget that could be attributed to each item--I could if I took the time to do enough reserach, but life is too short for all that work. So let's just say that the following changes were made in the federal budget. I'm guessing the effect on our deficit would be pretty dramatic.
There, that's probably a good start at reducing federal expenditures and shifting responsibility for a number of functions to individuals and the localities or states where they reside. And, oh, a couple of other changes might help, as well...
Anyone think they could get elected on this platform? |
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First of all, I have no idea what I am doing in Political. What was I thinking? But here I am, and before I flee for the exit, I just have to say something. VK, I have read through this list 3 times. I might be missing something here. I admit, I did not really carefully read the Time article that you linked. But I read this list 3 times. I am sitting here trying to convince myself that this list is satire. Where did this list come from? VK, if this list is your list, you must immediately set fire to it. Some politician might see it. About that SS thing you have on there, first thing. For years, I have been saying that it will come to that. A hot topic of discussion among my early boomer friends is when to take it. I always say to take it as soon as you can and run as fast as you can. (My theory only. I do not give professional financial advice.) VK, I have no doubt that Number 1 on that list will come true. The numbers might vary. But it will come true. It might be good to be an old boomer. State and local governments absorbing welfare completely, huh. Gives new meaning to the term "Welfare State." Gee, I wonder which state they would all move to. And don't get me started on the evisceration of our public schools. That's another thread all together, and I am not going there. Boomer mostly likes to have fun around here. VK, please tell me that list is satire. You and Jonathan Swift, right? If so, please indicate. Actually, I am begging you, please set fire to that list immediately. That list is indeed Orwellian. Burn it before somebody does get elected on it. Has anybody read Boomsday? I just hope Christopher Buckley has not sold the movie rights. Somebody will take it seriously when it hits the masses. In the book Boomsday a blogger starts the idea of the government giving tax incentives to boomers, along the way, if they agree to bump themselves off after a certain point. The blogger thinks she is writing satire. Well, guess what. Somebody gets elected on it. Burn, VK, burn. Boomer |
#9
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Interesting article, however so much was left out and the focus was limited to the positive aspects of European government. I have spent a lot of time in Europe and there are some positive things. But when you talk to the people and compare how they live to how we live you end up thinking their way of big government is a failure.
Take things like % of income that is taxed. Runs a minimum of 50% to a high of over 85% Dependant on country. Talk to the people about that and there is a definite lack of incentive to grow your income. Home ownership is significantly less for the average citizen than the US. Most people are forced to rent because they can't afford a home. Only what we would call "high income" people own their own home or it has been in the family for generations. And then most a very concerned about losing the home due to taxes. Vacation is good but an issue. Most people get 6 weeks vacation the first year of employment. And they also get up to 20 holidays. Sounds great right? However the impact this has on productivity, the cost of doing business and the lack of being competitive with other countries is staggering. It forces a much more protection type import and export stance. Health care. Free to all, again sounds great. But talk to the people. They wait forever for appointments, if missed they go to the end of the cue, and EVERYONE has a story about how a friend or relative or someone they know died because they could not get the proper care in a timely manner. And your choice of doctors is very limited. So make sure you look at all sides of the big government issue. He paints everything in a positive light and reality is not discussed. Also what have you ever seen our government do effectively? If they did, UPS and Fedex would not exist. And there are many other examples as well. |
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VK,
When I responded to that list earlier, I was talking about the first part. That election stuff you added later -- oh yeah. Term limits all around. And now, I am really, really out of here. I promise. Boomer |
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VK,
Your list is interesting, and for everything proposed to be cut, something else seems to be added to take its place. Social Security benefits have always been an interesting item. It is either a government-forced contributory retirement plan OR it is a tax which the money is lost to the contributor/payor unless changeable criteria are met. Government-forced medical insurance exists as MediCare/Aid, and it's "success" depends upon which end of the table you sit. From my experience (albeit limited) Medicare without a private Medicare-supplement policy has questionable value due to its limiting payout schedule. So, any government-forced medical insurance for the masses, for which the delivery system is private, is only going to result in a corresponding private insurance supplement being needed, as long as the delivery system is private industry. The other alternative is the expansion of HHS' Public Health Service hospital system to provide public medical care. Somehow, I just can't see the nationalization of the American medical industry, and would fear the quality of care that would provide. One thing that keeps getting trampled upon during most discussions on what services/actions the federal government should control is the Constitution, specifically the 10th and 14th Amendments. States' Rights and Due Process are not idle concepts, and the rush to have a super-federal must stand Constitutional scrutiny. The "government" who takes over is just a bunch of men and women, no smarter than those who hang around the average water cooler, and who probably also have a personal financial stake in the outcome. When government screws up and says "Oops," miliions are impacted. That's why there are all sorts of checks and balances to insure the "oops" are minimized. One think I like about The VIllages is that it is in Florida, a state which more than most respects the civil rights of people and imposes little upon the citizenry in the way of social experimentation. I feel more secure in Florida than I ever have in any Northeastern state. If the federal government was more like the states who don't try to ramrod programs into existence witthout appropriate funding from the target audience to receive the services, or try to meld the doctrines of Jefferson and Marx into a hybrid society, there would be fewer fiscal problems. |
#12
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Of course my list was somewhat satirical, as Boomer suggested. But only to a degree. "Orwellian" was the way the list was described. Unfortunately, it might be -- because we're facing a financial problem that may require an "Orwellian-size" solution.
