[GoodLife]

Up to 2.7 Million in New York May Have Been Infected, Antibody Study Finds – NBC New York

[jamesgillen]

That's the problem NBC

[GoodLife]

Originally Posted by jamesgillen

That's the problem NBC

This is all over the news. Here it is on FOX. Feel better?

Governor: Antibody survey shows wide exposure to virus in NY

[LiverpoolWalrus]

Although Covid is still a dangerous disease, this is better news than we've had for a while. From this study, and the two in California, it appears the fatality rate is "only" about .5% or 1 out of 200 people. That's better than the 3 or 4 out of a hundred we've been hearing about. Thanks for posting.

Excerpt: "As of Thursday, nearly 16,000 people in New York have died of virus-related complications. With 260,000-plus confirmed cases, the mortality rate would be as high as 6 percent. With 2.7 million cases, it would be around 0.5 percent -- much lower, though still much higher than the seasonal flu."

[ficoguy]

10 times that have probably been infected by chicken pox

[graciegirl]

Originally Posted by ficoguy

10 times that have probably been infected by chicken pox

I cannot but ask what are you trying to say??? There is a vaccine for Herpes Varicella Zoster...Chicken Pox.

[graciegirl]

Originally Posted by graciegirl

I cannot but ask what are you trying to say??? There is a vaccine for Herpes Varicella Zoster...Chicken Pox. It doesn't do you any good but it isn't in the running right now.

There is also a vaccine for Herpes Zoster, Shingles. Everyone our age should get it and the one for all three kinds of pneumonia that are available. There are more forms of pneumonia than that but at least get immunized against what you can, when we get out of this quarantine and it is safe to do so.

[PugMom]

apparently, many of the tests provided by the cdc were improperly handled & contaminated with the virus itself. wouldnt that mess up all the numbers? imagine how many false positives there are/were, or even some who may have it, but the tests were invalid. Coronavirus Test Kits Sent to States Are Flawed, C.D.C. Says - The New York Times check the date on this story, too

[stadry]

& we're still waiting on the aids vaccine which was politically needed to approve a lifestyle behavior

[MandoMan]

Originally Posted by PugMom

apparently, many of the tests provided by the cdc were improperly handled & contaminated with the virus itself. wouldnt that mess up all the numbers? imagine how many false positives there are/were, or even some who may have it, but the tests were invalid. Coronavirus Test Kits Sent to States Are Flawed, C.D.C. Says - The New York Times check the date on this story, too

That story is from February 12, over two months ago! Under discussion is recent new testing with new tests that are thought to be more accurate.

[MandoMan]

Originally Posted by GoodLife

Up to 2.7 Million in New York May Have Been Infected, Antibody Study Finds – NBC New York

In 2007, during the George W. Bush administration, the CDC prepared guidelines for dealing with a pandemic. This was for many years the standard for such things as school, store, business, and restaurant closings, the use of social distancing, etc. if you read it, you will see that these guidelines are in line with what the CDC has been recommending from the beginning, and where followed, they have worked.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-res...igation-sm.pdf

It’s interesting that if the recent testing in NYC is correct, then, as the article says, the fatality rate is 0.5% (only five times the usual rate of flu deaths), instead of 2.0% (twenty times the usual rate of flu deaths.) according to the above link, that means this is a Category 3 pandemic, rather than a Category 5 (the top level), and the projected deaths go way down, and the difficulty of mitigation changes.

Here is the 2017 CDC update, which, again, we are pretty much following:

Community Mitigation Guidelines to Prevent Pandemic Influenza — United States, 2017 | MMWR

It cheers me to know that the mitigation efforts in the few months have been based on careful planning, rather than on a group of panicking people trying out ideas as they occur to them.

[Stu from NYC]

Would be nice to have accurate numbers to judge whether our lockdown was really necessary.

Probably is but at what cost to people's lives.

[cherylncliff]

Originally Posted by ficoguy

10 times that have probably been infected by chicken pox

There is a vaccine for chickenpox. Sadly, there is a strong anti-vaxer movemnt in the US that chooses to ignore science and put themselves and others at risk.

[Jazzman]

And yet there are numerous at risk individuals, including seniors who are on Medicare and can get the flu shot for zero cost, who still do not get the vaccine each season. The pneumonia shots are free as well. The same will happen again once a vaccine is available for human use. There is no solution as people are individually responsible for their own health well being

[LiverpoolWalrus]

Originally Posted by stadry

& we're still waiting on the aids vaccine which was politically needed to approve a lifestyle behavior

Maybe I'm missing something but I thought it was to help save lives.