California and Electric vehicle truck deliveries

Closed Thread
Thread Tools
  #91  
Old 01-02-2024, 03:43 PM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is online now
Sage
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Village of Hillsborough
Posts: 4,915
Thanks: 1,326
Thanked 5,427 Times in 2,079 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Normal View Post
No, it would have to refill with water after dilution
This concept has been debunked. See wikipedia or Popular Mechanics for starting points.

Or, perhaps you prefer conspiracies
__________________
Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


Victor, NY
Randallstown, MD
Yakima, WA
Stevensville, MD
Village of Hillsborough
  #92  
Old 01-02-2024, 03:58 PM
Normal's Avatar
Normal Normal is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Jun 2021
Location: Earth
Posts: 1,464
Thanks: 3,544
Thanked 1,071 Times in 547 Posts
Default OK

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
This concept has been debunked. See wikipedia or Popular Mechanics for starting points.

Or, perhaps you prefer conspiracies
I understand where you are coming from. Let’s just say we sit like the book,”I’m OK, Your Ok.”
__________________
Everywhere

“Everyone may not be good, but there's always something good in everyone. Never judge anyone shortly because every saint has a past and every sinner has a future.” - Oscar Wilde
  #93  
Old 01-02-2024, 05:54 PM
Pugchief Pugchief is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 371
Thanks: 9
Thanked 417 Times in 178 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
What do you consider consumer pushback? Some have dug in their heels and declared that since the current Admin is pushing EVs they would rather ride horses. Is that the "tremendous consumer pushback" you are referring to? Those "perceived issues" are political, not technical.
While there may be some rejection solely on the basis of disagreeing with climate alarmist mandates, the perceived issues are not political:

-range anxiety
-slow recharging time
-lack of convenient public chargers
-concern over battery life

And I say this as the owner of 2 Teslas. EVs are great IF you can charge safely overnight at home and you don't drive more than 150 miles in an average day.
  #94  
Old 01-02-2024, 05:57 PM
Pugchief Pugchief is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 371
Thanks: 9
Thanked 417 Times in 178 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post

As for reducing output, that will not help the manufacturers stop losing money. The amount they are losing is tied to the low number of vehicles sold, not the numbers manufactured. The big money has already been spent to build the production lines, the amount added by a vehicle sitting in a showroom is peanuts.
Well you proved my point about consumer pushback right there. If they are not selling a lot of EVs, it can only be because consumers don't want them.
  #95  
Old 01-02-2024, 06:15 PM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is online now
Sage
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Village of Hillsborough
Posts: 4,915
Thanks: 1,326
Thanked 5,427 Times in 2,079 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pugchief View Post
Well you proved my point about consumer pushback right there. If they are not selling a lot of EVs, it can only be because consumers don't want them.
I see a difference between choosing to not buy and choosing not to buy. One says, “that isn’t what I need/want’” and the other says, “I’m not buying regardless of whether it’s what I need or want.”

Right or wrong, I believe there is less of a pushback against EVs and more of a realization that they don’t meet my needs today. Tomorrow is a different day.
__________________
Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


Victor, NY
Randallstown, MD
Yakima, WA
Stevensville, MD
Village of Hillsborough

Last edited by Bill14564; 01-02-2024 at 06:23 PM.
  #96  
Old 01-02-2024, 06:22 PM
biker1 biker1 is offline
Sage
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 3,175
Thanks: 1
Thanked 955 Times in 540 Posts
Default

I believe it would be correct to say that the rate of increase of EVs sales has declined. The second derivative of sales. The rate of sales, the first derivative, is still increasing. For example, Tesla’s rate of sales increase has declined from 100% increase YoY in 2022 to about 50% increase YoY in 2023. This should not be a surprise as the rate of sales increase will decline with adoption. EVs were about 9% of new car sales in 2023 and will be higher in 2024. There are many new models coming available and virtually all manufacturers are “all in”.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pugchief View Post
Well you proved my point about consumer pushback right there. If they are not selling a lot of EVs, it can only be because consumers don't want them.

Last edited by biker1; 01-03-2024 at 09:36 AM.
  #97  
Old 01-03-2024, 09:17 AM
nn0wheremann nn0wheremann is offline
Veteran member
Join Date: Jun 2017
Posts: 598
Thanks: 50
Thanked 238 Times in 168 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Topspinmo View Post
Exit tax… good luck with that once exited.
Illinois has an exit tax of sorts. It is a transfer tax paid by the seller of a home at closing. One last boot in the a**.
  #98  
Old 01-03-2024, 09:53 AM
Normal's Avatar
Normal Normal is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Jun 2021
Location: Earth
Posts: 1,464
Thanks: 3,544
Thanked 1,071 Times in 547 Posts
Default Legal Challenges

Quote:
Originally Posted by nn0wheremann View Post
Illinois has an exit tax of sorts. It is a transfer tax paid by the seller of a home at closing. One last boot in the a**.

