[Kenswing]

Originally Posted by Kim Fowler

It’s much more meaningful to look at cases per 100,000 people rather than just raw numbers of cases. Wish the media did this. Thank you!

This chart lists per 1 million people. You can extrapolate down from there..
United States Coronavirus: 738,830 Cases and 39,014 Deaths - Worldometer

[dougawhite]

Originally Posted by sally2189

They do list them every day, the number of cases and the number of deaths. If you subtract the deaths from the number of cases, you have how many have survived!

Since it takes a few weeks to die, the correct mortality rate is the # of deaths today divided by the number of cases 2-3 weeks ago.

[Altavia]

Originally Posted by blueash

The new data from the Florida dashboard has 24 new cases in Sumter today. That is the biggest single day report and hopefully is not part of a trend. Here is the curve of Sumter cases with the last 24 hours added. One way to understand this is to see that 1/6 of all cases since the beginning were reported in the last 24 hours. Do not relax your precautions.

Any chance this is due to a change in reporting from COVID confirmed (by test) to COVID suspected?

[blueash]

Originally Posted by Robbie0723

Any chance this is due to a change in reporting from COVID confirmed (by test) to COVID suspected?

I asked a Sumter county epidemiologist about what is being counted. Only people with positive tests. That is both for test patients and deaths. So these 24 are new positive tests on living people as the death number did not change. Yet.

[Yung Dum]

None of this quarantining matters to our health. It's only in place to reduce the burden on the hospitals. Just because restrictions are eased up, you are not a bit safer than before. There also seems to be misconceptions about testing. Testing negative does not mean you are immune. It means you don't have the virus today. You may get it tomorrow or next week. You're not safe. No one is safe until a vaccine or cure is developed and that doesn't seem to be on the horizon. If you want to protect yourself, stay home or continue social distancing.

[Fishers2tall]

Originally Posted by Sweet Caroline

Stupid article. They didnt even mention STDs, loofas, or key parties. I was so disappointed.

Thank you for your comment! That was oh so funny!!

[NotFromAroundHere]

Originally Posted by Terri8352

68divided by128,000 equals .0037
.0037 rounded is .004...move the decimal for a percent .4% of the population....still a very low amount

Something is wrong with my calculator!!!!! When I divide 68 by 128,000 it says .00053125!!!!

[Cheapbas]

Originally Posted by npwalters

If I did the math right the 68 folks are .004% of TV population.

highest % in the country. Thankfully the numbers are low and we need to keep it that way.

[JonWilliams]

Originally Posted by GoodLife

UF test was for active virus, Stanford test was for antibodies.

True. Stanford test showed how many people had been exposed to the virus and developed antibodies -- whether or not they got "sick" and have now recovered. The point of the OP was "is there going to be a breakout of illness in The Villages due to the reported 68 cases coupled with asymptomatic people who could spread the disease?" The UF study showed that the number of asymptomatic people who are actually carrying the virus is very small: one tenth of one percent. This suggests Villagers are doing a good job sheltering in place so we are likely to avoid a widespread breakout of COVID-19.

[Travelhunter]

Originally Posted by JoMar

No....Sumter won't provide any guidance until the end of the month. Since Social distancing is required for Phase 1 and 2 how do you think that would work?

Thank you

[Travelhunter]

Originally Posted by jenistaf

Quarantines are 14 days. Governor's order was April 1. It is April 18. People who were careless in March already got sick if they were going to. Anyone who has been careful since April 1 is gonna be fine - provided they stay careful. No surge.

Provided they didn’t come into contact with any of the people who weren’t careful and didn’t come into contact with any of the people infected by the people who weren’t careful

[Travelhunter]

Originally Posted by Koapaka

I PRAY you are right, but think you are incorrect. My medical experience has taught me just when you THINK you are out of the woods, complacency proves otherwise. I said it before and will say it again, we need to readdress this 2-3 weeks down the road, and IF I am wrong (and I pray I am truly) I will eat crow willingly and happily. Issue is people do NOT take into account the number asymptomatic that continue to infect those that will suffer...unwittingly, but none the less, creating a domino effect. With aging into the geriatrics group, you are much more likely to be suffering from compromised immunities and underlying medical issues both known and unknown, making the risk for our age groups MUCH more vulnerable to catastrophic outcomes should you contract this virus.

I agree. I’d rather be safe for a few weeks and enjoy the rest of my life

[Bill1701]

Originally Posted by dewilson58

Surge???.................Yes, thanks to all the golfers.

Really? Where is your proof?

[tomhinz]

You bet. NYers should not come here. They are bringing chaos.

[lindaelane]

Originally Posted by JonWilliams

UFHealth's study of asymptomatic people who thought they had been exposed to the virus: 2100 people tested at the Polo Grounds so far, with three positive for COVID-19. That's .1%. Reported in The Villages Daily Sun, April 15.

Yes, but which test did UF Health use? The commonly available one gives a false negative to 30% of those who take it but are actually positive. Only about 3 days ago did a fairly accurate test become available, and I do not think - though I could be wrong - that UFHealth has that test. The earlier versions usefulness was that if it said you were positive, you almost always were. However, if it said you were negative, that was not too reassuring, since if you actually had CV, there was a 30% chance the test would miss it.