Today, 12/07/11, Intrade reports the chance of Romney being the R nominee are 49.3% This is up from 46.2%.

Chances of Newt being the nominee have dropped to 30.6% - down from 34.4%.


Meanwhile, Obama's chances of being reelected are 50.4% - up from 50.2%.

Real time prediction that you are wrong in your hope that your messiah will be reelected 49.6%

Right now I will take those odds.

I did not express my hope one way or the other.

Merely, reported on what the odds are at the moment. Nothing more.

May I ask, What are your hopes?

Mine are for someone different. I don't know who I would like right now with the circus that is going on but I know I don't what President Obama for another 4 years.

I favor reelecting the President, unless Mrs. Clinton runs. Then, I am for her.

Originally Posted by coralway

Today, 12/07/11, Intrade reports the chance of Romney being the R nominee are 49.3% This is up from 46.2%.
Chances of Newt being the nominee have dropped to 30.6% - down from 34.4%.
Meanwhile, Obama's chances of being reelected are 50.4% - up from 50.2%.

Gallup reporting 37% Newt, 22% Romney. Just write in whatever numbers you like!

At various points since the field largely took its current shape in August when Rick Perry entered the race, Gallup polls have shown Perry, Cain, Romney, and now Gingrich as the leader or tied for the lead for the Republican nomination. Earlier this year and late last year, Gallup polls showed Mike Huckabee, Donald Trump, and Sarah Palin -- all of whom eventually declined to run -- leading or tied for the lead.

- Gallup.

And through it all, Romney has stayed steady.

Originally Posted by coralway

At various points since the field largely took its current shape in August when Rick Perry entered the race, Gallup polls have shown Perry, Cain, Romney, and now Gingrich as the leader or tied for the lead for the Republican nomination. Earlier this year and late last year, Gallup polls showed Mike Huckabee, Donald Trump, and Sarah Palin -- all of whom eventually declined to run -- leading or tied for the lead.

- Gallup.

And through it all, Romney has stayed steady.

What you mean is Romney has stagnated. It's pretty much been 75 to 80% of the polled who want anybody but Romney, if you compare his steady number against the widely fluctuating numbers of his opponents in total.

Yes, Romney's base is around 24-25%.

Like Barefoot reported, Gingrich is leading Romney by double digits in the latest Gallup Poll by 37% to 22%. (Romney never gains support).

Even RealClearPolitics has him up by 31% to 20%.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/...up_611670.html