You know, one would think you could do an initial immigrant tax too. Then something dawns on the entire situation, “taxation without representation “ is not legal or at least not supported by courts.
__________________
Everywhere

“Everyone may not be good, but there's always something good in everyone. Never judge anyone shortly because every saint has a past and every sinner has a future.” - Oscar Wilde
  #99  
Old 01-03-2024, 12:28 PM
Pugchief Pugchief is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 371
Thanks: 9
Thanked 417 Times in 178 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by biker1 View Post
I believe it would be correct to say that the rate of increase of EVs sales has declined. The second derivative of sales. The rate of sales, the first derivative, is still increasing. For example, Tesla’s rate of sales increase has declined from 100% increase YoY in 2022 to about 50% increase YoY in 2023. This should not be a surprise as the rate of sales increase will decline with adoption. EVs were about 9% of new car sales in 2023 and will be higher in 2024. There are many new models coming available and virtually all manufacturers are “all in”.
That is true. But Tesla is unique in that they make only EVs. The regular car manufacturers (GM, Ford, Chrysler, etc) are seeing extremely poor sales of their EVs. If you look at the non-Tesla numbers, thing look bleak.
  #100  
Old 01-03-2024, 12:30 PM
Pugchief Pugchief is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 371
Thanks: 9
Thanked 417 Times in 178 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by nn0wheremann View Post
Illinois has an exit tax of sorts. It is a transfer tax paid by the seller of a home at closing. One last boot in the a**.
Except you pay that tax whether you are leaving the state or just moving down the street.

And it is not a statewide tax. Each municipality has its own rules.
  #101  
Old 01-03-2024, 12:45 PM
biker1 biker1 is offline
Sage
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 3,175
Thanks: 1
Thanked 955 Times in 540 Posts
Default

Do you have some numbers you can share? I don't expect 2024 will be a great year for GM as they struggle with engineering and cost issues but they are publicly saying they will produce 1 million EVs in 2025. Overall, I expect the percentage of new cars that are EVs in 2024 to exceed 2023.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pugchief View Post
That is true. But Tesla is unique in that they make only EVs. The regular car manufacturers (GM, Ford, Chrysler, etc) are seeing extremely poor sales of their EVs. If you look at the non-Tesla numbers, thing look bleak.

Last edited by biker1; 01-03-2024 at 01:00 PM.
  #102  
Old 01-03-2024, 05:08 PM
Pugchief Pugchief is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 371
Thanks: 9
Thanked 417 Times in 178 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by biker1 View Post
Do you have some numbers you can share? I don't expect 2024 will be a great year for GM as they struggle with engineering and cost issues but they are publicly saying they will produce 1 million EVs in 2025. Overall, I expect the percentage of new cars that are EVs in 2024 to exceed 2023.
For reference:
GM delays another major EV initiative
GM and Honda ditch plan to build cheaper electric vehicles
GM abandons plan to build 400,000 EVs by mid-2024
WSJ: GM Scales Back EV Plans as Buyers Hesitate
  #103  
Old 01-03-2024, 05:37 PM
biker1 biker1 is offline
Sage
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 3,175
Thanks: 1
Thanked 955 Times in 540 Posts
Default

Yes, GM has issues, I already mentioned that. They aren't, however, the only car manufacturer suppling EVs to the US. God help the big 3 if BYD starts importing cars into the US.

  #104  
Old 01-03-2024, 05:44 PM
NoMoSno NoMoSno is online now
Gold member
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 1,290
Thanks: 183
Thanked 345 Times in 217 Posts
Default

Toyota Cuts Yearly EV Sales Forecast By 39% To Just 123,000 Units | Carscoops
  #105  
Old 01-03-2024, 05:59 PM
biker1 biker1 is offline
Sage
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 3,175
Thanks: 1
Thanked 955 Times in 540 Posts
Default

Toyota isn't a player, yet. A 39% reduction of a very small number is just a very smaller number.

Some estimates put the YoY EV growth in the US for 2024 at about 60% to about 13% of new cars being EVs up from about 8 or 9% in 2023.


Last edited by biker1; 01-03-2024 at 06:16 PM.
Closed Thread

Tags
link, work, logged, disclaimer, apologies


You are viewing a new design of the TOTV site. Click here to revert to the old version.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:14 AM.