Here are some numbers I put together to further define the problem we're facing. Are they precise? No. Nothing in government ever is. But in scale, they are generally correct and reliable. Before you begin to frame your responses, try not to respond with an argument for one political or economic idealology or another. Rather, just concentrate on the problem as defined by the numbers. Consider this... The problem that needs to be addressed is the issue of a federal budget which has costs somewhere in the neighborhood of 25-35% higher than the revenues it takes in. That problem is redoubled as the result of what we're spending the revenues on. If the author of the article is correct and that our federal revenues are nearly exhausted by just four areas of spending: Social Security and other retirement programs, health programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, defense, and interest payments on the public debt, with all the rest of our government expenditures — from education and infrastructure to international diplomacy and much more — funded by borrowing, how do we balance the budget? How do we fix the imbalance while also providing for a repayment plan to reduce what will soon be a national debt of about $3 trillion? Reviewing the numbers: the U.S. GDP is in the range of $13-14 trillion per year. Tax revenues are approximately $2.6 trillion per year. We have been spending about $3.3 trillion per year. Those are the numbers until this year and next, when the stimulus expenditures will cause the annual deficit spending number to skyrocket. And at the same time, our GDP and tax revenues may actually decline. The "hole" that needs to be filled -- either with reduced spending or increased tax revenues -- looks like it is approaching $1 trillion per year. In addition, no one is planning on any sort of amortization schedule to repay the national debt. Let's just say that we think we can eliminate annual deficit spending and that we should pay off the national debt over a 25-year amortization period. That kind of schedule would add somewhere in the range of $120 billion per year to our budget shortfall for principal repayments. In total then, we need to find about $1.1 trillion per year in either reduced spending or increased revenues. Reduced spending would mean that an across-the-board budget cut of about 8% would be necessary. That sounds doable until one recognizes that much of our federal expenditures are essentially fixed. There is little chance that expenditures for Social Security and other retirement programs, health programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, defense, and interest payments on the public debt could be cut by 8%, particularly with an aging population and with the country fighting two wars. So if we look to the remaining part of government spending as the part that would need to be cut, even a complete elimination of all other expenses wouldn't produce the $1.1 trillion per year in needed in cost cuts. So I continue to accept the thesis of the author of the article. Not only will the services provided by government have to be cut so deeply that they will be a lifestyle changing experience, but taxes will have to be fairly dramatically increased as well. The decades-old theory of reducing taxes in order to stimulate the economy simply won't work with numbers this large. It is simply not reasonable to project the U.S. economy growing to the point that these budget shortfalls could be resolved by any reasonable level of growth of the U.S. GDP. To expect free market capitalism to solve the problem when it hasn't for forty years or so probably isn't realistic. Some form of government involvement in what heretofore have been private enterprises looks like it might be necessary. One example -- in addition to our banking industry, which has already been taken over by government -- might be healthcare. Free enterprise has produced an industry whose total costs are escalating at a rate more than double inflation, with 50 million Americans still having no health insurance at all, and by all quality measures Americans are less healthy than almost all of the rest of the developed world. Tell me how government intervention isn't needed to solve this problem? Show me how to solve the problem -- not ideologically or theoretically, but with numbers. In the end it will be the cold, hard consideration of revenues and expenses that will solve the financial problem we're facing, with little room for political or economic idealology. This is the problem being faced by our political leaders. |
#13
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The problem isn't the quantum of revenue - it"s Congress each year coming up with some new idea to spend money that isn't there.
