How low will the market go? How low will the market go? - Talk of The Villages Florida

How low will the market go?

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Old 11-05-2026, 02:25 PM
Rainger99 Rainger99 is offline
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Default How low will the market go?

Yesterday, the Dow was up 1,569.40 points which was the 5th largest single-day point gain in the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

As of today, it is down 1,615.82 points.

Is this the big one that people have been talking about for years?

There are some people with a financial expertise on this board. Would love to hear your comments. Ride it down or sell and go 100% cash? 50% cash and 50% stocks?

If the market fell by 20%, how would you be affected? How about 50% or 90%?

The only good news is that our RMDs will probably be smaller next year!
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Old 11-05-2026, 02:57 PM
BrianL99 BrianL99 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainger99 View Post
Yesterday, the Dow was up 1,569.40 points which was the 5th largest single-day point gain in the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

As of today, it is down 1,615.82 points.

Is this the big one that people have been talking about for years?

There are some people with a financial expertise on this board. Would love to hear your comments. Ride it down or sell and go 100% cash? 50% cash and 50% stocks?

If the market fell by 20%, how would you be affected? How about 50% or 90%?

The only good news is that our RMDs will probably be smaller next year!
I was up 5% yesterday, down 2% today ... so still up almost 3% since Tuesday ... almost enough to pay for this year's golf.
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Old 11-05-2026, 04:19 PM
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Who watches the DOW??
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Old 11-05-2026, 04:41 PM
Rainger99 Rainger99 is offline
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Originally Posted by dewilson58 View Post
Who watches the DOW??
The general public usually follows the Dow more closely than other indexes. Professionals usually use the S&P or the Nasdaq. I assume that most people on TOTV are not professional investors so I expect a large number follow the Dow.


S&P 500 -4.4%

Dow Jones -3.4%

Nasdaq -5.2%
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Old 11-05-2026, 05:11 PM
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I'm hardly an "expert", but I have no doubt this volatility is related to the recent election. Uncertainty drives fear.
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Old 11-05-2026, 10:50 PM
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Was very surprised the markets jumped the day after the election, go figure???? Today’s one day correction wasn’t a surprise, who knows what tomorrow will bring?
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Old Yesterday, 06:14 AM
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Need to see what happens to bonds as an alternative.
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Old Yesterday, 06:23 AM
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Volatility until the data center issue works in way thru the economy.
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Old Yesterday, 07:59 AM
G.R.I.T.S. G.R.I.T.S. is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainger99 View Post
Yesterday, the Dow was up 1,569.40 points which was the 5th largest single-day point gain in the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

As of today, it is down 1,615.82 points.

Is this the big one that people have been talking about for years?

There are some people with a financial expertise on this board. Would love to hear your comments. Ride it down or sell and go 100% cash? 50% cash and 50% stocks?

If the market fell by 20%, how would you be affected? How about 50% or 90%?

The only good news is that our RMDs will probably be smaller next year!
Surprised the market is down? 🤦🏻*♀️
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Old Yesterday, 08:02 AM
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The big uncertainty
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Old Yesterday, 08:07 AM
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Wall Street Roulette. Nothing new.
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Old Yesterday, 08:36 AM
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Originally Posted by midiwiz View Post
Yes the issue that has been lied about in large proportions. Now on the forefront, face it the simple fact that the left doesn't want datacenters is a visible sign they'd like China in charge.

Now we get to see how fast Buyer's remorse sets in as we watch everything we count on for retirement to waste away and everything we live on skyrocket in costs. Including the BBB being repealed.

As for cash it in etc? it depends on your portfolio and it's basis vs. gain vs. % of loss yesterday. I can't mine is significant so I have no choice but to cry and suffer.
Correct. I have been investing in the Vanguard S&P 500 Stock Index fund for so long that, if I cashed it in, 92 percent of the current balance would be subject to the long term capital gains tax rate.
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Old Yesterday, 09:02 AM
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Originally Posted by CrosbyStills View Post
'Cept for the fact that many of the youth who favor these policies do not have retirement funds, do not invest, will not or cannot buy homes, do not have jobs with standard benefits like health insurance, etc. They do not care and believe that the "boomers" or older retirees and corporations should pay for their Starbucks double-mocha 4-shot venti crappachino.

There will be minimal remorse.

Actually, I have a great deal of hope for and confidence in youth! Mine when I had it and today's youth as well. I've been in area schools, judged entrepreneurship projects, talked to homecoming queens and football captains while giving them rides in their homecoming parade. They are smart and ambitious people with interesting ideas and dreams. Not one of them asked for anything. Mostly they just gave me a sense of hope in our future - with them leading. The way we did,
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Old Yesterday, 09:05 AM
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Smile Good thing in the Villages

The one good thing in the Villages is when folks start jumping out the windows, they don't have very far to fall!
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Old Yesterday, 09:14 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by retiredguy123 View Post
Correct. I have been investing in the Vanguard S&P 500 Stock Index fund for so long that, if I cashed it in, 92 percent of the current balance would be subject to the long term capital gains tax rate.
It depends on how deep and long the correction lasts. If it is a quick blip, it doesn’t matter.

If it is a 20-30% correction, the issue is whether you should bail out now and pay 15% capital gains or ride out the loss. My dad always told me that you never lose money if you sell at a profit.
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