Do fewer police stops increase homicides?

Closed Thread
Thread Tools
  #106  
Old 08-01-2023, 04:18 PM
Byte1 Byte1 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Sep 2017
Location: The Villages, FL
Posts: 2,894
Thanks: 14,732
Thanked 3,850 Times in 1,586 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
Be careful, you are dangerously close to arguing for a gun ban with that statement.

As to your other points, entering an airport terminal, a hospital building, or a government building are all situations where you are entering specially protected areas. You don't need to enter those areas, you chose to enter those areas. You aren't simply going about your life, you are accessing some non-public space. While I cringe every time I go through those security checkpoints, I can't argue that they violate my rights.

Walking down the street, just existing in the world, is not accessing some non-public space or entering a specially protected area. Walking down the street is a case of "if I'm not doing anything wrong then leave me alone!" This doesn't mean if I have the same skin tone as the guy you expect might possibly do something wrong sometime in the future. It doesn't mean I look like someone who might be up to no good. If I'm not doing something wrong then leave me alone.

Yes, I am against any and all BS random traffic stops. If I'm not doing anything wrong then leave me alone. I don't care what you think, expect, or hope I might be doing, if I'm not doing anything wrong then leave me alone.

No, I don't want you to stop the dog walker but I also don't want you to stop me just because you find my insomnia odd. If I'm not doing anything wrong then leave me alone.

A frisk IS a search by any definition of the word. The only reason to perform a frisk is to determine if someone is carrying something. It IS a search of the person.
Interesting how you bring back the racial issue that was not even referenced in my post. You say, that you do not have to enter the hospital or airport, but you HAVE TO WALK DOWN THE STREET AT 3am? You don't like being stopped if you aren't doing anything wrong? Remember, driving is a privilege NOT a right. You don't like? I doubt anyone likes being interrupted when they are about their business, but that's life and if our courts are not going to prosecute evil then our first line of defense (besides ourselves) is local law enforcement. Don't you just hate standing in line to make a purchase? I have been in countries where folks did not stand in line. Hated it, but it was their country.
Sometimes we have to live with certain curbed or infringed liberties. That's life.
__________________
Never take life seriously. Nobody gets out alive anyway
  #107  
Old 08-01-2023, 04:22 PM
golfing eagles's Avatar
golfing eagles golfing eagles is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: The Villages
Posts: 13,420
Thanks: 1,192
Thanked 14,450 Times in 4,757 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
Just never going to agree with "so what" as a reaction to someone's Constitutional rights being violated.
I've read the constitution of the United States of America. I don't remember the part where a person acting in a suspicious manner is immune from being stopped by law enforcement. What country's constitution are you referring to?????
  #108  
Old 08-01-2023, 07:38 PM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Village of Hillsborough
Posts: 6,821
Thanks: 2,091
Thanked 7,261 Times in 2,831 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by golfing eagles View Post
I've read the constitution of the United States of America. I don't remember the part where a person acting in a suspicious manner is immune from being stopped by law enforcement. What country's constitution are you referring to?????
You are reading it wrong. The Constitution doesn't grant rights to the individual, the Constitution limits the rights of the Government. Don't look for "suspicious manner" as something a person can do and still keep his rights, look at it as something the Government can use to take away his rights.

You won't find "suspicious manner" anywhere in the Constitution of the United States - it is not grounds for the Govt to take away anyone's rights.

In particular, you should be looking at the 4th Amendment. That amendment mentions probable cause, not suspicious manner. And while it doesn't characterize "unreasonable," I can't believe a policy with an 88% error rate could ever be acceptable.

As for the rest, I have no desire to rehash the last 106 posts. Post #93 seems to sum things up pretty well.
__________________
Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


Victor, NY
Randallstown, MD
Yakima, WA
Stevensville, MD
Village of Hillsborough

Last edited by Bill14564; 08-01-2023 at 07:50 PM.
  #109  
Old 08-01-2023, 08:23 PM
Rainger99 Rainger99 is offline
Soaring Eagle member
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 2,463
Thanks: 1
Thanked 1,937 Times in 890 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
You are reading it wrong. The Constitution doesn't grant rights to the individual, the Constitution limits the rights of the Government. Don't look for "suspicious manner" as something a person can do and still keep his rights, look at it as something the Government can use to take away his rights.

You won't find "suspicious manner" anywhere in the Constitution of the United States - it is not grounds for the Govt to take away anyone's rights.

In particular, you should be looking at the 4th Amendment. That amendment mentions probable cause, not suspicious manner. And while it doesn't characterize "unreasonable," I can't believe a policy with an 88% error rate could ever be acceptable.

As for the rest, I have no desire to rehash the last 106 posts. Post #93 seems to sum things up pretty well.
You never answered the original question.