Most of the programs within the federal budget that don't fall into your Top-Four categories are idyllic versus necessary. It's part of the "I gotta bring home some pork to get reelected" concept. The only way you stop that is to vote for Congressional change with voter-controlled term limits. That will do more to balance the budget than anything. I respectfully disagree that the federal government has any role in education. There are no federal universities other than the service academies, and the only federal K-12 schools are run by DoD on military installations. Elimination of the Department of Education would not hurt the nation. If you really want to see where money goes nowhere, take a hard look at the list of independent federal agencies which were created to satisfy some special interest, and really accomplish very little - in other words, no bang for the buck. Just google "Plum Book" and review the list. Why we still need a "Barry Goldwater Scholarship and Excellence in Education Foundation, Christopher Columbus Fellowship Foundation, Delta Regional Commission, Harry S. Truman Scholarship Foundation, Japan-United States Friendship Commission, Office of Navajo and Hopi Indian Relocation, U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, and the Vietnam Education Foundation" befuddles me. These are examples of money spent on behalf of special interest only - there are others, but these are classics. For the life of me, why we have a Department of Housing and Urban Development is still a mystery - and it should be iced. We can probably debate health care forever. I cannot see a national program of any kind because there are so many differences in need due to the diversity of the population across so many regions. There is no question that health care costs rise faster than other areas, but that's mainly due to the costs involved in not only maintaining current capacity, but also the costs in research as well. Nationalizing health care would stifle most research, and such nationalization would have no choice but to cap compensation costs to providers, causing US medical schools to scale back medical education in order to make the cost of such education more affordable so that school loans don't further outstrip physician income. Health insurance is no different than any other kind ovf insurance - many contributing into a fund whose payoffs are less than payments. If there is "public health insurance" which does not cover the bill because those who use it don't pay enough in premiums, I presume your concept is that you and I open our wallets to pick up the difference. Again, there is no free lunch, so where else does the money come from, if not from you and me (and others who are marginally solvent thanks to continuous devaluation of our currency). So, has government failed us? I'd say YES in the sense that Congress keeps creating programs so certain congressfolk have legacies. Let the states alone take care of education and health care within their jurisdictions, as they are more adept at taking care of regional populations better than the dreamers within Sodom-on-the-Potomac. Numbers discussion means nothing until the corporate culture of bring-home-some-pork and take-care-of-the-campaign-contributors is reversed. That change can only happen by en masse replacement of congressiional incumbents. |
#14
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made me think "here we go again', the same old socialist propaganda for bigger government.
![]() We threw off the shackles of European taxation and created a great nation, composed of strong people willing to take care of themselves and there are those that want to throw it all away for a Nanny State!! "Freedom to Choose", the right to provide what I want for myself and my family, not have some idiot politician in Washington tell me what is best for us. Why do YOU think that of all the countries in the WORLD, EVERYONE wants to come to the U.S.? Do YOU think it is because they are fleeing something better to come here? Balderdash!! ![]() Vote ALL the politicians out of office, reduce or eliminate the nanny state, and once again be a FREE and SELF SUFFICIENT PEOPLE!! Thank you Stevez for being more eloquent in your responses. I appreciate your intellect. |
#15
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More than anything else, my objective in starting this thread was to get people thinking about the financial problems facing the country and begin to consider the alternatives available for their solution. Again, too few people posted a response, but I was heartened to see that as of Sunday night 356 people at least read the thread.
While there were some sincere responses by members committed to their beliefs, there were no members who actually responded with specific opinions or ideas to address the problem that our elected representatives will be facing in the days, weeks and months ahead. With only a few exceptions, it sounded like the sound bites we hear from our politicians on TV. The U.S. has a $1.1 trillion budget shortfall staring at us in each of the next few years to come. HOW WILL WE FILL THAT GAP? It must come from cutting government spending, increasing revenue from taxes or borrowing more from the countries around the world who think we are creditworthy. This time, it will not be possible to "grow our way" out of the problem with some fine-tuning of monetary policy. Either the cutting of government-funded programs or an increase in taxes, or a combination of the two, will be lifestyle-changing events in our lives. Neither will be modest little tweaks. We will all be hurt -- that much is certain and inevitable. I would hope that we would have thought about the possibilities enough to have an opinion on which of a series of bad choices will be most acceptable to us. It's pointless to recite the general principles and beliefs that we believe got the U.S. to where it is, what has worked, what will work and what won't work. Those types of things are important, of course, but cannot serve as the solution to the current financial mess. Non-specific flag-waving won't produce the plans needed to balance the budget. It has been that kind of rhetoric, with no specific plans following the words, that got us into the fix we're in now. We'll certainly see some of our elected representatives blathering on in the same way as they debate what to do in the weeks and months ahead. Hopefully, some of those we've sent to Washington can come up with some very specific plans for consideration by the Congress and the public. If the financial problem we're facing is to be fixed, both the voters and their elected representatives must have some idea on what specific steps to take. What specific spending should be cut? How much will it save per year? Can we cut spending enough to fill the trillion dollar-plus shortfall in the coming years? If not, where will the money come from? Should we keep borrowing until no one will lend to us us any more? Should taxes be raised to fill the void? Taxes on what? Taxes on whom? Until Americans begin to think about the specific alternatives with some precision, how are we to understand what our government is doing? Until we have an informed opinion on what we're willing to live without and what things government provides that we believe are basic to our lives -- and how much we're willing to pay for them -- how will we ever be satisfied with the result of the governance of our country? |
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