Originally Posted by claricecolin (Post 1784969)

The current spike now is most likely from Memorial day weekend. Numbers in the coming next 2 weeks are most likely from the protests and more things opening up.

Originally Posted by PennBF (Post 1784878)

A concern I have is whether we really know how many Covid-19 case there are in the Villages. Absent of broad testing we really don't know the percentages of the number of cases vs total population. Without proper testing we have no knowledge as to how many residents are asymptomatic and should be in any statistics? The question then is why we don't have broad testing within the villages. Not a few days on the Polo Fields or in Leesburg but regular on going testing in the villages. I mentioned this concern to a friend and the responses was "what impact do you think it would have on the sale of homes if it was advertised there were increases in the Virus in the Villages"? That was the first and most sensible answer I have received. Given the average resident is within the high risk group it did not make any sense to not have regular serious testing within the Villages!! We have elected to keep the current rules as the way to go until there are more realiable numbers regarding the percentages and exposures we face. As an aside I know at least one Medical Group will test if
you qualify to be tested. That is not what I mean. I mean regular broad testing by the Government, etc. for this high risk area.

Originally Posted by GoodLife (Post 1784849)

Appears we have a spike in cases here in Florida. So I took a look at the Florida Dashboard county report to see where it's happening. The spike started on June 12.

Almost 70% of the new cases on June 12 came from 7 counties with Dade, Palm Beach, Broward, Hillsborough, and Orange counties racking up the highest numbers.

The average time from exposure to symptoms of covid 19 is 5-6 days. Huge protests for George Floyd took place on the weekend of June 5-6, and some of the largest ones were in these counties. Although it is harder to catch the virus outdoors, epidemiologists say that chanting and screaming expel more virus, exactly what happens in protests. They were packed together pretty tight in the larger protests.

Sumter County had no protests, and have had only 5 new cases in the last 9 days.
Marion County did have a protest, not thousands but several hundred, and they had a mini spike of 10 cases on June 12.

It's kind of funny that we still can't have fans at golf tournaments but many officials and even health departments gave their blessing to the protests, saying it was "too important"

Most of the media will try to blame reopening too early as cause of the spike, it was amazing how they switched from covid 19 24/7 to George Floyd 24/7

You can take a look at the Florida county data here:

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...rts_latest.pdf

Originally Posted by allsport (Post 1785260)

Actually those counties went to the beaches on memorial day and that is the spike you are seeing. The outdoor protests are about 3 or 4 weeks away. It takes time to get the virus and then spread it and then more time, about 7 days, before you get sick enough to get admitted and then you have contaminated more and spread it farther. It is Memorial Day that you see.

Originally Posted by allsport (Post 1785260)

Actually those counties went to the beaches on memorial day and that is the spike you are seeing. The outdoor protests are about 3 or 4 weeks away. It takes time to get the virus and then spread it and then more time, about 7 days, before you get sick enough to get admitted and then you have contaminated more and spread it farther. It is Memorial Day that you see.

Originally Posted by PennBF (Post 1784878)

A concern I have is whether we really know how many Covid-19 case there are in the Villages. Absent of broad testing we really don't know the percentages of the number of cases vs total population. Without proper testing we have no knowledge as to how many residents are asymptomatic and should be in any statistics? The question then is why we don't have broad testing within the villages. Not a few days on the Polo Fields or in Leesburg but regular on going testing in the villages. I mentioned this concern to a friend and the responses was "what impact do you think it would have on the sale of homes if it was advertised there were increases in the Virus in the Villages"? That was the first and most sensible answer I have received. Given the average resident is within the high risk group it did not make any sense to not have regular serious testing within the Villages!! We have elected to keep the current rules as the way to go until there are more realiable numbers regarding the percentages and exposures we face. As an aside I know at least one Medical Group will test if
you qualify to be tested. That is not what I mean. I mean regular broad testing by the Government, etc. for this high risk area.

Originally Posted by psoccermom (Post 1785177)

Jerry Deming, mayor of Orlando, said that contact tracing showed their spike was coming from bars and night clubs.

Originally Posted by GoodLife (Post 1785146)

Some would rather blame the spike in cases on reopening. The fact that they can say protests of millions chanting and screaming while shoulder to shoulder is just fine while fans at golf tournaments or church services in a parking lot are dangerous is pretty comical.

Originally Posted by daca55 (Post 1785092)

I don’t think the spikes are due to the protests. I have been keeping track of the numbers since the middle of May and they have been going up daily. With the protests and with more things opening the number of daily cases has nearly doubled. Let’s face it the virus is still with us and to go back our old normal life won’t happen until we have a vaccine. Norge mean time wash your hands and wear a mask.

Originally Posted by Pamelah (Post 1785095)

There has been a great deal more testing so of course the numbers will soar. Equally important or more so is the number of hospitalizations yet that’s often not reported.

Originally Posted by bmit16 (Post 1785127)

14 days is the max incubation time. George Floyd died on May 25th Memorial day. The protest started the next night May 26th. The op said the spikes started occuring around June 12th That is 18 days after the protest. The protest got more intense in the days following his death and are still going. I would say it is reasonable to assume the protest are playing a much bigger part than people want to admit.

Originally Posted by Dave Laluk (Post 1785222)

I would agree that the spike we're seeing now is from Memorial Day Weekend AND the start of the re-opening. It takes about a week for exposed people to get symptoms. Another few days before they go to get tested. Another week to get results. Another week for the state to actually report them. So approximately 3 total weeks from exposure to seeing the published data. We may just be seeing the beginning.