Do fewer police stops increase homicides?
  #110  
Old 08-01-2023, 08:30 PM
Rainger99 Rainger99 is offline
Soaring Eagle member
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 2,463
Thanks: 1
Thanked 1,937 Times in 890 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
You are reading it wrong. The Constitution doesn't grant rights to the individual, the Constitution limits the rights of the Government.
I think you are wrong. It does grant rights to the individual.

This is from archives.gov.

It guarantees civil rights and liberties to the individual—like freedom of speech, press, and religion.
  #111  
Old 08-02-2023, 05:18 AM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Village of Hillsborough
Posts: 6,821
Thanks: 2,091
Thanked 7,261 Times in 2,831 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainger99 View Post
I think you are wrong. It does grant rights to the individual.

This is from archives.gov.

It guarantees civil rights and liberties to the individual—like freedom of speech, press, and religion.
In the language it uses, the Constitution guarantees rights by restricting Govt.
"Congress shall make no law..."
"...the right of the people...shall not be infringed."
"No soldier...shall be quartered...without the consent of the Owner..."
"The right of the people to be secure...shall not be violated..."
"No person shall be held to answer...."
"The enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people."
"The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people."

The Constitution does not say that the Govt is all powerful but here are some rights we will grant to the people.

The Constitution says the rights belong to the people unless stated otherwise. It lists some specific examples of what Govt cannot do but then makes it clear that the list is not complete.
__________________
Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


Victor, NY
Randallstown, MD
Yakima, WA
Stevensville, MD
Village of Hillsborough

Last edited by Bill14564; 08-02-2023 at 05:27 AM.
  #112  
Old 08-02-2023, 05:35 AM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Village of Hillsborough
Posts: 6,821
Thanks: 2,091
Thanked 7,261 Times in 2,831 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainger99 View Post
You never answered the original question.

Do fewer police stops increase homicides?
I never argued the point. Post #23 touches on an acknowledgment and post #94 seems to be in agreement.

I have not taken the time to look at the studies and draw a conclusion. I am not against stopping criminals (though I appreciate being allowed to drive 5mph over the limit) but the stops and the actions after have to be legal and not violate the rights of those who were stopped.
__________________
Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


Victor, NY
Randallstown, MD
Yakima, WA
Stevensville, MD
Village of Hillsborough
  #113  
Old 08-02-2023, 06:03 AM
golfing eagles's Avatar
golfing eagles golfing eagles is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: The Villages
Posts: 13,420
Thanks: 1,192
Thanked 14,450 Times in 4,757 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
I never argued the point. Post #23 touches on an acknowledgment and post #94 seems to be in agreement.

I have not taken the time to look at the studies and draw a conclusion. I am not against stopping criminals (though I appreciate being allowed to drive 5mph over the limit) but the stops and the actions after have to be legal and not violate the rights of those who were stopped.
What about the rights of the innocent victims of some lowlife that could have been stopped but wasn't because their feelings might be hurt, or they felt "targeted" or "profiled"?????? The framers of our constitution were much more concerned with limiting government power over LAW ABIDING CITIZENS, not criminals.

Rights that protect the innocent from incarceration, cruel punishment, Miranda rights----fine. Preventing the police from using their professional instincts to INVESTIGATE a particular situation---not so much.

There was a news show with a segment about casino security officers in Vegas. They asked one of them what he looks for. The answer was "I don't know, but I'll know it when I see it. Some things are just out of place." And this was just protecting the profits of a casino. Shouldn't we allow our professional law enforcement officers the same latitude to save lives. I just can't balance the inconvenience of being stopped and asked a few questions with injury and death from dangerous criminals.
  #114  
Old 08-02-2023, 06:30 AM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Village of Hillsborough
Posts: 6,821
Thanks: 2,091
Thanked 7,261 Times in 2,831 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by golfing eagles View Post
What about the rights of the innocent victims of some lowlife that could have been stopped but wasn't because their feelings might be hurt, or they felt "targeted" or "profiled"?????? The framers of our constitution were much more concerned with limiting government power over LAW ABIDING CITIZENS, not criminals.

Rights that protect the innocent from incarceration, cruel punishment, Miranda rights----fine. Preventing the police from using their professional instincts to INVESTIGATE a particular situation---not so much.

There was a news show with a segment about casino security officers in Vegas. They asked one of them what he looks for. The answer was "I don't know, but I'll know it when I see it. Some things are just out of place." And this was just protecting the profits of a casino. Shouldn't we allow our professional law enforcement officers the same latitude to save lives. I just can't balance the inconvenience of being stopped and asked a few questions with injury and death from dangerous criminals.
When those professional instincts are wrong 88% of the time then those instincts should not be used as justification for anything. Also, see post #93.
__________________
Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


Victor, NY
Randallstown, MD
Yakima, WA
Stevensville, MD
Village of Hillsborough
  #115  
Old 08-02-2023, 06:44 AM
golfing eagles's Avatar
golfing eagles golfing eagles is offline
Sage
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: The Villages
Posts: 13,420
Thanks: 1,192
Thanked 14,450 Times in 4,757 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill14564 View Post
When those professional instincts are wrong 88% of the time then those instincts should not be used as justification for anything. Also, see post #93.
Again, SO WHAT.
I don't care if 99% of the stops yield nothing---that 1% will probably prevent a violent crime.

