Fasten your Financial Seat belts ... Month #2 Fasten your Financial Seat belts ... Month #2 - Talk of The Villages Florida

Fasten your Financial Seat belts ... Month #2

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  #1  
Old 03-11-2025, 10:03 AM
skarra skarra is offline
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Default Fasten your Financial Seat belts ... Month #2

Hopefully we all took steps a month ago when I first posted to protect our savings/investments/sources of income. 4% interest in the money market seems like a great return right now, and a good place to park money for maybe another 2-3 years as we head into a serious recession.

Wish I could forecast how this will all end, but it looks like tariffs, combined with disruptions caused by AI, and a malfunctioning federal government is the perfect storm. Be cautious everyone.

Last edited by skarra; 03-11-2025 at 10:14 AM. Reason: Typo in heading
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Old 03-11-2025, 01:30 PM
Stu from NYC Stu from NYC is offline
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Enjoy your vacation, pick someplace warm
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Old 03-11-2025, 01:47 PM
Papa_lecki Papa_lecki is offline
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Actually, if the stock market goes down, investors pull money from equities and invest in bonds, pushing interest rates down.

Most Main Street equity investors are invested long term, in retirement accounts. They can withstand a dip in equity returns.

Lower interest rates more directly impact Main Street, they help the housing market, which helps construction, appliances, etc. Lower interest rate and a strong housing market strengths the economy more quickly.
Mortgage rates are below 7%

Mortgage rates drop as investors seek bond market safe haven
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Old 03-11-2025, 02:54 PM
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Most of us did not fall off the turnip truck yesterday. Financials markets go both up and down. The Shiller CAPE index remains just over 35. Its median is 16.04 and its average 17.22. The stock markets remain very highly priced, over double both their median and their average. That said, who knows where they will be next year or even tomorrow.
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Old 03-11-2025, 03:08 PM
skarra skarra is offline
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The Buffet Indicator also shows we're in need of some major correction.

Gold seems overvalued too. Bitcoin seems like a shell game.

Good old treasuries or Money Market for now. There will be buying opportunities along the way I'm sure. AI will be big, and that's where eventually my money will land.

Good luck everyone.
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Old 03-11-2025, 03:55 PM
fdpaq0580 fdpaq0580 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by skarra View Post
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Good luck everyone.
Thanks. We'll need it.
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Old 03-11-2025, 04:31 PM
Aces4 Aces4 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Papa_lecki View Post
Actually, if the stock market goes down, investors pull money from equities and invest in bonds, pushing interest rates down.

Most Main Street equity investors are invested long term, in retirement accounts. They can withstand a dip in equity returns.

Lower interest rates more directly impact Main Street, they help the housing market, which helps construction, appliances, etc. Lower interest rate and a strong housing market strengths the economy more quickly.
Mortgage rates are below 7%

Mortgage rates drop as investors seek bond market safe haven
In that event, look out for a big inflation surge.
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Old 03-11-2025, 06:56 PM
Caymus Caymus is offline
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If Nasdaq trading is to be believed, no more data centers will ever be built.
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Old 03-12-2025, 05:22 AM
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dewilson58 dewilson58 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stu from NYC View Post
Enjoy your vacation, pick someplace warm
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Old 03-12-2025, 08:54 AM
MrFlorida MrFlorida is online now
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Investing in American companies might be a good idea.
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Old 03-12-2025, 09:26 AM
gatorbill1 gatorbill1 is offline
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My 4.5% callable CD for 2 years looks good now.
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Old 03-12-2025, 10:51 AM
GreggC69 GreggC69 is online now
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What are your thoughts on Multi Year Guaranteed Annuities (MYGA's)? They function much like CD's but seem to have higher returns. With an A+ rated carrier, you can get 5.5% now with no brokerage fees or commissions. Has anyone used these as part of their portfolio?
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