And that's what some people don't get----the balance is serious injury or death versus "Wah, wah, wah, the police only stopped me because I'm a purple Norwegian" Get over it.
  #116  
Old 08-02-2023, 07:23 AM
Whitley Whitley is offline
Gold member
Join Date: Sep 2021
Posts: 1,052
Thanks: 1,472
Thanked 804 Times in 401 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainger99 View Post
You never answered the original question.

Do fewer police stops increase homicides?
Answer: Yes but at a cost that many find unreasonable (Generally violation of the 4th Amendment)
  #117  
Old 08-02-2023, 10:46 AM
Rainger99 Rainger99 is offline
Soaring Eagle member
Join Date: Oct 2021
Posts: 2,463
Thanks: 1
Thanked 1,937 Times in 890 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Whitley View Post
Answer: Yes but at a cost that many find unreasonable (Generally violation of the 4th Amendment)
I am fortunate that I have never lived in a high crime neighborhood where you have to be concerned for your life - or the life of your wife and kids - when they just run down to the grocery store and I assume that most of the people living in the Villages have not lived in high crime neighborhoods. If I had lived in a high crime area, I would want a heavy police presence in my neighborhood and I would probably support police stopping certain people.

It might impact various ethnic groups differently. However, a recent study in Minnesota found that blacks represent nine times more criminal offenders overall and 10 times more serious offenders than whites. So if you are looking for suspects, I would expect that you would focus on certain groups and not focus on other groups.

It is easy for people who live in the Villages to support ending stop, search, and frisk. It won't impact our lives so we get the bonus of virtue signaling without bearing the consequences of our policies. However, I suggest that you also show some concern for poor people living in high crime neighborhoods. The elderly grandmother who is afraid to go out during the day; the kids who are afraid to go to the park; the husband who is afraid to walk in his neighborhood at night.

A recent study found that the majority of residents in low-income “fragile communities” — including both urban and rural areas — want more police presence, not less. In the more than a dozen low-income urban areas surveyed, 53% of residents want more police presence while 41% want the same — only 6% want less. I think we know who the 6% are.

I agree that it is a balancing act. Does the inconvenience of an innocent person being stopped for a few minutes outweigh the deaths of many innocent people?
  #118  
Old 08-02-2023, 09:33 PM
OrangeBlossomBaby OrangeBlossomBaby is offline
Sage
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 10,049
Thanks: 8,070
Thanked 11,217 Times in 3,743 Posts
Default

Correlation does not equal causation. While yes, you can "prove a negative," you can't prove a non-existing thing without a doubt.

In other words -

An increase in homicides can't be - without a doubt - be attributed to fewer police stops. The two might be happening concurrently, but one can't be attributed to the other. In fact, it could be just the opposite: maybe because there are more homicides, the police have less time and fewer resources to do stops. You can't prove that either, without a doubt. But it is evident of the logical fallacy of creating causation based only on correlation.
  #119  
Old 08-03-2023, 04:04 PM
Byte1 Byte1 is offline
Sage
Join Date: Sep 2017
Location: The Villages, FL
Posts: 2,894
Thanks: 14,732
Thanked 3,850 Times in 1,586 Posts
Default

The 4th Amend. says ".....unreasonable searches and seizures..." Maybe you have a different definition of "unreasonable" than I do. I consider a police officer frisking someone because they fit within his/her suspicious nature at the time of night or day and the place that person is in the area to be reasonable. If a young man is on his bike, delivering a pizza at 5pm in a neighborhood, I would not consider that "reasonable." However, if that same person was walking down the street at 3am in the same neighborhood, it might be "reasonable" to stop and question his intentions and identify him in case something untoward happens. In that case, the officer would be prudent in frisking said person for his own safety. That's my opinion. Now, if we deny that right to the police officers, then we would be limiting a police presence and h tying their hands behind their back at to their job when we are hoping that we are safe in our homes. Just because someone abuses a right does not mean that everyone should suffer that does not abuse their rights.
__________________
Never take life seriously. Nobody gets out alive anyway
  #120  
Old 08-14-2023, 12:39 PM
patfla06 patfla06 is offline
Platinum member
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 1,583
Thanks: 1,596
Thanked 598 Times in 196 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by golfing eagles View Post
This is easy. Giuliani cleaned the city up, DeBlasio turned it back into a city run by like minded mayors. Worst thing that happened was ending stop and frisk
DeBlasio was a disaster.
Who votes for these disasters??
__________________
///
Closed Thread

Tags
police, stops, increase, homicides, fewer


You are viewing a new design of the TOTV site. Click here to revert to the old version.

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:30 PM.